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Topic: Coaching changes

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betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Coaching changes
« Reply #308 on: November 16, 2021, 10:59:46 AM »
Bear in mind that 2019 IU has an inflated record due to weak OOC scheduling. 2019 IU shows up as an 8-5 team but they were only 5-4 in conference. If you add them up points-wise, they were dead even in margin of victory/loss throughout 9 conference games. In conference they scored 267 points, and gave up... 267 points. 

I'm sure the weirdness of 2020 in general, and the fact that they only had 7 games prior to the bowl, also add up. 

It's a lot more statistically common to go 6-1 (86%) in 7 consecutive hands of blackjack than it is to maintain an 86% win rate in 13 consecutive hands of blackjack. Give 2020 IU a full season, and maybe it would have smoothed that outlier nature a little more. Or maybe it wouldn't, if they scheduled OOC like they did in 2019 (Ball State, FCS Eastern Illinois, should-be-FCS UConn). 

utee94

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Re: Coaching changes
« Reply #309 on: November 16, 2021, 11:48:37 AM »
don't forget Washington
So that's already 6 before the season is even over.

Cincydawg

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Re: Coaching changes
« Reply #310 on: November 16, 2021, 02:08:38 PM »
USC VT Texas Tech TCU Washington LSU.

My o/u should be at least 8, maybe 9.

bayareabadger

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Re: Coaching changes
« Reply #311 on: November 16, 2021, 02:22:47 PM »
Bear in mind that 2019 IU has an inflated record due to weak OOC scheduling. 2019 IU shows up as an 8-5 team but they were only 5-4 in conference. If you add them up points-wise, they were dead even in margin of victory/loss throughout 9 conference games. In conference they scored 267 points, and gave up... 267 points.
They were 28th in F+ in 2019 (23rd in SP+, 41st in FPI). In 2020, those were 23rd overall (23rd and 26th). I think that understates it a little, but I also think it's fair to say they were passable, then decent, then pretty good for a year (aided by some turnover luck). 

Not some weird bolt from the blue, one-season outlier. And everything is relative. One could argue in 2020 their record was inflated by relative outlier seasons from three of the four best programs in that division. Is what it is at a point. 

Cincydawg

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Re: Coaching changes
« Reply #312 on: November 16, 2021, 02:28:38 PM »
I used to loop Kentucky with Indiana for obvious reasons, but UK has sustained some pretty good seasons of late, including 10-3 in 2018.  They could repeat that this year, possibly, at 7-3 with Laville, and NMSU remaining plus a bowl.  But most "lesser" programs than have a 10-3 year fall apart the next season (UNC is an extant example).


Mdot21

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Re: Coaching changes
« Reply #313 on: November 16, 2021, 06:07:53 PM »
rumors picking up steam that Lincoln Riley may be heading to LSU. Personally, I don't think it's a good fit. They'll just be Oklahoma of the SEC- all offense zero defense. Need a defense that can at least get some stops if you're going to compete with the Alabama's and Georgia's.

MrNubbz

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Re: Coaching changes
« Reply #314 on: November 16, 2021, 06:15:19 PM »
In Norman he could count on staying a while,build a porch,join the Kiwanis.At Baton Rouge he'll get swept out with Les Miles grass clippings
Suburbia:Where they tear out the trees & then name streets after them.

utee94

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Re: Coaching changes
« Reply #315 on: November 16, 2021, 06:35:36 PM »
I'd certainly love for him to leave OU and decrease their stability, but I'd be surprised if it happened.

Gigem

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Re: Coaching changes
« Reply #316 on: November 16, 2021, 07:05:04 PM »
I’d be somewhat surprised. He walked into a great thing at OU and kept it great. He would have to rebuild a program that has a completely different culture and make up. 

He must be disgruntled at OU for some reason if he leaves. I’m calling it now, if Riley leaves Bob Stoops will return like Bill Snyder at KSU. 

Mdot21

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Re: Coaching changes
« Reply #317 on: November 16, 2021, 08:18:37 PM »
he may want to get an early start on the SEC? Lol. In all seriousness, he might as well get in now- bc when Oklahoma and Texas join the SEC they'll both have a really tough time ever winning it. 

TX/OU should've made a play for the PAC.

MrNubbz

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Re: Coaching changes
« Reply #318 on: November 16, 2021, 08:21:03 PM »
Be nice to go back 20 yrs and stand pat
Suburbia:Where they tear out the trees & then name streets after them.

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: Coaching changes
« Reply #319 on: November 16, 2021, 08:59:32 PM »
Would I be wrong in guessing everyone here would go back to 1989 and its alignment?
Big 8
SWC
10-team SEC
10-team Big Ten
Penn St, Florida St, Miami, Pitt, ND, VT, WV independents
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

Gigem

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Re: Coaching changes
« Reply #320 on: November 17, 2021, 07:02:36 AM »
he may want to get an early start on the SEC? Lol. In all seriousness, he might as well get in now- bc when Oklahoma and Texas join the SEC they'll both have a really tough time ever winning it.

TX/OU should've made a play for the PAC.
You never really know. Same thing was said when Tex/A&M joined the Big 12, then we took 2/3 from the first three championships. Split 2-2 out of the first 4. Remember, this was when Nebraska was very dominant. SWC was considered weak. 

Of course, the sec is very deep, with 5-6 blue bloods or near blue bloods.  But there have been many champions other than Alabama. And Alabama is just as likely to be more like Texas than they are Ohio state once Saban leaves. What I mean by that is that Ohio state seems to be the only team that plays consistently well through coaching changes. 

Cincydawg

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Re: Coaching changes
« Reply #321 on: November 17, 2021, 07:05:44 AM »
Will any team win the SEC often with 16 teams?  I'd think OU would have the same kind of shot as LSU and Auburn and Florida.


 

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