2021-2022 B1G Basketball thread

[ELA]

Well, Ohio State shuffling their schedule, has thrown a giant wrench into all of this

[medinabuckeye1]

Well, Ohio State shuffling their schedule, has thrown a giant wrench into all of this

Oh dear, can you swap tickets to the newly rescheduled Iowa game instead?

[ELA]

Oh dear, can you swap tickets to the newly rescheduled Iowa game instead?

That's what I'm hoping to do. Pittsburgh to Columbus is not doable on a weeknight, and the hotel reservation is for Saturday night

[medinabuckeye1]

Minnesota at Penn State has also been rescheduled so I *think* that all teams are scheduled to play 20 league games as originally planned. 

[medinabuckeye1]

That's what I'm hoping to do. Pittsburgh to Columbus is not doable on a weeknight, and the hotel reservation is for Saturday night

Well good luck but that 230 tip is probably a worst-case-scenario for you. Too early to do much before the game. Too late to do much after the game.

[ELA]

Well good luck but that 230 tip is probably a worst-case-scenario for you. Too early to do much before the game. Too late to do much after the game.

Well, our reservation is Saturday night, so it would just cut our Saturday afternoon a little shorter, but give us more time in the morning to get there.  It's increasingly clear that the in person fans are an afterthought to TV

[bayareabadger]

This will be my 6th (UM, MSU, IU, PU, PSU)

I think I'm at five: UW, Iowa, NW, MSU, Purdue.

Granted, I only have 11 teams on my list. 

[MaximumSam]

Simmer down Rutgers

[bayareabadger]

UW with a "luck factor" loss to Rutgers. 

Knights have been good, but UW has done a lot of playing with its food and mostly made the plays at the end. Holy hell did they not do that today. 

[medinabuckeye1]

UW with a "luck factor" loss to Rutgers.

Knights have been good, but UW has done a lot of playing with its food and mostly made the plays at the end. Holy hell did they not do that today.

Rutgers is approaching the bubble. Their last three games are very impressive with two home wins over MSU and tOSU and now they have a marquee road win, in Madison no less. Those early OOC losses to bad teams are still a rock around their chances but . . .

[847badgerfan]

UW with a "luck factor" loss to Rutgers.

Knights have been good, but UW has done a lot of playing with its food and mostly made the plays at the end. Holy hell did they not do that today.

Rutgers is like UW's cockroaches. They don't go away and they are a pain in the ass.

[bayareabadger]

Rutgers is approaching the bubble. Their last three games are very impressive with two home wins over MSU and tOSU and now they have a marquee road win, in Madison no less. Those early OOC losses to bad teams are still a rock around their chances but . . .

Their bubble situation is wild.

As you said, three just awful losses, and they basically blew a bunch of those low-key winnable games in the first half of conference play. 

Outside of Penn State at home, every game left is against someone good, and most are on the road. So if they can build the win volume to make the tournament (probably 18-13, maybe 19-14), they'll have two wins against a set of games that includes UW and Illinois at home, Purdue, Michigan, Indiana on the road (or get a BTT upset). So they gotta get to 2-3 there and not mess up Penn State at home, or make some noise wherever the tournament is this year. 

[bayareabadger]

Rutgers is like UW's cockroaches. They don't go away and they are a pain in the ass.

Played that way for sure. But that said, UW missed chances to close the gap earlier (Rutgers' good shooting didn't help). UW also got things close to stabilized twice late, then let go of the rope. 

[medinabuckeye1]

Rutgers has what has to be one of the strangest NCAA Tournament profiles I've ever seen.  They are LOADED in quality wins.  All of a sudden they have (tentatively right now) SIX Q1 wins.  They have gained four in the last two weeks because their wins vsMSU, vstOSU, and @UW were all Q1 plus their previous home win over Michigan became a Q1 win when Michigan's demolition of Purdue moved Michigan up to #30.  Thus, Rutgers is an insanely good 6-3 in Q1 games.  For comparison, here are the top teams in the country:

• Gonzaga is 5-2
• Zona is 6-2
• Houston is 2-3
• Kentucky is 5-4
• NOVA is 5-5
• Baylor is 8-3
• Kansas is 7-3
• Auburn is 7-2
• Purdue is 8-3
• Tennessee is 4-6

Rutgers' 6-3 in Q1 games is comparable to pretty much any of the best teams in the nation and decidedly better than some of the top-10.  

That is the good news.  Now for the problem:

Those ten teams listed above have a grand combined total of just:

• Four Q2 losses
• ZERO Q3 losses
• Zero Q4 losses

Rutgers, on the other hand, has:

• Three Q2 losses (1-3)
• Two Q3 losses (2-2)
• One Q4 loss (6-1)

So if you look at Rutgers' games against quality opponents they are not just a Tournament team but a high seed.  Conversely, if you look at their games against bad opponents they are not just NOT a Tournament team, they aren't even remotely close.