Going into Saturday
Nebraska is now out at 5-7. Neb has no chance with its lower APR rank to make a bowl at 5-7.
Mich St is now out at 4-8. MSU had an extremely small chance to make a bowl at 5-7 but that's gone now.
Mich, Ohio St, PSU, Iowa, Rut, MD, NW, Wisc are bowl elligible.
PUR, Ind, Neb, MSU are out.
Minnesota is 5-6 and needs to beat Wisc to become bowl elligible. Minn has a 26% chance to make a bowl at 5-7 due to its APR rank being so high.
ILL is 5-6 and needs to beat NW to become bowl elligible. ILL has no chance to make a bowl at 5-7 due to its lower APR rank.
Going into Saturday:
Total number of bowl slots: 82
In: 69
Out: 43
5-6: 17
Other: 1 (Navy at 5-5)
So there are 13 slots still need to be filled and 18 teams that still could get to 6 wins.
If all 82 spots are not filled, the next 2 in would be James Madison and then Jax St, both in the 2nd year of transition from FCS to FBS and both have at least 6 wins.
After that 5-7 teams are picked based on APR ranking.
Assuming about 9 out of 18 of the 5 win teams do actually win, that leaves about 4 spots, 2 for JMU and JSU, and 2 spots for 5-7 teams. If Minn ends up 5-7, they might be 2nd on the APR after the dust settles, but that's a lot of ifs. Better if Minn just beats Wisc if they want to make a bowl