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Topic: If '19 LSU was all-time great, who would you pick them to beat?

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FearlessF

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Re: If '19 LSU was all-time great, who would you pick them to beat?
« Reply #56 on: January 20, 2020, 03:17:26 PM »


You start to see how silly this is.  There's not much to back up any claims.  Hell, there's more substance to this year's Ohio State vs. LSU debate, and even that is rampant speculation. 

yup, if LSU and Clemson played again tonight the game would be much different than a couple weeks ago.  And the best team doesn't always win.
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utee94

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Re: If '19 LSU was all-time great, who would you pick them to beat?
« Reply #57 on: January 20, 2020, 03:19:55 PM »
Doesn't really matter because there is no comparing across eras, even the way OAM is suggesting to do it.  Forget '71 Nebraska, even the '95 version is significantly behind modern teams in terms of athletic training and nutritional advancements. 

Would '95 Nebraska have any clue how to stop an RPO play?  Nope.  Would 2019 LSU score a bazillion points if rules hadn't changed so much to favor offenses?  Nope.  Would Nebraska's defense still be fundamentally sound and would LSU still score a lot of points?  Probably so. 

I mentioned this on the SEC board.....my wife is a Longhorn fan and due to life stuff she missed out on the 2005 season and some others, so a few months back we watched the Rose Bowl classic vs. USC because I thought she should see it.  It was immediately striking how much the game had changed even since then.  If that game were played by today's rules both Texas and USC would've had multiple defenders ejected in the first few minutes for targeting.  From that same era, guys like Florida's Reggie Nelson and LSU's Laron Landry would've never been greats for their schools because they'd have spent their entire careers in the penalty box. 

It's just not as simple as adjusting for eras, because that's a fool's errand.

Fearless says LSU hasn't seen a triple option in years.  Other than the one they saw this year, yes, it's been a couple seasons since the last triple option they saw.  None of them have fared well.  None of them had Nebraska's talent either. 

utee94 says Vince Young would not lose to this LSU team.  Okay, I counter Joe Burrow would not lose to that Texas team. 

You start to see how silly this is.  There's not much to back up any claims.  Hell, there's more substance to this year's Ohio State vs. LSU debate, and even that is rampant speculation. 

I will say you guys keep talking about LSU's defense this year as a bad thing.  OAM would have to specify what he means when he says "2019 LSU."  If you look at season-long stats, you've got one thing.  LSU took some lumps while they scratched their scheme in-season and more importantly, had a slew of guys injured starting in game 2 who didn't come back until later in the year.  But the numbers are what they are from a season-long perspective, if that's what you're comparing.  If you mean the LSU team that made it into the playoffs, then it's a mistake to use season-long numbers.  There is no comparing the defense that was missing multiple starters until week 11 or so to the defense that was on the field in the last 4-5 games.  Different personnel with different capabilities with very different outcomes.  OAM keeps saying the defense was weak.  Well, yes, the one that played Florida was (and really they weren't weak, they were "not great").  Despite CWS' claims here that LSU likes to fake cramps, the reality is 6 guys left the Texas game in week 2, 4 of whom did not return to the game, and more would be lost for several weeks in subsequent games against NWSt. and Vanderbilt.  Sure, LSU looks different without half of its starters.  Which begs the question, which LSU defense do you mean when you criticize the 2019 LSU defense?  The season-long numbers?  Sure.  Not LSU's best.  The unit that was in the playoffs and held OU to 14 meaningful points and Clemson to 25...OU quadrupling that and Clemson doubling it on average?  You're kidding yourself if you don't think that was a very good defense. 

I just don't think there's a meaningful conversation to be had about Greatest Team Of All Time. 

Greatest season of all time?  Have at it.  Each of the usual suspects have a case.  And it's simultaneously hard to argue against the skins on LSU's wall this year.

That said, I'm totally picking 2005 Texas just to annoy utee.  Somebody not named Joe Burrow is gonna have to reclaim the DKR single game passing record before I budge an inch on that :)

Y'all don't show this to my wife. 

Bite me

Cincydawg

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Re: If '19 LSU was all-time great, who would you pick them to beat?
« Reply #58 on: January 20, 2020, 03:22:25 PM »
1983 Texas was also really really really good and should be in this conversation.

utee94

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Re: If '19 LSU was all-time great, who would you pick them to beat?
« Reply #59 on: January 20, 2020, 03:23:13 PM »
1983 Texas was also really really really good and should be in this conversation.
Now you a-holes are just trolling me.

CWSooner

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Re: If '19 LSU was all-time great, who would you pick them to beat?
« Reply #60 on: January 20, 2020, 03:38:38 PM »
Doesn't really matter because there is no comparing across eras, even the way OAM is suggesting to do it.  Forget '71 Nebraska, even the '95 version is significantly behind modern teams in terms of athletic training and nutritional advancements. 

Would '95 Nebraska have any clue how to stop an RPO play?  Nope.  Would 2019 LSU score a bazillion points if rules hadn't changed so much to favor offenses?  Nope.  Would Nebraska's defense still be fundamentally sound and would LSU still score a lot of points?  Probably so. 

I mentioned this on the SEC board.....my wife is a Longhorn fan and due to life stuff she missed out on the 2005 season and some others, so a few months back we watched the Rose Bowl classic vs. USC because I thought she should see it.  It was immediately striking how much the game had changed even since then.  If that game were played by today's rules both Texas and USC would've had multiple defenders ejected in the first few minutes for targeting.  From that same era, guys like Florida's Reggie Nelson and LSU's Laron Landry would've never been greats for their schools because they'd have spent their entire careers in the penalty box. 

It's just not as simple as adjusting for eras, because that's a fool's errand.

Fearless says LSU hasn't seen a triple option in years.  Other than the one they saw this year, yes, it's been a couple seasons since the last triple option they saw.  None of them have fared well.  None of them had Nebraska's talent either. 

utee94 says Vince Young would not lose to this LSU team.  Okay, I counter Joe Burrow would not lose to that Texas team. 

You start to see how silly this is.  There's not much to back up any claims.  Hell, there's more substance to this year's Ohio State vs. LSU debate, and even that is rampant speculation. 

I will say you guys keep talking about LSU's defense this year as a bad thing.  OAM would have to specify what he means when he says "2019 LSU."  If you look at season-long stats, you've got one thing.  LSU took some lumps while they scratched their scheme in-season and more importantly, had a slew of guys injured starting in game 2 who didn't come back until later in the year.  But the numbers are what they are from a season-long perspective, if that's what you're comparing.  If you mean the LSU team that made it into the playoffs, then it's a mistake to use season-long numbers.  There is no comparing the defense that was missing multiple starters until week 11 or so to the defense that was on the field in the last 4-5 games.  Different personnel with different capabilities with very different outcomes.  OAM keeps saying the defense was weak.  Well, yes, the one that played Florida was (and really they weren't weak, they were "not great").  Despite CWS' claims here that LSU likes to fake cramps, the reality is 6 guys left the Texas game in week 2, 4 of whom did not return to the game, and more would be lost for several weeks in subsequent games against NWSt. and Vanderbilt.  Sure, LSU looks different without half of its starters.  Which begs the question, which LSU defense do you mean when you criticize the 2019 LSU defense?  The season-long numbers?  Sure.  Not LSU's best.  The unit that was in the playoffs and held OU to 14 meaningful points and Clemson to 25...OU quadrupling that and Clemson doubling it on average?  You're kidding yourself if you don't think that was a very good defense. 

I just don't think there's a meaningful conversation to be had about Greatest Team Of All Time. 

Greatest season of all time?  Have at it.  Each of the usual suspects have a case.  And it's simultaneously hard to argue against the skins on LSU's wall this year.

That said, I'm totally picking 2005 Texas just to annoy utee.  Somebody not named Joe Burrow is gonna have to reclaim the DKR single game passing record before I budge an inch on that :)

Y'all don't show this to my wife.
Hah!

I didn't claim that the LSU players faked cramps, as you well know.  Your brother Horns-by-marriage made that claim.  I just noted that it was funny that Ed Orgeron was claiming that a Clemson player was faking cramps after all the controversy over the subject in the LSU @ Texas game.  What I assert is that cramps are more likely in hot-and-humid conditions (because the body's cooling system doesn't work as well) than when it is hot and dry.

Helicopters struggle with hot-and-humid conditions too, so there's that.

Ole!

BTW, I agree with you that it is virtually impossible to compare teams over different eras.  From one year to the next, yes.  Decades apart, no.
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MikeDeTiger

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Re: If '19 LSU was all-time great, who would you pick them to beat?
« Reply #61 on: January 20, 2020, 04:00:37 PM »
Hah!

I didn't claim that the LSU players faked cramps, as you well know.  Your brother Horns-by-marriage made that claim.  I just noted that it was funny that Ed Orgeron was claiming that a Clemson player was faking cramps after all the controversy over the subject in the LSU @ Texas game.  What I assert is that cramps are more likely in hot-and-humid conditions (because the body's cooling system doesn't work as well) than when it is hot and dry.

Helicopters struggle with hot-and-humid conditions too, so there's that.

Ole!

BTW, I agree with you that it is virtually impossible to compare teams over different eras.  From one year to the next, yes.  Decades apart, no.

It sure got ME at DKR this year :73:

My only regret for this year was, in my health I haven't been to games in years.  I mustered everything I could to take my wife to a Texas game on our anniversary, the opener against La. Tech.  She'd never been to a game in person and I really wanted that for her.  I had problems beyond problems, not just with my usual pains and sufferings, but all the usual stuff has caused me to be so sedentary that I handled the heat really poorly and she wound up having to treat me for heat exhaustion as I retreated to the shadows of the concession areas away from the sun.  Fortunately she's a NP so I was in good hands.

Buddy of mine had offered me tix to a couple of LSU games this year, but I decided right there in Austin I was done with games and I imagine that will be my last unless and until something drastic changes.  

Best season in school history, arguably the greatest season and QB of all history, and I missed it.  Dammit.  

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: If '19 LSU was all-time great, who would you pick them to beat?
« Reply #62 on: January 20, 2020, 04:04:36 PM »
I also haven't once said LSU's defense was weak.  It's amazing how someone can read something and change the entire idea when they share it out.  
I specifically have said "not great".  How you transform that to "weak" is some interesting (un)mental gymnastics.  
.
National champions tend to have great defenses, statistically.  So when you compare solely NCs, a good/not great defense (compared to peers) looks worse.
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Before LSU, '10 Auburn's defense was among the worst for a NC.  '90 Colorado's wasn't great, but they had great sack numbers.  '84 BYU obviously didn't have an elite defense, nor did '82 Penn St.  
.
LSU's defense was very average when compared to other national champs.  I've never said or suggested weak.  It was between good and great in a vacuum (not great), and worse when compared to the great teams of the past (obviously).
.
Please stop misconstruing my words (if you're able).
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CWSooner

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Re: If '19 LSU was all-time great, who would you pick them to beat?
« Reply #63 on: January 20, 2020, 04:05:44 PM »
I'm sorry to hear that you are in bad health, Mike.  I had not gotten the word on that.

Is this something that you will just have to live with for the rest of your life, or is there reasonable hope for improvement?
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OrangeAfroMan

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Re: If '19 LSU was all-time great, who would you pick them to beat?
« Reply #64 on: January 20, 2020, 04:06:50 PM »
 

Best season in school history, arguably the greatest season and QB of all history, and I missed it.  Dammit. 
That stinks.  I'm sorry, man.
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

MikeDeTiger

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Re: If '19 LSU was all-time great, who would you pick them to beat?
« Reply #65 on: January 20, 2020, 04:38:38 PM »
I also haven't once said LSU's defense was weak.  It's amazing how someone can read something and change the entire idea when they share it out. 
I specifically have said "not great".  How you transform that to "weak" is some interesting (un)mental gymnastics. 
.
National champions tend to have great defenses, statistically.  So when you compare solely NCs, a good/not great defense (compared to peers) looks worse.
.
Before LSU, '10 Auburn's defense was among the worst for a NC.  '90 Colorado's wasn't great, but they had great sack numbers.  '84 BYU obviously didn't have an elite defense, nor did '82 Penn St. 
.
LSU's defense was very average when compared to other national champs.  I've never said or suggested weak.  It was between good and great in a vacuum (not great), and worse when compared to the great teams of the past (obviously).
.
Please stop misconstruing my words (if you're able).

edited to add:  this seems to come off more combative than I meant it.  No harsh tone is intended here. 



"Both were great offenses with 'good enough' defenses."

...and numerous other comments made here and elsewhere don't sound the same as "not great."  As in, they're not great.  Normal conversation with that phrase generally means they're mediocre, but if that's not what you meant, my bad. 

But you still didn't answer the question.  They're not great in part because you looked at season long numbers, which is faulty on a number of levels.  Look at how they finished the final games in any advanced stat, significantly higher than season long averages.  I asked are you wanting people to compare the season-long teams (defenses included) or the units that made it into the playoffs to stake their claim?  Because those are two very different things, based in large part in this case on injury and health. 

And if you want to talk about season long defenses, that becomes even more iffy to use seasonal stats, because how many MOVs are based on defenses subbing out guys at the end of blowouts?  How many lose focus in junk time?  How many quality offenses are each playing in the first place?  Does end-game defensive plans and junk time defensive plans seek to trade time for yards, or do they stick with their base?  That stuff all factors in season long defense and it's a valid question to ask how useful it is for comparison.  I heard this over and over from Clemson fans leading up to the game....they kept trotting out LSU's ranking in SP+ and FEI for the year, and tried to tell them it didn't mean much, this was a much, much better unit than the adv. stats showed.  Which is the correct one to use here?  I'm genuinely asking.  October 2019 LSU would have a lot more problems with '95 Nebraska than December LSU.  I don't know how to answer the question. 

I'd stick with eyeball test in this case because we have nothing else useful.  And the question remains, are you eyeballing the whole year's worth of defense for these teams, or just the games where they blew away their NC competitors?  I really don't know how to answer that.  LSU's defense in particular had problems throughout the year.  Over the last 4-5 games, they were one of the better LSU defenses we've seen this century, and their results vs. top offensive teams backed it up. 

MikeDeTiger

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Re: If '19 LSU was all-time great, who would you pick them to beat?
« Reply #66 on: January 20, 2020, 04:40:44 PM »
I'm sorry to hear that you are in bad health, Mike.  I had not gotten the word on that.

Is this something that you will just have to live with for the rest of your life, or is there reasonable hope for improvement?

Been going on 10+ years now, it's looking doubtful.  The problem compounds because one major thing that stops so many daily activities leads to a much less active lifestyle, which then creates it's own problems with conditioning, body chemistry, and a host of other things, as I have learned. 

MikeDeTiger

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Re: If '19 LSU was all-time great, who would you pick them to beat?
« Reply #67 on: January 20, 2020, 04:44:19 PM »
On a very limited basis, I have been able to make some simple trips for a few days, even if I can't do much on them.  We honeymooned last year in the hill country and made it back to Austin this year for our anniversary.  Wife really likes the area and we'll probably keep that up.

Next time I'll try to meet up with utee to catch up.  If he thinks I'm trolling him now, just wait til he sees me in person.  

Of course by then Texas will have beaten LSU in Tiger Stadium, so the job is going to be exponentially harder.  

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: If '19 LSU was all-time great, who would you pick them to beat?
« Reply #68 on: January 20, 2020, 06:41:02 PM »
edited to add:  this seems to come off more combative than I meant it.  No harsh tone is intended here.



"Both were great offenses with 'good enough' defenses."

...and numerous other comments made here and elsewhere don't sound the same as "not great."  As in, they're not great.  Normal conversation with that phrase generally means they're mediocre, but if that's not what you meant, my bad. 

But you still didn't answer the question.  They're not great in part because you looked at season long numbers, which is faulty on a number of levels.  Look at how they finished the final games in any advanced stat, significantly higher than season long averages.  I asked are you wanting people to compare the season-long teams (defenses included) or the units that made it into the playoffs to stake their claim?  Because those are two very different things, based in large part in this case on injury and health. 

And if you want to talk about season long defenses, that becomes even more iffy to use seasonal stats, because how many MOVs are based on defenses subbing out guys at the end of blowouts?  How many lose focus in junk time?  How many quality offenses are each playing in the first place?  Does end-game defensive plans and junk time defensive plans seek to trade time for yards, or do they stick with their base?  That stuff all factors in season long defense and it's a valid question to ask how useful it is for comparison.  I heard this over and over from Clemson fans leading up to the game....they kept trotting out LSU's ranking in SP+ and FEI for the year, and tried to tell them it didn't mean much, this was a much, much better unit than the adv. stats showed.  Which is the correct one to use here?  I'm genuinely asking.  October 2019 LSU would have a lot more problems with '95 Nebraska than December LSU.  I don't know how to answer the question. 

I'd stick with eyeball test in this case because we have nothing else useful.  And the question remains, are you eyeballing the whole year's worth of defense for these teams, or just the games where they blew away their NC competitors?  I really don't know how to answer that.  LSU's defense in particular had problems throughout the year.  Over the last 4-5 games, they were one of the better LSU defenses we've seen this century, and their results vs. top offensive teams backed it up. 

I go by season-long yards per attempt allowed numbers.  
And while I believe LSU's defense was better the last third of the year, their whole season, LIKE EVERYONE ELSE, is taken into account.  You're special pleading when you cite injuries, blowout substitutions, etc - because everyone does those things.  
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It doesn't matter if LSU fielded 11 guys the first half of the year and an entirely different group of 11 the second half, I have to take their whole season into consideration.  I have to.  
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If you'd like to whip out some sort of points-allowed-by-starters-per-minute-per-a-sub-25-point-lead stat, feel free.  Otherwise, it's special pleading.  A fallacy.
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

CatsbyAZ

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Re: If '19 LSU was all-time great, who would you pick them to beat?
« Reply #69 on: January 20, 2020, 07:06:30 PM »
Sorry to hear the bad news of you health Mike, God Bless

 

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