header pic

Perhaps the BEST B1G Forum anywhere, here at College Football Fan Site, CFB51!!!

The 'Old' CFN/Scout Crowd- Enjoy Civil discussion, game analytics, in depth player and coaching 'takes' and discussing topics surrounding the game. You can even have your own free board, all you have to do is ask!!!

Anyone is welcomed and encouraged to join our FREE site and to take part in our community- a community with you- the user, the fan, -and the person- will be protected from intrusive actions and with a clean place to interact.


Author

Topic: G5 Scheduling Alliance Proposal

 (Read 4065 times)

FearlessF

  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 37927
  • Liked:
Re: G5 Scheduling Alliance Proposal
« Reply #42 on: October 29, 2021, 11:02:17 AM »
perhaps the Longhorns and Sooners will go with them?
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

um1963

  • Recruit
  • **
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 68
  • Liked:
Re: G5 Scheduling Alliance Proposal
« Reply #43 on: October 29, 2021, 11:03:25 AM »
That's even worse.

What I hear around here is that people want individual games to matter. They want the regular season to matter. [Some of them] want conference championships to matter.

Going to 8 without any auto-bids tears all of that down, and all you get in return is some more money for the TV networks.

If you have 8, a conference championship doesn't matter. With 4, the committee has proven that it doesn't mean everything, but it still means something, in the selection process. You have to be special to get in without a conference championship.

If you have 8, you'll be getting teams with multiple mulligans. You'll get a 10-2 SEC team that didn't even qualify for its championship game, that has won nothing of note, that has earned nothing.

If you have 8, you'll have even more teams "scheduling wins" OOC than they currently do, because a team will KNOW that being 11-1 and not going to their conference championship game is enough. Ohio State couldn't survive a pasting by Purdue in 2018. They would with 8 teams.

The ONLY point of going to 8 (or 12) is to allow auto-bids. That's the only reason I'm in favor of it, actually, because then P5 conference championships are always meaningful. If you're not going to go auto-bids, might as well stay at 4.
I find winning a conference or conference championship to be a poor indicator of whether a team is actually one of the best teams in the nation.  Anyone really that impressed when Clemson runs the table in the ACC year after year?  Oklahoma owns the Big 12.

Schedule strength varies from team to team and conference strength varies from conference to conference.  Automatic bids just set arbitrary rules that ultimately end up weakening the playing field of teams that receive a playoff spot.

You're advocating to weaken the playoffs to preserve the importance of conference champions, but that just makes it easier for Bama, Clemson and OSU to dominate the playoffs in the end.



847badgerfan

  • Administrator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 25669
  • Liked:
Re: G5 Scheduling Alliance Proposal
« Reply #44 on: October 29, 2021, 11:21:45 AM »
I just want to stop the charade. Student athletes my ass. TV doesn't care about the student part. As a result, most people don't.

Call it what it is - NFL Lite. NFL minor league. Whatever. Then I can do other things on Saturdays - just like Sundays.
U RAH RAH! WIS CON SIN!

medinabuckeye1

  • Legend
  • ****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 8958
  • Liked:
Re: G5 Scheduling Alliance Proposal
« Reply #45 on: October 29, 2021, 11:22:05 AM »
Sure, whatever. The problem you have is you have no actual system to ensure the best teams are in. You have a lot of fancystats and computer comparisons and hypotheticals and poindexters. My way has results on the field. Which is fairer? Is it the system where every team gets a chance to prove they are the best by playing the game of football, or is it the system where teams play and then we run it through a bunch of algorithms and "eye tests" to decide who was actually best. I know which I think is better. Plus my way makes more games way more meaningful, meaning it's a lot more fun, to boot.
As I showed above, the MAC Champion two years ago lost to Ohio State by 71 freaking points.  You act like @OrangeAfroMan and I are the only ones who think that the tallest midgets can't compete.  We aren't.  Everyone with eyes can see that they can't compete.  In 2019 8-5 MAC Champion MiamiOH lost to Ohio State by 71, Iowa by 24, and Cincy by 22.  In your ridiculous system Iowa and Cincy would be out because they play in better leagues than MiamiOH but we'd get to see Georgia beat the snot out of MiamiOH in a joke of a first round game.  Your first round games would be:
  • #5 UGA vs #12 MiamiOH:  Georgia would be favored by 40+
  • #6 Oregon vs #11 FAU:  Oregon would be favored by 20+
  • #7 Baylor vs #10 ApSt:  This might actually be close but that says more about Baylor and the B12 than it does about ApSt and the SBelt.  It is irrelevant because the winner would get tOSU where they'd be a 20+ point dog.  
  • #8 Memphis vs #9 BoiseSt:  This would actually be a pretty good game but also a complete waste of time since the winner would be absolute cannon fodder for #1 LSU in the second round.  
Why should MiamiOH be included while two teams that completely thumped them are excluded.  Didn't you say that results on the field should matter?  


Brutus Buckeye

  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 11259
  • Liked:
Re: G5 Scheduling Alliance Proposal
« Reply #46 on: October 29, 2021, 11:25:40 AM »
I guess it is a matter of priority. 

Do we want the best playoff field imaginable, at the expense of the regular season. 

Or do we want the regular season to mean something, by rewarding Conference Champions, which promotes better OOC match ups. 
1919, 20, 21, 28, 29, 31, 34, 35, 36, 37, 42, 44
WWH: 1952, 54, 55, 57, 58, 60, 61, 62, 63, 65, 67, 68, 70, 72, 74, 75
1979, 81, 82, 84, 87, 94, 98
2001, 02, 04, 05, 06, 07, 08, 09, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19

FearlessF

  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 37927
  • Liked:
Re: G5 Scheduling Alliance Proposal
« Reply #47 on: October 29, 2021, 11:43:58 AM »
I'm not sure how much it promotes better OOC matchups, but I want the reg season to mean something and a conference championship to be of value
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

Brutus Buckeye

  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 11259
  • Liked:
Re: G5 Scheduling Alliance Proposal
« Reply #48 on: October 29, 2021, 11:45:35 AM »
I'm not sure how much it promotes better OOC matchups, but I want the reg season to mean something and a conference championship to be of value
Which better prepares you for a run at a Conference Title? Some challenging opponents? Or a bunch of easy Ws? 
1919, 20, 21, 28, 29, 31, 34, 35, 36, 37, 42, 44
WWH: 1952, 54, 55, 57, 58, 60, 61, 62, 63, 65, 67, 68, 70, 72, 74, 75
1979, 81, 82, 84, 87, 94, 98
2001, 02, 04, 05, 06, 07, 08, 09, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19

FearlessF

  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 37927
  • Liked:
Re: G5 Scheduling Alliance Proposal
« Reply #49 on: October 29, 2021, 11:47:49 AM »
Hayden Fry, then Bill Snyder learned to "never" schedule a loss

of course neither of them won too many conference titles
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

betarhoalphadelta

  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 12367
  • Liked:
Re: G5 Scheduling Alliance Proposal
« Reply #50 on: October 29, 2021, 11:52:04 AM »
I find winning a conference or conference championship to be a poor indicator of whether a team is actually one of the best teams in the nation.  Anyone really that impressed when Clemson runs the table in the ACC year after year?  Oklahoma owns the Big 12.

Schedule strength varies from team to team and conference strength varies from conference to conference.  Automatic bids just set arbitrary rules that ultimately end up weakening the playing field of teams that receive a playoff spot.

You're advocating to weaken the playoffs to preserve the importance of conference champions, but that just makes it easier for Bama, Clemson and OSU to dominate the playoffs in the end.
I'm not saying a conference championship proves a team is the best team in the nation. I think it's a more fair way to determine playoff inclusion than some beauty pageant in a closed room with a "committee". 

If that means that some years, you'll have a team in there that probably "doesn't belong"? Maybe. In some years, will a team that "doesn't belong" get hot and win three games in a row to become the champ? Maybe. 

But at least all P5 teams know, going into the season, that winning the conference championship gets them a seat at the table. Their ability to make the CFP is within their own control, not up to some beauty pageant committee.

I guess it is a matter of priority.

Do we want the best playoff field imaginable, at the expense of the regular season.

Or do we want the regular season to mean something, by rewarding Conference Champions, which promotes better OOC match ups.
This is another benefit. 

Right now teams have an incentive to schedule wins OOC. In a 5+1+2 (or 6+2) scenario, teams have an incentive to schedule tougher OOC.

  • If you schedule tough OOC but lose a game, you still make the CFP if you win your conference. So a strong team can schedule tough OOC without worrying that a loss eliminates them.
  • If you schedule tough OOC and win them all, but drop a game in conference that eliminates you from your CCG, you have a much better chance getting an at-large selection due to marquee wins OOC. 


Right now OOC SOS matters for P5 schools, but it matters FAR less than avoiding OOC losses. Because you already have decent SOS in-conference.

medinabuckeye1

  • Legend
  • ****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 8958
  • Liked:
Re: G5 Scheduling Alliance Proposal
« Reply #51 on: October 29, 2021, 12:01:06 PM »
Medina, I respect you greatly, but with this sport and especially with the particular outlook you have on the sport, there will be no fairness. That's how it ends.

If half the sport can't have a chance of competing on day one, there's no need to talk about fairness at all. None. And that's fine. It's unfair to the core. Nature of the beast.
Of course the sport isn't fair. 

In the NFL the worst teams get the earliest draft picks and the best teams get the latest draft picks which at least helps to level the playing field eventually.  

In CFB the players get to choose where to play and even before the NIL issue the great players generally wanted to play for great programs which contributed to a 'rich-get-richer' system.  Now with NIL the great players have not only the desire to win to motivate them to go to the best programs but they also have a serious financial incentive.  If you are a great QB and you go to Rutgers and get them to 6-6 you'll maybe get some NIL money in the NJ area but if you go to tOSU and get them a NC you'll be a nationally known and nationally marketable celebrity worth millions.  

There is no practical way to square this circle.  The sport is always going to be uneven.  

IMHO, the CFP and accompanying "nationalization" of the sport along with the NIL change have accelerated this in ways that were not really expected.  High-end recruits today have more motivation than ever to pick one of the VERY few programs that are consistently nationally competitive (basically Bama, Clemson, tOSU, OU, UGA and maybe LSU and Oregon).  

Those seven schools have 23 out of 28 CFP appearances (the other five are ND2x, FSU, MSU, Washington), 14 out of 14 CFP semi-final wins (Bama5x, Clemson4x, tOSU2x, LSU, UGA, Ore), and all seven CFP Championships (Bama3x, Clemson2x, tOSU, LSU).  Nobody else is even remotely close to that.  The other four teams that have been to the CFP are a combined 0-5 with five blowout losses in the semi-finals:
  • FSU by 39 in 2014
  • MSU by 38 in 2015
  • Notre Dame by 27 in 2018
  • Washington by 17 in 2016
  • Notre Dame by 17 in 2020

Even the 17 point losses by Washington-16 and Notre Dame-20 didn't actually feel that close.  

Those seven have some semi-final losses to, even some bad ones:
  • Bama lost a semi-final to tOSU in 2014, 42-35:  7 points
  • tOSU lost a semi-final to Clemson in 2016, 31-0:  31 points
  • Clemson lost a semi-final to Bama in 2017, 24-6:  18 points
  • tOSU lost a semi-final to Clemson in 2019, 29-23:  6 points
  • Clemson lost a semi-final to tOSU in 2020, 49-28:  21 points


The 18, 21, and 31 point losses were as bad as some of those losses by other teams but remember that these teams have offsetting semi-final and CG wins.  Those other teams don't.  

bayareabadger

  • Legend
  • ****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 7911
  • Liked:
Re: G5 Scheduling Alliance Proposal
« Reply #52 on: October 29, 2021, 12:05:11 PM »
But letting the Sun Belt champ into a playoff is no different than it is now - they have no chance.  They have no chance if you're selective/exclusive and they have no chance if you're inclusive.
The point is that now they can't win a NC in the abstract and letting them in a playoff will simply transform that into reality.  It will expose it from an opinion now to a fact in a playoff.  Why put a spotlight on it? 
.
Right now, they're choosing to be in purgatory.  That's their choice.  They are choosing to value the money they make in FBS over the championship opportunities of FCS.  They know a NC is impossible in FBS, and they've accepted that in order to bring in more money.
Who made them do this?  NO ONE.
So sorry if altering the entire postseason system to cater to them doesn't make any sense to most poeple.
He spoke of fairness. I answered about fairness. If we want to split the division officially, I’m generally fine.

But this endless circularity is sort of dumb. A sport where half the sport is out unless there’s a Rube Goldberg-style set of things that happen really doesn’t need a deep yet incomplete analysis of they Rube Goldberg element. And explaining to me “duh, they’ll never win, so best to leave them out is likewise pointless.”

If a team goes to the playoff, via a static route, and loses, then the playoff is doing its job. And if the Sun Belt team loses from here to eternity, still the playoff doing its job. In fact, it’s the playoff doing its job well. If a mid-tier P5 is hurt by this, it can join the MAC. And if you don’t want to watch the functional bye games, go outside and get a milkshake or some chili, plus some fresh air. The rest of the games will be there next week.

bayareabadger

  • Legend
  • ****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 7911
  • Liked:
Re: G5 Scheduling Alliance Proposal
« Reply #53 on: October 29, 2021, 12:09:52 PM »
Of course the sport isn't fair. 

In the NFL the worst teams get the earliest draft picks and the best teams get the latest draft picks which at least helps to level the playing field eventually. 

In CFB the players get to choose where to play and even before the NIL issue the great players generally wanted to play for great programs which contributed to a 'rich-get-richer' system.  Now with NIL the great players have not only the desire to win to motivate them to go to the best programs but they also have a serious financial incentive.  If you are a great QB and you go to Rutgers and get them to 6-6 you'll maybe get some NIL money in the NJ area but if you go to tOSU and get them a NC you'll be a nationally known and nationally marketable celebrity worth millions. 

There is no practical way to square this circle.  The sport is always going to be uneven. 

IMHO, the CFP and accompanying "nationalization" of the sport along with the NIL change have accelerated this in ways that were not really expected.  High-end recruits today have more motivation than ever to pick one of the VERY few programs that are consistently nationally competitive (basically Bama, Clemson, tOSU, OU, UGA and maybe LSU and Oregon). 

Those seven schools have 23 out of 28 CFP appearances (the other five are ND2x, FSU, MSU, Washington), 14 out of 14 CFP semi-final wins (Bama5x, Clemson4x, tOSU2x, LSU, UGA, Ore), and all seven CFP Championships (Bama3x, Clemson2x, tOSU, LSU).  Nobody else is even remotely close to that.  The other four teams that have been to the CFP are a combined 0-5 with five blowout losses in the semi-finals:
  • FSU by 39 in 2014
  • MSU by 38 in 2015
  • Notre Dame by 27 in 2018
  • Washington by 17 in 2016
  • Notre Dame by 17 in 2020

Even the 17 point losses by Washington-16 and Notre Dame-20 didn't actually feel that close. 

Those seven have some semi-final losses to, even some bad ones:
  • Bama lost a semi-final to tOSU in 2014, 42-35:  7 points
  • tOSU lost a semi-final to Clemson in 2016, 31-0:  31 points
  • Clemson lost a semi-final to Bama in 2017, 24-6:  18 points
  • tOSU lost a semi-final to Clemson in 2019, 29-23:  6 points
  • Clemson lost a semi-final to tOSU in 2020, 49-28:  21 points


The 18, 21, and 31 point losses were as bad as some of those losses by other teams but remember that these teams have offsetting semi-final and CG wins.  Those other teams don't. 
Good. So we agree it matters not at all if it’s “unfair” that a perfectly good Wisconsin team is left out of a playoff, even if a worse team is let in. 

Got is some agreement there.

MrNubbz

  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 17249
  • Liked:
Re: G5 Scheduling Alliance Proposal
« Reply #54 on: October 29, 2021, 12:13:02 PM »
All good points Cincy lost by 3 in January to Georgia.That may be the fly in the ointment this year,just sayin'
Don't go to bed with any woman crazier than you. - Frank Zappa

bayareabadger

  • Legend
  • ****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 7911
  • Liked:
Re: G5 Scheduling Alliance Proposal
« Reply #55 on: October 29, 2021, 12:14:41 PM »
Right now OOC SOS matters for P5 schools, but it matters FAR less than avoiding OOC losses. Because you already have decent SOS in-conference.
Does it? 

Like, has any team in the playoff era really been punished for it or rewarded for it? Like, you just line up the P5 teams by losses and conference titles, and that makes most of, if not all the difference. 

 

Support the Site!
Purchase of every item listed here DIRECTLY supports the site.