Honestly, I can't see Baldwin transferring. From everything I've read, he was the sharper QB in the spring game (20/36 versus 4/13 for Fields). Caveats galore (bc: spring game), but it still seems fair to say he had a v. realistic chance of starting the opener. Could be 40/60 odds at worst. And even if he loses that, he'd be one injury or two bad games for Fields from ... the fields. It has to be a surprise if he actually goes.