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Topic: B1G Power Rankings Regular Season Complete

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medinabuckeye1

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B1G Power Rankings Regular Season Complete
« on: November 23, 2018, 05:12:57 PM »
Link to last week's rankings.  

Votes through me, 15 voters:
Team/Poster AVG Rank StdDev BestWorstRange LW AVG LW RankChg AvgChg Rank
tOSU          1.13 1          0.35 121          2.42 2          1.28 1
M          2.13 2          0.52 132          1.00 1        (1.13)-1
NU          2.93 3          0.80 143          3.00 3          0.07 0
PSU          3.87 4          0.52 352          3.92 4          0.05 0
Iowa          5.13 5          0.64 473          6.08 6          0.95 1
PU          7.07 6          1.10 594          7.42 8          0.35 2
UW          7.27 7          1.49 6115          6.00 5        (1.27)-2
MSU          7.60 8          1.50 5105          6.83 7        (0.77)-1
UNL          9.07 9          1.53 6115          8.75 9        (0.32)0
MN          9.80 10          1.57 7125        11.25 11          1.45 1
MD        10.33 11          1.05 8124          9.83 10        (0.50)-1
IU        11.67 12          0.49 11121        11.50 12        (0.17)0
ILL        13.00 13               -   13130        13.00 13               -   0
RU        14.00 14               -   14140        14.00 14               -   0
Drop the high and low:
Team/Poster AVG Rank StdDev BestWorstRange LW AVG LW RankChg Avg
tOSU          1.08 1          0.28 121          2.30 2          1.22
M          2.15 2          0.38 231          1.00 1        (1.15)
NU          3.00 3          0.58 242          2.90 3        (0.10)
PSU          3.85 4          0.38 341          3.90 4          0.05
Iowa          5.08 5          0.28 561          6.10 6          1.02
PU          7.08 6.5          0.86 682          7.40 8          0.32
UW          7.08 6.5          1.12 693          5.90 5        (1.18)
MSU          7.62 8          1.26 6104          6.80 7        (0.82)
UNL          9.15 9          1.28 7114          9.10 9        (0.05)
MN          9.85 10          1.34 8124        11.30 11          1.45
MD        10.38 11          0.77 9123          9.70 10        (0.68)
IU        11.69 12          0.48 11121        11.60 12        (0.09)
ILL        13.00 13               -   13130        13.00 13               -  
RU        14.00 14               -   14140        14.00 14               -  
Various graphical representations:
<br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br />
Schedule/performance chart:
Rank.123456.56.5891011121314.Rank
.TeamtOSUMNUPSUIowaPUUWMSUUNLMNMDIUILLRUTeam.
1tOSUn/aL by 23, AmissL by 1, HmissW by 29, HmissL by 20, HL by 5, AL by 16, AL in OT, HL by 23, AmissL by 49, AtOSU1
2MW by 23, Hn/aL by 3, HL by 35, AmissmissL by 25, AL by 14, HL by 46, AmissL by 21, AL by 11, AmissL by 35, HM2
3NUmissW by 3, An/amissL by 4, HL by 4, HL by 14, AL by 10, HL in OT, AL by 10, AmissmissL by 8, AL by 3, HNU3
4PSUW by 1, AW by 35, Hmissn/aL by 6, AmissL by 12, AW by 4, AmissmissL by 35, AL by 5, HL by 39, HL by 13, HPSU4
5IowamissmissW by 4, AW by 6, Hn/aW by 2, HW by 11, AmissL by 3, AL by 17, HL by 23, AL by 26, HL by 63, HmissIowa5
6.5PUL by 29, AmissW by 4, AmissL by 2, An/aW in OT, AW by 10, HL by 14, HW by 31, HmissL by 7, HL by 39, HmissPU6.5
6.5UWmissW by 25, HW by 14, HW by 12, HL by 11, HL in OT, Hn/amissL by 17, AW by 22, AmissmissL by 29, AL by 14, AUW6.5
8MSUW by 20, AW by 14, AW by 10, AL by 4, HmissL by 10, Amissn/aW by 3, HmissL by 21, HL by 14, HmissL by 4, AMSU8
9UNLW by 5, HW by 46, HW in OT, HmissW by 3, HW by 14, AW by 17, HL by 3, An/aL by 25, AmissmissL by 19, AmissUNL9
10MNW by 16, HmissW by 10, AmissW by 17, AL by 31, AL by 22, HmissW by 25, Hn/aW by 29, HL by 7, AW by 24, HmissMN10
11MDW in OT, AW by 21, HmissW by 35, HW by 23, HmissmissW by 21, AmissL by 29, An/aW by 2, HL by 30, AL by 27, AMD11
12IUW by 23, HW by 11, HmissW by 5, AW by 26, AW by 7, AmissW by 14, AmissW by 7, HL by 2, An/amissL by 7, HIU12
13ILLmissmissW by 8, HW by 39, AW by 63,AW by 39, AW by 29, HmissW by 19, HL by 24, AW by 30, Hmissn/aL by 21, HILL13
14RUW by 49, HW by 35, AW by 3, AW by 13, AmissmissW by 14, HW by 4, HmissmissW by 27, HW by 7, AW by 21, An/aRU14
.TeamtOSUMNUPSUIowaPUUWMSUUNLMNMDIUILLRUTeam.
Rank.123456.56.5891011121314.Rank
« Last Edit: November 27, 2018, 12:42:34 PM by medinabuckeye1 »
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LittlePig

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Re: B1G Power Rankings Regular Season Complete
« Reply #1 on: November 24, 2018, 08:23:42 PM »
1.  NW
2.  OSU
3.  Mich
4.  PSU
5.  Iowa
6.  Purdue
7.  MSU
8.  Wisc
9. Minn
10.  Neb
11.  MD
12. Indy
13. ILL
14.  Rut
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medinabuckeye1

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Re: B1G Power Rankings Regular Season Complete
« Reply #2 on: November 24, 2018, 08:38:23 PM »
Quote from: LittlePig on November 24, 2018, 08:23:42 PM
1.  NW
LoL. Even if they blow out the Buckeyes in Indianapolis you couldn't justify ranking the Wildcats higher than third without ignoring half of their season.
Now what? 
Michigan still looks like #1 overall but they looked like complete crap today.
Ohio State looked great today but looked like complete crap against UMD and PU.
Iowa has generally looked good, but they are 0-4 against B1G bowl teams.
Northwestern keeps managing to win ugly but they barely beat RU, barely beat IL, and had a horrible OOC.
Wisconsin has looked good at times but just got blown out in the Axe game.
This is getting harder rather than easier.
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Hawkinole

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Re: B1G Power Rankings Regular Season Complete
« Reply #3 on: November 24, 2018, 10:00:22 PM »
I disagree about power ranking the teams. The regular season results are in. It may be a season in utter disarray, but generally you can go by the teams' conference records, and maybe some allowance for nonconference records, and some allowance for how the teams finished.

1. Ohio State
2. Northwestern
3. Michigan
4. Penn State
5. Iowa?
6. Wisconsin?
7. Purdue?
8. Michigan State
9. Nebraska?
10. Minnesota?
11. Maryland
12. Indiana
13. Illinois
14. Rutgers

Okay, Medina, you win. It is harder than it looks when you get into the soft middle of the Big Ten.
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LittlePig

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Re: B1G Power Rankings Regular Season Complete
« Reply #4 on: November 24, 2018, 10:19:01 PM »
Quote from: medinabuckeye1 on November 24, 2018, 08:38:23 PM
LoL. Even if they blow out the Buckeyes in Indianapolis you couldn't justify ranking the Wildcats higher than third without ignoring half of their season.
Now what?
Michigan still looks like #1 overall but they looked like complete crap today.
Ohio State looked great today but looked like complete crap against UMD and PU.
Iowa has generally looked good, but they are 0-4 against B1G bowl teams.
Northwestern keeps managing to win ugly but they barely beat RU, barely beat IL, and had a horrible OOC.
Wisconsin has looked good at times but just got blown out in the Axe game.
This is getting harder rather than easier.
I believe NW is suffering from the same problem PSU had in 2016.  Voters were late to recognize a shift that had occured in the middle of the season and teams that were not good early got better during the season.
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MaximumSam

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Re: B1G Power Rankings Regular Season Complete
« Reply #5 on: November 25, 2018, 09:11:37 AM »
Good golly

1. Ohio State: Well, for this week at least.  Not sure there was actual defensive improvement, but the offense has been at ludicrous speed the past two weeks.  They finally got their running game figured out, and Haskins is seeing everything.  But Northwestern isn't going to be an easy task - they are much more comfortable playing back in zone and making the Bucks earn every inch.

2. Michigan: Many times you're the bear, but not always.  Also, this team has not traveled well this year.  

3. Northwestern: Off to Indy for the Cats.  The Buckeyes probably aren't who they were expecting, but it's who they've got, and probably a better matchup for them if they can slow things down.

4. Penn State: Not the season they hoped for, but overall hardly a bad year. 

5. Iowa: Four losses this year by a total of 21 points.  They were strong, just couldn't quite get the breaks they needed.

6. Purdue: Got themselves into a bowl game after some early losses, and have rounded into a strong team.

7. Nebraska: Sort of Purdue light, need to get the defense sorted out, but have also rounded into a good team.

8. Minnesota: I'm struggling with where to put these teams, but they certainly looked the part against Wisconsin.

9. Wisconsin: They have fallen into a hole, which is tough to figure out because they still run the ball like Wisconsin.  Everything else, not so much.

10. Michigan State: Not a season resume ranking, but a right now this team can't score against 11 guys from this board ranking.

11. Maryland: The most bipolar team on this list - either pretty good or very bad depending on the day.

12. Indiana: Never quite had enough this year.

13. Illinois: Well, not completely terrible

14. Rutgers: Completely terrible
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LittlePig

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Re: B1G Power Rankings Regular Season Complete
« Reply #6 on: November 25, 2018, 09:21:49 AM »
Saw this on another board.  Thought it was interesting but not sure how meaningful it is.

Iowa...  lost 4 games by 23 points
Ohio St….lost 1 game by 29 points
Michigan lost 2 games by 30 points
Northwestern lost 4 games by 32 points
Penn St lost lost 3 games by 40 points
Michigan St lost 5 games by 50 points
Purdue lost 6 games by 52 points
Wisconsin lost 5 games by 76 points
Indiana lost 7 games by 93 points
Nebraska lost 8 games by 98 points
Minnesota lost 6 games by 121 points
Maryland lost 7 games by 124 points
Illinois lost 8 games by 224 points
Rutgers lost 11 games by 243 points
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HailHailMSP

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Re: B1G Power Rankings Regular Season Complete
« Reply #7 on: November 25, 2018, 09:38:01 AM »
Quote from: LittlePig on November 25, 2018, 09:21:49 AM
Saw this on another board.  Thought it was interesting but not sure how meaningful it is.

Iowa...  lost 4 games by 23 points
Ohio St….lost 1 game by 29 points
Michigan lost 2 games by 30 points
Northwestern lost 4 games by 32 points
Penn St lost lost 3 games by 40 points
Michigan St lost 5 games by 50 points
Purdue lost 6 games by 52 points
Wisconsin lost 5 games by 76 points
Indiana lost 7 games by 93 points
Nebraska lost 8 games by 98 points
Minnesota lost 6 games by 121 points
Maryland lost 7 games by 124 points
Illinois lost 8 games by 224 points
Rutgers lost 11 games by 243 points
I have to assume it’s from Kirk Ferentz’s agent. ;)
It tells me that when Iowa was dealt the perfect hand of a crossover schedule they still couldn’t close the deal.
I don’t know that the data says much. It was an odd B1G year. When the wheels fell of for teams, they really fell off in games, even for the likes of OSU, Michigan, and others.
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HailHailMSP

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Re: B1G Power Rankings Regular Season Complete
« Reply #8 on: November 25, 2018, 09:46:37 AM »
The Top 5 seems pretty easy to line up if you account for body of work and results you would expect on a neutral field next week. Every team appears to have a major head scratcher result:

1. Ohio State
2. Michigan
3. Northwestern - debated 3 or 4 here. Making it to Indy but the resume is REALLY weak. Lost to Michigan H2H at home + Akron + Duke losses + near disaster against Rutgers.
4. Penn State
5. Iowa
6. Nebraska
7. Purdue
8. Maryland
9. Michigan State (might be #1 D + #14 O = 8 or 9 overall)
10. Minnesota
11. Wisconsin
12. Indiana
13. Illinois
14. Rutgers
« Last Edit: November 25, 2018, 09:52:36 AM by HailHailMSP »
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FearlessF

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Re: B1G Power Rankings Regular Season Complete
« Reply #9 on: November 25, 2018, 11:35:01 AM »
1. Ohio State
2. Michigan
3. Northwestern
4. Penn State
5. Iowa
6. Wisconsin
7. Purdue
8. Michigan State
9. Nebraska
10. Maryland
11. Indiana
12. Minnesota
13. Illinois
14. Rutgers
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Benthere2

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Re: B1G Power Rankings Regular Season Complete
« Reply #10 on: November 25, 2018, 01:20:36 PM »
1 OSU
2 NWest.
3 Michigan
4 Iowa
5 PSU
6 Purdue
7 UW
8 Minn
9 MSU
10 MD
11 Nebr
12 Indy
13 Ill
14 Rut
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847badgerfan

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Re: B1G Power Rankings Regular Season Complete
« Reply #11 on: November 25, 2018, 03:31:20 PM »
Once again I really don't feel like I can do rankings as yesterday was the first round of games I've seen since October.



What I did see makes me question if UW could even beat Rutger at this time. The Badgers looked horrible yesterday and I see no way forward given the circumstances right now. They are a beaten-down team.
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Hawkinole

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Re: B1G Power Rankings Regular Season Complete
« Reply #12 on: November 25, 2018, 04:34:21 PM »
Quote from: 847badgerfan on November 25, 2018, 03:31:20 PM

What I did see makes me question if UW could even beat Rutger at this time. The Badgers looked horrible yesterday and I see no way forward given the circumstances right now. They are a beaten-down team.
Statistically the Badgers did well against Minnesota, but not in turnovers. Hornibrook should have sat out. When the starting QB is having a bad day, I don't understand the reluctance of coaches to bring in the backup, even if only for a couple series.
The Badgers were spiraling down all year to a degree. Maybe next year.
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Brutus Buckeye

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Re: B1G Power Rankings Regular Season Complete
« Reply #13 on: November 26, 2018, 12:55:31 AM »
1 Buckeyes
2 Wolverines
3 Wildcats
4 Nittany Lions
5 Spartans
6 Hawkeyes 
7 Badgers  
8 Boilermakers 
9 Cornhuskers 
10 Terrapins 
11 Golden Gophers 
12 Hoosiers
13 Fighting Illini
14 Scarlet Knights
« Last Edit: November 26, 2018, 12:57:38 AM by Brutus Buckeye »
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