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Topic: 2023 Michigan Season Thread

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Honestbuckeye

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Re: 2023 Michigan Season Thread
« Reply #1036 on: October 28, 2023, 10:35:03 AM »
I didn’t want to discuss this topic any more, but my business partner brought up an interesting point. For reference, he is an OSU grad and OSU fan.

While it’s likely Michigan crossed the line and violated rules, how do we know the rest of the staff and players knew how Stalions was figuring out the sign stealing? The sign stealing is legal, so the staff and Harbaugh wouldn’t immediately say that’s wrong or breaking the rules. I think we can all agree that happens almost everywhere.

So what if Stalions pitch was that because of his training, he figured out a way to know the plays coming from video?  He takes it to Harbaugh and staff and says he gathers video and has a third party that helps him produce and analyze the video and sometimes there will be additional expresses they have to analyze the video and they have technical expenses to make it happen. Jim asks, you’re doing all this by video? And Stalions confirms. Harbaugh and staff think this guy is a guru and stumbled upon a way for an edge, taking signs by video.

My partner brought this up because we rely on third parties for a lot of areas of our business, some of them vital. We vet them out upfront, go over their process, but also take their word how some of it is being done is exactly what they say. Running a business is overwhelming and our day to day is putting trust in others that they are doing things far from lines being crossed, including our own staff. Yet there isn’t time to babysit every person’s every action. When some of our staff seems incredibly competent and produce at a high level, our trust there is typically even greater.

So here’s the long-winded point. Stalions was  having people go into stadiums to film. I would be surprised if that many “sources” are incorrect. It seems like there’s a highly likelihood that Michigan was compensating third party or reimbursing Stalions for the expenses of putting this together. Seems likely as well. But how is it that everyone is so confident Harbaugh and the rest of the staff knew how it was happening and that it was crossing any lines? We don’t! Does anyone think Harbaugh or staff were watching videos taken on a cell phone of opposing coaches. Do they have time for that? Or is it more likely they saw a finished product of what signs would be called, descriptions of it .There’s no concrete evidence either way… Yet. So many are jumping to worst case scenario conclusions because it fits their desire, while Michigan fans defend, deflect and go to best case scenario.

Again, this is an OSU guy that took this position with me, a Michigan guy.  He’s younger than me, is more tied into the Stalions generation and his big stance was with technology, AI, the amount of videos, the amount coverage on each football game, we don’t really know that Stalions didn’t claim he had a technology edge, with a team of people to better analyze video data than anyone in the country. 

Is my hope best case scenario after talking about this? Yes because no one wants their program to be top to bottom guys that cross lines, but it’s also reasonable to say the average person doesn’t know if this is or is not the case. So while some run around screaming cheaters, until there’s proof, there’s also an argument that can be made that nearly everyone thought they had an edge that was still on the right side of things.

So go ahead and tear that thought apart, but the reality is we simply don’t know the facts yet. We know there’s likely lines crossed, but we don’t know the real story.






That’s a good post SM.

There are 2 separate and distinct issues here.


1.  Did having detailed, comprehensive info regarding the opponents play calls give UM an in game, substantial advantage.

2. who knew- was involved.

so let’s assume for the sake of conversation that your above post is absolutely correct, and that the offensive coordinator, defensive coordinator and head coach had no idea how that knowledge was obtained, or that it was obtained illegally.


So- to question 2, you could make a very valid argument that the coaches should receive little or no sanctions/punishment. 

Back to question 1.  Because the opponents sideline signals were taped, and can be watched, rewound multiple times - it is the only way the signs can truly be disseminated. You can’t do that from just watching film or even televised games that are taped or the tape that coaches exchange. The only way to do it is to record the sideline signals and the play that was run and study it.

The signals are very sophisticated and complex.  They take months to learn and can’t easily be changed.  The PROCESS of how you send them in can be- and usually is.  That’s why recorded film is key.  If you watch it enough, you will eventually figure out a different processes a team has for sending the signals in.

So, even if the coaches didn’t know how he deciphered the signs, I don’t think a remotely credible argument could be made that Michigan did not have a substantial, endgame, play to play advantage during the time in question.  And there is plenty of film of Stalions watching the opponent sideline, and quickly relaying that info to both Minter and Sherrone, and even Harbaugh.

And as such- I don’t know how you allow them to claim any titles or play in the postseason. Their wins are based upon a competitive advantage that rendered their opponents substantially less capable of having success. 

Also would add-if the reports are true- there was a expense budget and a schedule for these opponents games- and it included taping ( as one example) OSU 8 times and Georgia 4 times, it makes it hard to understand how coaches were not involved- unless the control level was extremely poorly managed. 
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medinabuckeye1

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Re: 2023 Michigan Season Thread
« Reply #1037 on: October 28, 2023, 10:51:08 AM »
I didn’t want to discuss this topic any more, but my business partner brought up an interesting point. For reference, he is an OSU grad and OSU fan.

While it’s likely Michigan crossed the line and violated rules, how do we know the rest of the staff and players knew how Stalions was figuring out the sign stealing? The sign stealing is legal, so the staff and Harbaugh wouldn’t immediately say that’s wrong or breaking the rules. I think we can all agree that happens almost everywhere.

So what if Stalions pitch was that because of his training, he figured out a way to know the plays coming from video?  He takes it to Harbaugh and staff and says he gathers video and has a third party that helps him produce and analyze the video and sometimes there will be additional expresses they have to analyze the video and they have technical expenses to make it happen. Jim asks, you’re doing all this by video? And Stalions confirms. Harbaugh and staff think this guy is a guru and stumbled upon a way for an edge, taking signs by video.

My partner brought this up because we rely on third parties for a lot of areas of our business, some of them vital. We vet them out upfront, go over their process, but also take their word how some of it is being done is exactly what they say. Running a business is overwhelming and our day to day is putting trust in others that they are doing things far from lines being crossed, including our own staff. Yet there isn’t time to babysit every person’s every action. When some of our staff seems incredibly competent and produce at a high level, our trust there is typically even greater.

So here’s the long-winded point. Stalions was  having people go into stadiums to film. I would be surprised if that many “sources” are incorrect. It seems like there’s a highly likelihood that Michigan was compensating third party or reimbursing Stalions for the expenses of putting this together. Seems likely as well. But how is it that everyone is so confident Harbaugh and the rest of the staff knew how it was happening and that it was crossing any lines? We don’t! Does anyone think Harbaugh or staff were watching videos taken on a cell phone of opposing coaches. Do they have time for that? Or is it more likely they saw a finished product of what signs would be called, descriptions of it .There’s no concrete evidence either way… Yet. So many are jumping to worst case scenario conclusions because it fits their desire, while Michigan fans defend, deflect and go to best case scenario.

Again, this is an OSU guy that took this position with me, a Michigan guy.  He’s younger than me, is more tied into the Stalions generation and his big stance was with technology, AI, the amount of videos, the amount coverage on each football game, we don’t really know that Stalions didn’t claim he had a technology edge, with a team of people to better analyze video data than anyone in the country. 

Is my hope best case scenario after talking about this? Yes because no one wants their program to be top to bottom guys that cross lines, but it’s also reasonable to say the average person doesn’t know if this is or is not the case. So while some run around screaming cheaters, until there’s proof, there’s also an argument that can be made that nearly everyone thought they had an edge that was still on the right side of things.

So go ahead and tear that thought apart, but the reality is we simply don’t know the facts yet. We know there’s likely lines crossed, but we don’t know the real story.
I get your point but I don't think it matters.

For generations the typical response has been what you are implicitly suggesting here:
  • Blame the lowest possible level staffer, in this case Stalions.
  • Throw said staffer under the bus.
  • Claim (truthfully or not) that the higher ups including the HC were as clueless as Sgt. Schultz.
  • Get slapped on the wrist.
  • Move on.
As I understand it, the rules have been altered to fix this. Head Coaches are no longer responsible only for what it can be proven that they knew but for all that goes on within their program.

FearlessF

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Re: 2023 Michigan Season Thread
« Reply #1038 on: October 28, 2023, 10:56:40 AM »
That’s a good post SM.

There are 2 separate and distinct issues here.


1.  Did having detailed, comprehensive info regarding the opponents play calls give UM an in game, substantial advantage.

2. who knew- was involved.
1.  whether it gave a substantial advantage or not doesn't matter.  That was the intent.
2. if the playcallers were using this info they were involved - the head coach is responsible to know this.
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betarhoalphadelta

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Re: 2023 Michigan Season Thread
« Reply #1039 on: October 28, 2023, 10:58:27 AM »
So, even if the coaches didn’t know how he deciphered the signs, I don’t think a remotely credible argument could be made that Michigan did not have a substantial, endgame, play to play advantage during the time in question.  And there is plenty of film of Stalions watching the opponent sideline, and quickly relaying that info to both Minter and Sherrone, and even Harbaugh.
But there's no rule against that, if he didn't decipher the signs the way he did by breaking a rule. 

I think the scenario @SuperMario brings up is the best case scenario. However it would entail Michigan paying Stalions and some third-party for their legitimate and non-rule-breaking sign stealing operation. I would think that this would involve contracts, and some due diligence done on Michigan's part to contract with a third party that gives some sort of guarantee that they're doing this legally. 

You can make an argument that without due diligence, Michigan still should have known it was illegitimate. But if they actually have emails, text discussions, contracts, etc that all show that they asked how the third party was doing this and were snowed enough by the evidence to realistically believe it wasn't by sending people into opposing stadiums and scouting? That's the only way anyone beyond Stalions is in the clear. 

SuperMario

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Re: 2023 Michigan Season Thread
« Reply #1040 on: October 28, 2023, 11:11:09 AM »
I think everyone agrees, or at least should, that Stalions was on the field watching signs from the other team being called. I don’t know how anyone disagrees with that because there’s video of him watching and passing on the info. That being said, that’s not illegal.

Secondly, I didn’t expand on this point, but we have no idea how the budget was allocated or reviewed. Could it be worst case that Michigan coaches and higher ups knew it was to pay for travel and tickets to be in person and clear violation? Yeah that’s definitely possible. But we don’t know details and it’s also possible that it was looked at as an expense from Stalions and his third parties to collect public video and analyze snippets of video to steal signs.. could have been an argument that most games broadcast don’t show a ton of sign calling so it was labor and time intensive which is why the cost was higher, which in reality it was more tickets, games and travel.  Is that likely? Probably not, but we also just don’t know and everyone is jumping to worst case conclusions when we actually don’t know the true facts. 

Did it give them a competitive advantage?  Yes, that’s the point. Which is why every team likely has spent time trying to take signs.

If it ends up solely being Stalions and his con what do they do with the games and titles, I have no idea. If it was the entire staff, you strip them most likely as I can’t see a reasonable explanation then. If this guy was a genius in how he did it and his the truth, then I have no clue.

Either way, we just don’t know and over the last few year, I just hesitate to believe media or leaks without facts.

Honestbuckeye

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Re: 2023 Michigan Season Thread
« Reply #1041 on: October 28, 2023, 11:11:23 AM »
But there's no rule against that, if he didn't decipher the signs the way he did by breaking a rule.

I think the scenario @SuperMario brings up is the best case scenario. However it would entail Michigan paying Stalions and some third-party for their legitimate and non-rule-breaking sign stealing operation. I would think that this would involve contracts, and some due diligence done on Michigan's part to contract with a third party that gives some sort of guarantee that they're doing this legally.

You can make an argument that without due diligence, Michigan still should have known it was illegitimate. But if they actually have emails, text discussions, contracts, etc that all show that they asked how the third party was doing this and were snowed enough by the evidence to realistically believe it wasn't by sending people into opposing stadiums and scouting? That's the only way anyone beyond Stalions is in the clear.
He most certainly did. Advanced in person scouting, and recording.  Illegal. 
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Honestbuckeye

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Re: 2023 Michigan Season Thread
« Reply #1042 on: October 28, 2023, 11:14:03 AM »
SM- if it is acknowledged that he collected the information in violation of the rules, and he has the information in his personal possession, and is assisting with Clay calls for both the office of and defensive coordinator, that would make it illegal.  

The only opposing argument you could make is that he recorded in excess of 35 or 40 games of the opponents, download the videos, but never used any of it.  Nobody is going to buy that, nor should they.
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SuperMario

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Re: 2023 Michigan Season Thread
« Reply #1043 on: October 28, 2023, 11:20:40 AM »
I get your point but I don't think it matters.

For generations the typical response has been what you are implicitly suggesting here:
  • Blame the lowest possible level staffer, in this case Stalions.
  • Throw said staffer under the bus.
  • Claim (truthfully or not) that the higher ups including the HC were as clueless as Sgt. Schultz.
  • Get slapped on the wrist.
  • Move on.
As I understand it, the rules have been altered to fix this. Head Coaches are no longer responsible only for what it can be proven that they knew but for all that goes on within their program.
But it does matter. Your assumption is always that higher ups knew and are just blaming the lowest possible level staffer. Again, those are hate filled glasses you’re viewing it through.

There are plenty of businesses that have low level staffers that break the law, commit fraud or do things they aren’t supposed to. Does the business have to face consequences as well as the staffer that broke the law? Yeah, absolutely. But the consequences to the business are also dependent on how much the business knew. Yes, there are business that know wrongdoing at the top and hang people out to dry to save face, but that’s not what happens every time. There’s plenty of businesses with high character people at the top and a low level person does stupid things to get ahead. If you think higher ups not knowing makes then clueless, bad people, poor leaders, then I would argue your real world experience is sheltered.

Cincydawg

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Re: 2023 Michigan Season Thread
« Reply #1044 on: October 28, 2023, 11:22:40 AM »
The only opposing argument you could make is that he recorded in excess of 35 or 40 games of the opponents, download the videos, but never used any of it.  Nobody is going to buy that, nor should they.
Maybe he did it on his own, kept the method secret from the OC/DC, and claimed he had done some in depth analysis that revealed the signs.

Maybe that's not credible.


SuperMario

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Re: 2023 Michigan Season Thread
« Reply #1045 on: October 28, 2023, 11:25:01 AM »
SM- if it is acknowledged that he collected the information in violation of the rules, and he has the information in his personal possession, and is assisting with Clay calls for both the office of and defensive coordinator, that would make it illegal. 


We don’t disagree here at all. There’s plenty of people, likely including Michigan, that will argue the rule is vague if it’s third parties in person if they aren’t staff, but I don’t really entertain that conversation. I think from my seat. I’m most curious about how deep it goes. Is it Stalions or the staff. I think Stalions worked the system and crossed the line. But who else knew all the details.

if the argument comes out that the rule technically allows third parties to be in the stands as they actually weren’t on the sideline, I’ll just shake my head.

Honestbuckeye

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Re: 2023 Michigan Season Thread
« Reply #1046 on: October 28, 2023, 11:27:46 AM »
Maybe he did it on his own, kept the method secret from the OC/DC, and claimed he had done some in depth analysis that revealed the signs.

Maybe that's not credible.


Well to SM’s point- that is possible.  

But they still broke rules and had a in-game, substantial competitive advantage.  

So again- leniency for the coaches.  But you still have to address the wins where the illegal advantage impacted the outcome. 
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Honestbuckeye

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Re: 2023 Michigan Season Thread
« Reply #1047 on: October 28, 2023, 11:28:47 AM »
We don’t disagree here at all. There’s plenty of people, likely including Michigan, that will argue the rule is vague if it’s third parties in person if they aren’t staff, but I don’t really entertain that conversation. I think from my seat. I’m most curious about how deep it goes. Is it Stalions or the staff. I think Stalions worked the system and crossed the line. But who else knew all the details.

if the argument comes out that the rule technically allows third parties to be in the stands as they actually weren’t on the sideline, I’ll just shake my head.
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847badgerfan

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Re: 2023 Michigan Season Thread
« Reply #1048 on: October 28, 2023, 11:31:09 AM »
Maybe he did it on his own, kept the method secret from the OC/DC, and claimed he had done some in depth analysis that revealed the signs.

Maybe that's not credible.


Maybe it is.

This is where I land right now: He presented himself as a genius and got a sideline gig because of it. It's been said that his family is loaded, so he could afford to go anywhere he wanted - and did.

I don't think we can take any true position on the matter, at this point in time. The investigation has to play out.

As I mentioned above, IF Michigan knowingly cheated, Michigan deserves what comes to them - and not even Taylor Swift could get them out of it.

So there.
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medinabuckeye1

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Re: 2023 Michigan Season Thread
« Reply #1049 on: October 28, 2023, 11:31:53 AM »
But it does matter. Your assumption is always that higher ups knew and are just blaming the lowest possible level staffer. Again, those are hate filled glasses you’re viewing it through.
In my post I parenthetically stated "truthfully or not". Whether or not Harbaugh knew is very likely to never be proven one way or another so there is no reason to argue about it, we can probably argue about that 20 years from now.

My point wasn't that Harbaugh knew, I didn't even make that argument. My point was that it doesn't matter.

 

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