Perhaps the BEST B1G Forum anywhere, here at College Football Fan Site, CFB51!!!

Yeah. I'd throw $100 at that line easy.

I'd throw a lot more,fearless would get the itch too

I'd throw a lot more,fearless would get the itch too

yup, I didn't think -20 was enough vs the Irish, but the Bucks are a much better team than the Irish

Ok. ESPN has the Buckeyes as the toughest opponent for Alabama this year. Claiming Alabama would only win 67% of the time.

A&M was the next toughest 'bama had a 74% chance to beat them.

that reminds me of "The Boz"

I have a friendly $100 wager with a buddy of mine who says Bama wins in a walk.  He gave me Ohio St +19.

that guy is an idiot. congrats on $100.

It is crazy how Bama, Clemson, and (to a somewhat lesser extent) tOSU have just moved to a whole new level vis-a-vis the rest of CFB. 

For 2014-2020 all three are right around 0.900.  Next best is Oklahoma at 0.815. 

Looking at losses from 2014-2020:

• 8 Bama/tOSU winner (91-8 if Bama, 83-8 if tOSU)
• 9 Bama/tOSU loser (90-9 if Bama, 82-9 if tOSU)
• 10 Clemson (89-10)
• 17 Oklahoma (75-17)

That is a stupendously large gap between Oklahoma and the top-3 especially considering that Oklahoma's seven-year record is really, REALLY good. 


After next week's CG there will have been a total of 21 CFP games played and 17 of them will have been won by Bama (7 or 8), Clemson (6), or tOSU (3 or 4).  All the rest of CFB combined will have just four CFP wins (LSU-2, UGA-1, Ore-1). 

In the CFP era (2014-2020) here is what those three have done against everyone else:

Bama is 88-5 against teams not named tOSU or Clemson, that is a winning percentage of 0.946.  They are:

• 0-1 against tOSU (pending next week's CG)
• 2-2 against Clemson
• 5-2 against Auburn
• 5-2 against Ole Miss
• 6-1 against LSU
• perfect against everybody else. 

Ohio State is 80-6 against teams not named Bama or Clemson, that is a winning percentage of 0.930.  They are:

• 1-0 against Bama (pending next week's CG)
• 1-2 against Clemson
• 0-1 against Purdue
• 0-1 against Iowa
• 1-1 against Oklahoma
• 1-1 against VaTech
• 6-1 against Penn State
• 6-1 against Michigan State
• perfect against everybody else. 

Clemson is 85-7 against teams not named Bama or tOSU, that is a winning percentage of 0.924.  They are:

• 2-2 against Bama
• 2-1 against tOSU
• 0-1 against UGA
• 0-1 against LSU
• 2-1 against Pitt
• 3-1 against Notre Dame
• 5-1 against FSU
• 6-1 against Syracuse
• 6-1 against GaTech
• perfect against everybody else. 

Instead of increasing access, the CFP is just making the rich richer because recruits now can clearly see that there are three primary destinations to consider if they want to play for titles.  The next tier is WAY behind at this point:

• LSU:  One NC and 2-0 in CFP games but only one CFP appearance in seven years. 
• Georgia:  1-1 in CFP games but only one CFP appearance in seven years. 
• Oregon:  1-1 in CFP games but only one CFP appearance in seven years. 
• Oklahoma:  4 CFP appearances but 0-4 in CFP games. 
• Notre Dame:  2 CFP appearances but 0-2 in CFP games. 

Instead of increasing access, the CFP is just making the rich richer because recruits now can clearly see that there are three primary destinations to consider if they want to play for titles.  The next tier is WAY behind at this point:

oh, it increased access, but......

the 3rd and 4th team, that may not had a shot previously, now have to win back to back games vs the top 4.

more or less throwing down an impossible gauntlet
previously an underdog might pull and upset and grab a MNC.  the odds are nearly impossible today