Yesterday was just a weird day. All four games in the B1G were upsets relative to what we projected. Updated projected final standings/BTT seeds heading into the final week:
- 16-4/25-5 Wisconsin
- 15-5/23-8 Illinois
- 14-6/25-6 Purdue (wins tie with tOSU based on H2H, no game in Columbus)
- 14-6/21-8 Ohio State
- 11-9/17-13 Rutgers
- 11-9/17-13 Michigan
- 11-9/20-11 Michigan State
- 11-9/21-10 Iowa
- 10-10/19-11 Indiana
- 7-13/15-16 Maryland
- 7-13/12-16 Penn State
- 7-13/14-15 Northwestern
- 4-16/13-16 Minnesota
- 2-18/8-23 Nebraska
Thus the match-ups at the B1G Tournament in Indianapolis would be:
Wednesday, March 9, 2022:
- #11 Penn State vs #14 Nebraska, 830 BTN
- #12 Northwestern vs #13 Minnesota, 6 BTN
Thursday, March 10, 2022:
- #5 Rutgers vs NU/MN, 230 BTN
- #6 Michigan vs PSU/UNL, 9 BTN
- #7 Michigan State vs #10 Maryland, 630 BTN
- #8 Iowa vs #9 Indiana, noon BTN
Friday, March 11, 2022:
- #1 Wisconsin vs IA/IU, noon BTN
- #2 Illinois vs MSU/UMD, 630 BTN
- #3 Purdue vs M/PSU/UNL, 9 BTN
- #4 Ohio State vs RU/NU/MN, 230 BTN
Saturday, March 12, 2022:
- UW/IA/IU vs tOSU/RU/NU/MN, 1 CBS
- IL/MSU/UMD vs PU/M/PSU/UNL, 330 CBS
Sunday, March 13, 2022:
- UW/IA/IU/tOSU/RU/NU/MN vs IL/MSU/UMD/PU/M/PSU/UNL, 330 CBS
Tiebreaker for the 11-9 teams:
First is H2H2H2H:
- 1-3 Michigan State (does not host RU or IA)
- 3-1 Rutgers (does not visit MSU or IA)
- 4-2 Michigan (won at IA)
- 1-3 Iowa (does not visit MSU or host RU, lost to M at home)
Thus Rutgers gets the #5 seed and Michigan gets the #6 seed. MSU and Iowa do NOT revert to their own two-team H2H but move to the next step:
Second step (for only MSU and Iowa) is record against the best team (UW):
- 1-1 Michigan State split with the Badgers with each team winning on the other team's court.
- 0-1 Iowa lost their only game with the Badgers, in Madison.
Thus MSU gets the #7 seed and Iowa gets the #8 seed
Tiebreaker for the 7-13 teams:
First is H2H2H:
- 2-1 Maryland (does not visit PSU)
- 2-1 Penn State (does not host UMD, swept NU)
- 1-3 Northwestern (reverse split with UMD, swept by PSU)
Thus Northwestern gets the #12 seed. UMD and PSU do NOT revert to their own two-team H2H but move to the next step:
Second step (for only UMD and PSU) is record against the best team(s) in the league, then the next, etc). Maryland wins this based on their upset of Illinois. Thus Maryland gets the #10 seed while PSU gets the #11 seed.