Discussion on another thread leads me to this: at 4-8 is Fickell necessarily gone? I think even at that record, he probably gets another year. The buyout is substantial, the schedule is rough, and McIntosh might not be far behind him if Fickell gets the axe. But...
3-9 is a real possibility:
Miami-OH: W
MTSU: W
@Alabama: L
Maryland: put in the W column...then...
@Michigan: L
Iowa (at home): no one would be surprised by a loss in this game, which is competitive in the best of times
Ohio State: L
@Oregon: L
Washington at home: the Badgers will badly need this game, and the travel will kick Washington's ass, but...Washington is never a pushover.
@Indiana: I'm still not convinced Indiana wasn't a flash in the pan last season. But if it wasn't, then another L is easy to see.
Illinois at home: this is another one the Badgers will really need, and I'm still not sure Illinois is all it's being cracked up to be right now, but if it is, easy to see another L.
@Minnesota: tough. Imagine the Badgers come into this game with 3 wins. Chances they pull out a 4th?
On the one hand, they could be decent and have three or four wins.
On the other, looking up at Indiana, Illinois, and Minnesota isn't an acceptable place for the program to be. And it shouldn't be chasing Iowa, either.
Hope springs eternal, so let's say they beat Iowa and Washington at home, Indiana and Illinois return towards the mean and the Badgers beat them, then finish off their rival to reclaim the axe at Minnesota. 8 wins. Surprise one of the big four that they are playing? 9 wins. Now I'm probably just hallucinating...