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Topic: Did the Committee get it right, if not, how so?

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FearlessF

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Re: Did the Committee get it right, if not, how so?
« Reply #56 on: December 10, 2025, 02:29:50 PM »
IMO, the teams whining that they deserve to be in the playoff are more concerned about the $$$ they would receive than the opportunity to win a MNC
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

bayareabadger

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Re: Did the Committee get it right, if not, how so?
« Reply #57 on: December 10, 2025, 02:31:39 PM »


I wish.

I was looking at some of this in relation to someone saying that Notre Dame strategically schedules mid to bad P5 teams. And it reminds you how deeply random this often is.

Like, more than 10 years if you were a big name school, you could’ve scheduled Texas and you would’ve felt pretty great about notching a name-brand win with less work. Look at the ups and downs of FSU on that front!

FearlessF

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Re: Did the Committee get it right, if not, how so?
« Reply #58 on: December 10, 2025, 02:32:46 PM »
yep. they (committee) told us that last yr when smu got in b/c conference politics. only homers thought they belonged more or less.

with a 9 game sec schedule coming down the tracks if tx is smart they will trade ohio state for purdue moving forward.

so, there will be a season in the future where Texas will have scheduled Purdue instead of Ohio St.
Texas will lose 2 games and be excluded because of the weak schedule
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

utee94

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Re: Did the Committee get it right, if not, how so?
« Reply #59 on: December 10, 2025, 02:36:27 PM »
Feels like they would probably get punished for completely no showing the non-conference.

Should they have scheduled a big brand who turned out to be mediocre or a team that went something like 9-3 instead of the top program in the land, yeah, probably.
Eh, I doubt it.  If Texas had played Akron instead of Ohio State, the Horns would have gotten in this year, with wins over 2 CFP top 10 teams and 3 CFP top 14 teams total. 

But in general, yeah, the new scheduling philosophy will  most likely be to schedule low-level P4 teams as the "marquee" opponent, then a couple of bodybag/cupcake/scrubs.  Then the 9-game SEC schedule. In most years Texas with only 2 losses against that schedule is going to get in.

utee94

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Re: Did the Committee get it right, if not, how so?
« Reply #60 on: December 10, 2025, 02:37:24 PM »
so, there will be a season in the future where Texas will have scheduled Purdue instead of Ohio St.
Texas will lose 2 games and be excluded because of the weak schedule
Texas will have 9 games against SEC teams.  The schedule will be a lot stronger than Miami's, which was good enough to get them in with 2 losses.

Brutus Buckeye

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Re: Did the Committee get it right, if not, how so?
« Reply #61 on: December 10, 2025, 02:42:20 PM »
Or you could avoid losing to 4-8 teams. 

utee94

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Re: Did the Committee get it right, if not, how so?
« Reply #62 on: December 10, 2025, 02:49:10 PM »
Or you could avoid losing to 4-8 teams.
Sure.  Or also just never schedule a loss.  Either works.

I'm not saying I like it or approve of it, just commenting on what the likely outcome of missing the CFP will be for Texas' future schedules.

nwms

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Re: Did the Committee get it right, if not, how so?
« Reply #63 on: December 10, 2025, 02:52:00 PM »
Or you could avoid losing to 4-8 teams.

don't lose to " " can be said about anyone not undefeated & of course it's true relative to the florida game but the point stands relative to tx' decision to schedule the ohio state game & the consequences for losing it. had they scheduled northwestern instead of ohio state they'd have a win over another playoff team in oklahoma, they'd have handed aTm their only loss, & also beat a very good 10-2 vandy team & the committee would be falling all over themselves to put them in over miami. truth be told they're more deserving than miami now but that doesn't play b/c 10-2 > 9-3 & they don't care who you played unless the records match or you're in the sun belt.....errr.

Brutus Buckeye

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Re: Did the Committee get it right, if not, how so?
« Reply #64 on: December 10, 2025, 02:54:43 PM »
I'm not so sure. 

Northwestern's not as bad as Florida. 

:D

medinabuckeye1

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Re: Did the Committee get it right, if not, how so?
« Reply #65 on: December 10, 2025, 02:54:49 PM »
This is the rub for the Bama-haters.  Both in the BCS and Playoff era, Bama was argued for by the school, Saban, and probably most importantly, mediots, based on whatever their argument was for that year.  If they had a good schedule with quality wins, that was touted and said to be what should really matter.  If they didn't, but looked like the best team, that was touted and said to be what should really matter. 

It got old, but fortunately, I don't much care anymore. 
I think most people do this and, to me, it is funny to watch.  They'll grab whatever argument fits their preferred outcome, it is called outcome based reasoning.  

medinabuckeye1

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Re: Did the Committee get it right, if not, how so?
« Reply #66 on: December 10, 2025, 02:57:56 PM »
11) Tulane. Wait, what?!? I'm a fan of giving non-P4 teams a shot...if they earn it. If you're Boise State or TCU from a few years back, beat everyone on your schedule, including scheduling and beating one of the big kids, by all means, give it your best. But Ole Miss smoked Tulane, and so did UT-San Antonio. WTF. Why is this team here?
In one of the iterations of the BCS formula they had a stipulation that the highest ranked G5 Champion got a BCS Bowl (major bowl not NC) but it was conditional on being ranked in the top-12 (IIRC).  

I think it would make sense to say something like:
  • The four highest ranked conference Champions get in unconditionally.  
  • The fifth highest ranked conference Champion gets in IF they are ranked in the top-16.  

We could debate whether that should say "top-16" or "top-20" or "top-25" but I don't care as much about the exact condition as that there should be SOME condition.  

FearlessF

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Re: Did the Committee get it right, if not, how so?
« Reply #67 on: December 10, 2025, 03:01:30 PM »
Texas will have 9 games against SEC teams.  The schedule will be a lot stronger than Miami's, which was good enough to get them in with 2 losses.
As I said, it will happen someday.  not often.  It may not be Miami or Notre Dame's weak ass schedule you're competing with for that slot.
Could be other SEC teams or 2-loss Big Ten teams
as you stated in a previous post.......... In most years Texas with only 2 losses against that schedule is going to get in.
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

utee94

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Re: Did the Committee get it right, if not, how so?
« Reply #68 on: December 10, 2025, 03:05:32 PM »
As I said, it will happen someday.  not often.  It may not be Miami or Notre Dame's weak ass schedule you're competing with for that slot.
Could be other SEC teams or 2-loss Big Ten teams
as you stated in a previous post.......... In most years Texas with only 2 losses against that schedule is going to get in.
Sure but that's nothing more than the risk/reward calculation.  Right now we know that Texas scheduled a loss that kept them out of the playoff.  That's already happened.  So going forward, it will no longer happen.  Remove the enormous, known, and already detrimental risk, and also the slight chance of being rewarded.

And we all know you're being nothing more than an argumentative pot-stirrer right now because you've stated a million times "never schedule a loss."  Going forward I expect Texas to follow that prescribed course of action.

medinabuckeye1

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Re: Did the Committee get it right, if not, how so?
« Reply #69 on: December 10, 2025, 03:08:54 PM »
Texas will have 9 games against SEC teams.  The schedule will be a lot stronger than Miami's, which was good enough to get them in with 2 losses.
But will it?  

I've been beating this drum for a long time but it matters because it IS a possibility:
Texas had a TOUGH SEC schedule this year.  There were seven SEC teams that went 6-2 or better and Texas played four of them.  The other side of the coin is in your state.  The Aggies also played an "SEC Schedule" but theirs involved playing just two of the 6-2 or better teams and FIVE 2-6 or worse teams.  

When you go to nine Texas might add Bama (7-1) and aTm might add UK (2-6) in which case Texas' schedule gets even tougher and aTm's gets even easier.  

To be clear, I'm not picking on the SEC here, the same thing applies in the B1G.  In the mega-conference era it needs to be understood that conference schedules vary GREATLY from one team to the next.  My own team had a pretty lightweight league schedule in 2025 (played five of the seven teams that went 3-6 or worse) but they had a very difficult league schedule in 2024 when they played all three of the teams that went 8-1 or better (and went 2-1).  

So yeah, Texas' nine-game SEC Schedules will generally be tougher but not always.  Some years they'll end up playing almost the entire bottom half of the league and only a couple quality teams.  Other years they'll face a murder's row of almost the entire top half of the league.  

 

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