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Topic: 2022 SEC Off Season Thread

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Cincydawg

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Cincydawg

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Re: 2022 SEC Off Season Thread
« Reply #85 on: May 11, 2022, 12:42:01 PM »
Regression is coming for Georgia's defense, but how much? Let's dig into that (saturdaydownsouth.com)
Regression is coming for Georgia's defense, but how much? Let's dig into that (saturdaydownsouth.com)

Some interesting comparisons and reasonable forecast I think.  

Cincydawg

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Re: 2022 SEC Off Season Thread
« Reply #86 on: May 13, 2022, 06:55:14 PM »


A lot of teams predicted to have a middlin year.

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: 2022 SEC Off Season Thread
« Reply #87 on: May 13, 2022, 07:21:36 PM »
These are hilarious.
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

Cincydawg

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Re: 2022 SEC Off Season Thread
« Reply #88 on: May 13, 2022, 07:25:50 PM »
Which one is the most hilarious in your view?

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: 2022 SEC Off Season Thread
« Reply #89 on: May 14, 2022, 02:51:54 PM »
Kentucky's peak.
The fact that Alabama's most likely loss other than A&M is Texas?!?
The fact that in a worst-case scenario, Florida beats either Utah or FSU.
.
This seems to look at last year in a vacuum.  Suddenly Arkansas and South Carolina are good to go, as if they weren't utter dumpster fires 1 year ago.  Non-helmets tend not to have a positive, linear trajectory to success.  
Conversely, the idea that Florida and LSU's peaks are 2 games behind UK's ignores everything pre-2021.  While intuitively it shouldn't be true, but programs that have "been there before" tend to get back there more often and more easily than programs that have not.  Whether it's down-roster talent level or deep-down expectation level or what, the UKs of the world tend to have a few good years and then regress.  The Floridas and LSUs tend to have a few poor years and then improve.
.
All that being said, I haven't looked at the schedule-by-schedule outlook for all the teams, but this jus seems to be far too linear and too much recency bias for me.
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

Cincydawg

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Re: 2022 SEC Off Season Thread
« Reply #90 on: May 14, 2022, 04:25:18 PM »
Arkansas was a dumpster fire last year?

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: 2022 SEC Off Season Thread
« Reply #91 on: May 14, 2022, 05:04:13 PM »
Arkansas was a dumpster fire last year?
They finished 1-5 to close out 2020, coming off a 2-10 record the year before.  
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

Cincydawg

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Re: 2022 SEC Off Season Thread
« Reply #92 on: May 14, 2022, 05:43:58 PM »
I think of "last year" as being 2021 for some reason.  Uk did pretty well last year as well, and has a decent shot at another solid year.

Tennessee has "been there" before, but not for a while.  I personally don't find those guesses "hilarious", any of them.


OrangeAfroMan

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Re: 2022 SEC Off Season Thread
« Reply #93 on: May 14, 2022, 06:08:54 PM »
We have a difference of opinion?  
You don't say.
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

Cincydawg

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Re: 2022 SEC Off Season Thread
« Reply #94 on: May 14, 2022, 06:12:21 PM »
Arkansas had a pretty good year LAST YEAR.  I don't view that as an opinion.

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: 2022 SEC Off Season Thread
« Reply #95 on: May 14, 2022, 07:06:52 PM »
It is an opinion.  But I agree with it.  
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

Cincydawg

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Re: 2022 SEC Off Season Thread
« Reply #96 on: June 14, 2022, 02:31:26 PM »
SEC Games of the Week for 2022

Week 1  UGA-Oregon in ATL, UGA is pretty heavily favored so far.
             Cincinnati at Arkansas - interesting matchup I think, probably not what Arky guessed when scheduled

Week 2  Bama at Texas
             Pitt at Tennessee (the Vols need this one)
             UK at Florida

Week 3  Penn State at Auburn
             Miami at A&M


Cincydawg

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Re: 2022 SEC Off Season Thread
« Reply #97 on: June 14, 2022, 03:39:53 PM »
Week 4  Florida at Tennessee
             Arkansas at A&M (position in the West)

Week 5  Bama at Arky (upset potential)

Week 6  Tenn at LSU
             A&M at Bama

Week 7  Bama at Tenn
             LSU at Florida
             MSU at UK

Week 8   Ole Miss at LSU

Week 9   Florida- Georgia
              Arky at Auburn (big  game if Arky is good)

Week 10  Tenn art UGA
               Florida at A&M  *the Gators don't get a schedule break
               Bama at LSU

Week 11  UGA at MSU (could be a slip)

Week 12  UGA at UK

Week 13  Iron Bowl
              various rivalries

 

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