All teams in order of what seed they would be if the tournament started before this weekend's games along with all possibilities for them:
#1 15-4 Wisconsin:
The Badgers will be the outright Champion and #1 seed unless:
- They lose at home to Nebraska, AND
- Illinois beats Iowa.
If both of those things happen the Badgers and Illini will tie for 1/2 and the Illini win that tie.
#2 14-5 Illinois:
Illinois would win a tie with UW or lose a tie with PU. Thus, they will be the #2 seed unless:
- They win over Iowa AND UW loses to UNL. In this case Illinois will be the #1 seed, OR
- They lose to Iowa AND PU wins over IU. In this case Illinois will be the #3 seed.
#3 13-6 Purdue:
Purdue wins all potential ties. They will be #3 unless they beat IU AND Illinois loses to Iowa. In that case they will be #2.
#4 12-7 Iowa:
Iowa would win a tie with tOSU or lose a tie with PU so if they beat Illinois they are the #4 seed. If they lose they'll finish 12-8. That would be behind UW/IL/PU but it could be tied with tOSU (if they lose to M) and/or RU (if they beat PSU). Iowa would win a tie with tOSU or lose a tie with RU and they would finish in the middle of a three-way tie with both. Thus:
- #4 seed if they win.
- #4 seed if they lose AND RU loses to PSU AND tOSU loses to M.
- #5 seed if they lose and EITHER tOSU or RU wins.
- #6 seed if they lose and BOTH tOSU and RU win.
#5 12-7 Ohio State:
The Buckeyes lose all potential ties:
- #4 seed if they beat M and IA loses to IL
- #5 seed if they beat M and IA beats IL
- #5 seed if they lose to M and RU loses to PSU
- #6 seed if they lose to M and RU beats PSU
#6 11-8 Rutgers:
If Rutgers wins they'll finish 12-8. That would be behind the top-3 but it would be tied with tOSU and/or Iowa if either the Buckeyes or Hawkeyes lose. Rutgers would win either of those ties (and also the 3-way tie with both). Thus, if Rutgers wins:
- #4 seed if BOTH tOSU and IA lose
- #5 seed if either tOSU or IA loses
- #6 seed if BOTH tOSU and IA win
If Rutgers loses they'll finish 11-9. That would be behind the top-5 and could be tied with MSU and/or M if either the Spartans or Wolverines win. Rutgers wins any combination of ties with either or both of the M schools so if they lose they'll still get the #6 seed.
#7 10-9 Michigan State:
If the season ended today the Spartans would win the tie with their instate rival based on having a better record against Wisconsin. If they win they'll be the #7 seed no matter what RU and M do because MSU would lose to RU and win over M in any two or three way tie with either or both of them. If MSU loses they'll finish 10-10 and behind the top-6. That would be tied with M (if they lose tOSU) and/or IU (if they beat PU). MSU would win any of those ties because they went 1-0 against IU and have a better best win than M. Thus, if MSU loses to Maryland and finishes 10-10:
- #7 seed if M loses at tOSU
- #8 seed if M wins at tOSU
#8 10-9 Michigan:
The Wolverines would win a tie with IU but lose a tie with MSU so they will be the #8 seed unless:
- They win in Columbus, AND
- MSU loses at home to Maryland.
If both of those things happened the Wolverines would be the #7 seed.
#9 9-10 Indiana:
The Hoosiers have clinched the #9 seed. They would catch either or both of the Michigan schools if they win at Purdue AND either M loses at tOSU or MSU loses vs UMD but IU loses any of those ties so they'd still be the #9 seed.
#10 7-12 Maryland:
The Terps win all potential ties. If they beat MSU they'll be the #10 seed and avoid playing on Wednesday. However, if they lose and PSU wins at RU then UMD would be the #11 seed.
#11 7-12 Penn State:
The Nittany Lions would lose a tie with UMD or win a tie with NU or finish in the middle of a 3-way tie with both. Thus, they'll be the #11 seed unless they win (@RU) AND UMD loses (@MSU). In that case PSU would get the #10 seed.
#12 6-13 Northwestern:
The Wildcats have clinched the #12 seed. They would catch either UMD or PSU or both if they win vs MN AND either UMD loses at MSU or PSU loses at RU but NU loses any of those ties so they'd still be the #12 seed.
#13 4-15 Minnesota:
The Gophers will be the #13 seed unless they lose (@NU) AND UNL wins (@UW). In that case they'd tie Nebraska and they'd lose that tie.
#14 3-16 Nebraska:
The Cornhuskers will be the #14 seed unless they win (@UW) and MN loses (@NU). In that case they'd tie Minnesota and they'd win that tie.
