so when your team is down 8 with 7 minutes to go, you think a first down seals it? yes, we have different perspectives.
Not 100%, no but reality starts to set in.
In my mental calculations suppose Edwards tripped and fell exactly at the first down marker so it is 1st and 10 Michigan at the M 35 with ~7 minutes to go and M protecting a 31-23 lead, in my head:
- M can (and will) run three times and chew up 35-40 seconds per play so close to 2 minutes
- Even with a three-and-out, M will be punting from around their 40 with around 5 minutes to go
- Unless their punter epically fails, they'll stick that close to the goal line
- Ohio State ball almost 100 yards from the EZ with <5 minutes to go and needing a TD, a 2pt Conv, a Stop, and to win in OT.
What the first down did was it effectively eliminated the possibility of tOSU winning in two scores. With an immediate stop the Buckeyes would have gotten the ball in decent field position with closer to 6 minutes to go so if they scored quickly the 2pt conversion wouldn't necessarily be do-or-die because they'd have enough time to possibly get a stop then go kick a FG to win.