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Topic: 2023-2024 B1G Basketball Thread

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medinabuckeye1

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Re: 2023-2024 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1148 on: February 09, 2024, 10:20:41 AM »
All 14 teams play this weekend and the league schedulers avoided the SB on Sunday by scheduling five games on Saturday and only two on Sunday.  This weekend's games:

Wisconsin at Rutgers, Saturday at noon on BTN:
When the Badgers completed a season sweep of the Spartans on January 26 they were flying high at 16-4/8-1 and projected to win the league.  They haven't won since.  The first loss was to Nebraska at Pinnacle Bank Arena and in OT so that isn't too bad.  The second was at home but it was a a Purdue team that projects as the #1 overall seed in the NCAA Tournament so that isn't too bad either.  The most recent loss was on the road but it was to last place Michigan so that is concerning.  Rutgers is coming off of back-to-back road wins in Ann Arbor and College Park.  Rutgers projects to finish on the wrong side of the bubble but they aren't all that far away and a win over the Badgers would go a long way toward closing that gap.  

Can Rutgers keep this winning streak going?  Can Wisconsin get back to their winning ways?  

Illinois at Michigan State, Saturday at 2pm on CBS:
These two teams project to finish tied for 2nd/3rd and tied for 4th/5th so this is one of the bigger B1G games of the year.  

Maryland at Ohio State, Saturday at 4pm on FS1:
This is fortuitous timing for the Terps.  They need a "get-right" game after back-to-back losses including at home to Rutgers so playing the comically awful Buckeyes is just what the doctor ordered.  

Michigan at Nebraska, Saturday at 6:30 on BTN:
The Wolverines lost 10 of 11 from mid-December through early February with the lone win being at home against the reeling Buckeyes then out of nowhere they managed to beat Wisconsin.  So now what?  

Nebraska has lost two straight and three out of four but those losses were all on the road (where Nebraska is BAD) and this is in Pinnacle Bank Arena (where Nebraska is GOOD).  

Indiana at Purdue, Saturday at 8pm on Fox:
Despite how good Purdue was last year, the Hoosiers managed to sweep them.  Unfortunately for Indiana, that was last year and in the earlier game this year Indiana lost badly at home so it is hard to see them walking out of Mackey with a win but this is a rivalry game so you never know.  

Penn State at Northwestern, Sunday at 1pm on BTN:
I just can't see the Nittany Lions pulling this off.  

Minnesota at Iowa, Sunday at 3pm on BTN:
The Gophers have won three straight and two of those were unexpected.  That is enough to get them at least into the bubble conversation but they still have plenty of work to do.  A win in Iowa City would help!  

Iowa won in Minneapolis back in mid-January but in the month since then they are 2-4 with the two wins coming against the worst two teams in the league.  These appear to be two teams headed in opposite directions.  

847badgerfan

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Re: 2023-2024 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1149 on: February 09, 2024, 10:26:21 AM »
1: Purdue
2: Illinois
3: Everyone else

And I'm not really joking, I wouldn't be totally unconfident in putting those projections up against ours for the rest of the year
Seems to be the case. Honestly, and let's be just that - the conference kinda sucks this season.
U RAH RAH! WIS CON SIN!

medinabuckeye1

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Re: 2023-2024 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1150 on: February 09, 2024, 10:28:16 AM »
1: Purdue
2: Illinois
3: Everyone else

And I'm not really joking, I wouldn't be totally unconfident in putting those projections up against ours for the rest of the year
I'll be updating projections on Monday so lets talk about this and if it seems appropriate we can make that change then.  

If we are dropping UW and MSU into Tier-2, then they should lose road games against the Tier-3 teams (MN, UMD, RU, IA).  

Michigan State:
  • Does not visit Iowa City
  • Does not visit Piscataway
  • Won at Maryland (1/21)
  • Lost at Minnesota
So the Spartans are 1-1 in these games.  I guess we should drop them since one of those two is an upset either way but by dropping them they are even with one up and one down instead of -2 as now.  

Wisconsin:
  • Does not visit College Park
  • Won at Minnesota (1/23)
  • At Rutgers tomorrow (2/10)
  • At Iowa next Saturday (2/17)
If Wisconsin wins in Piscataway tomorrow then they'll be 2-0 in these games so they can't be dropped.  If they lose they'll be 1-1 with one more to play so it is a matter of how you think they'll do at Iowa next Saturday.  Frankly, I think they'll win in Iowa City so I wouldn't drop them even if they do lose tomorrow but that is just me.  

847badgerfan

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Re: 2023-2024 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1151 on: February 09, 2024, 10:30:20 AM »
I don't think UW can beat Rutgers. Injuries are starting to emerge, and the team is in a funk.

Losing how they did in Lincoln is still in their heads, I think.
U RAH RAH! WIS CON SIN!

ELA

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Re: 2023-2024 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1152 on: February 09, 2024, 10:55:10 AM »
Seems to be the case. Honestly, and let's be just that - the conference kinda sucks this season.
I expect the home team to win any game against any other team in the bottom 12.  And Illinois is only a half step above

bayareabadger

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Re: 2023-2024 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1153 on: February 09, 2024, 01:17:58 PM »
Basketball is like 90% how well you shoot 3s now.  Wisconsin has been awful the past 2 games.  That's been about it
That ain’t it. 

3s could’ve saved them. But carelessness protecting the ball and slovenly defense/decision-making were the killer. 

ELA

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Re: 2023-2024 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1154 on: February 09, 2024, 03:26:59 PM »
That ain’t it.

3s could’ve saved them. But carelessness protecting the ball and slovenly defense/decision-making were the killer.
The defense was fine.  Turnovers were a problem, but I have no confidence that had they maintained the possession, it wouldn't have just ended in a missed 3 anyway.

They've been 8-38 from 3 over their past 2 games.

AJ Storr, who was 7-14 in 2 games against MSU, has been 1-8.

847badgerfan

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Re: 2023-2024 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1155 on: February 09, 2024, 03:30:24 PM »
Storr needs to slow it down and have more patience. He's not a great ball-handler.

He and Crowl had 3 TO each in Ann Arbor. And Crowl only had 19 minutes due to fouls.
U RAH RAH! WIS CON SIN!

ELA

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Re: 2023-2024 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1156 on: February 09, 2024, 03:34:53 PM »
Storr needs to slow it down and have more patience. He's not a great ball-handler.
This I think was it, and I think a product of the 3 point shooting.  Late in the game, they had chances, and they had some horrible drives into traffic.  It was as if the offense stopped trusting the 3s as well, but they didn't know what their Plan B was

boilerbanger

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Re: 2023-2024 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1157 on: February 09, 2024, 07:27:55 PM »
I expect the home team to win any game against any other team in the bottom 12.  And Illinois is only a half step above
I agree with this statement.

bayareabadger

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Re: 2023-2024 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1158 on: February 10, 2024, 12:40:10 PM »
Jesus. Wisconsin is playing just awful. 

grillrat

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Re: 2023-2024 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1159 on: February 10, 2024, 01:22:07 PM »

Hopefully that was incredibly demoralizing.  Feel free to take that hangover into the next game Badgers.  O:-)
Jesus, Wisconsin.  I made this post in a "hopefully that demoralizing loss affects their next game" kind of way, not a "Holy crap we suck and should lose every remaining game" kind of way.

MaximumSam

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Re: 2023-2024 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1160 on: February 10, 2024, 04:18:07 PM »
They showed a stat that top ten teams on the road against unranked opponents are only winning 42% of the time, compared to 72% over the past five seasons

ELA

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Re: 2023-2024 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1161 on: February 10, 2024, 04:28:28 PM »
Home teams 2-0 today, both hosting ranked teams

 

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