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Topic: CFP NCG, #1 Bama vs #11 Ohio State

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MrNubbz

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Re: CFP NCG, #1 Bama vs #11 Ohio State
« Reply #112 on: January 09, 2021, 08:32:24 AM »
Still see Tommy Togiai and Tyreke Smith and possibly Antuwan Jackson on some boards whilst surfing
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Abba

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Re: CFP NCG, #1 Bama vs #11 Ohio State
« Reply #113 on: January 09, 2021, 11:05:33 PM »
There is an insane thread on Eleven Warriors where posters are stalking all forms of social media to confirm who is in.  Looks like 40ish confirmed so far and most starters are good.  DE Tyreke Smith, RB Miyan Williams, K Blake Haubeil, and K Dom DiMaccio are the only ones that sound like they are definitely out at this point.
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MrNubbz

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Re: CFP NCG, #1 Bama vs #11 Ohio State
« Reply #114 on: January 10, 2021, 08:53:51 AM »
Ya but Williams and Smith could make a difference.Williams is tough to bring down in short yardage situations.Averaged 7yds a crack vs Clemson
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MaximumSam

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Re: CFP NCG, #1 Bama vs #11 Ohio State
« Reply #115 on: January 10, 2021, 08:57:47 AM »
Yeah, it looks like the team is mostly intact.  Losing Togiai and Smith is a big blow, because they were playing great, but they can still put a defensive line on the field.  Losing two kickers would be rough - I guess that would leave Seibert as the last guy standing.  He's 0-1 on field goals this year.  Not sure about the tight ends, either - they really helped the offense against Clemson.  
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MrNubbz

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Re: CFP NCG, #1 Bama vs #11 Ohio State
« Reply #116 on: January 10, 2021, 09:02:26 AM »
Holy Shyt Togiai too? I loved our chances a week ago ........
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Cincydawg

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Re: CFP NCG, #1 Bama vs #11 Ohio State
« Reply #117 on: January 10, 2021, 09:07:15 AM »
College Football Playoff predictions, odds: Expert picks for Alabama vs. Ohio State in national championship - CBSSports.com

The line has moved from 7.5 to 8, which isn't that much, it would be more if OSU were missing more key players I think.

I fear it could be relatively ugly, like say 42-24.
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FearlessF

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Re: CFP NCG, #1 Bama vs #11 Ohio State
« Reply #118 on: January 10, 2021, 09:34:20 AM »
if the folks laying down money knew more key players will be missing, the money line would change

the sports books obviously have resources and sources to know more than we do about who might miss the game

but, the wagers set the line and cause it to move
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Cincydawg

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Re: CFP NCG, #1 Bama vs #11 Ohio State
« Reply #119 on: January 10, 2021, 11:01:13 AM »
I'd guess any "smart money" that knew with high confidence that OSU was going to miss more key players, they would bet and cause the line to move more than half a point.

It seems to be more rumor than substance today, to me.  Rumor might shift the line half a point.

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MrNubbz

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Re: CFP NCG, #1 Bama vs #11 Ohio State
« Reply #120 on: January 10, 2021, 11:50:20 AM »
Quote from: Cincydawg on January 10, 2021, 09:07:15 AM
College Football Playoff predictions, odds: Expert picks for Alabama vs. Ohio State in national championship - CBSSports.com

The line has moved from 7.5 to 8, which isn't that much, it would be more if OSU were missing more key players I think.

I fear it could be relatively ugly, like say 42-24.
Those guys out changes everything.Williams started showing his wares late,Togia(starter) and Smith(rotates) wreak havoc on the line - no little thing on pressuring Mac Jones
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medinabuckeye1

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Re: CFP NCG, #1 Bama vs #11 Ohio State
« Reply #121 on: January 10, 2021, 01:22:34 PM »
In all likelihood missing these guys is a big blow and makes an already difficult challenge even more unlikely so I have no confidence in this at all, but a potential other side of things:

Maybe the Ohio State team gets closer, tougher, and more dedicated. Maybe Bama spent the past 11 days collecting individual trophies and celebrating their "inevitable" triumph over the short-handed and over-matched Buckeyes. Maybe this contributes to an "Ohio against the world" mentality and the Buckeyes come out laser-focused an win the game.

I have zero confidence in the above but I'm clinging to it for a dose of optimism.
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Cincydawg

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Re: CFP NCG, #1 Bama vs #11 Ohio State
« Reply #122 on: January 10, 2021, 01:26:32 PM »
Quote from: MrNubbz on January 10, 2021, 11:50:20 AM
Those guys out changes everything.Williams started showing his wares late,Togia(starter) and Smith(rotates) wreak havoc on the line - no little thing on pressuring Mac Jones
When was it known certain those guys are out?
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MaximumSam

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Re: CFP NCG, #1 Bama vs #11 Ohio State
« Reply #123 on: January 10, 2021, 02:56:59 PM »
Quote from: Cincydawg on January 10, 2021, 01:26:32 PM
When was it known certain those guys are out?
It's not certain now but a product of the rumor mill and internet sleuthing. We won't get an official list until tomorrow, probably right before the game.
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FearlessF

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Re: CFP NCG, #1 Bama vs #11 Ohio State
« Reply #124 on: January 10, 2021, 03:10:21 PM »
I'm guessing not many will be held out of the game because of the virus if it is played Monday night
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Cincydawg

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Re: CFP NCG, #1 Bama vs #11 Ohio State
« Reply #125 on: January 10, 2021, 03:33:18 PM »
Rumor is rumor, and it hasn't changed the line apparently.
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