2018-2019 B1G Basketball Thread

[mcwterps1]

Already tired.

Mich state pulls away big in the 2nd half.

One team rested, the other played Friday night .

[FearlessF]

so that's how Izzo ended the Husker's home win streak

Huskers played that Monday on the road and then only had Tuesday and Wednesday to rest before the Spartans came to the Bank on Thursday!

Spartans played Sunday afternoon, not Monday

so Izzo's next 2 games after tonight, they only have 2 days rest.  They play thursday at Iowa and then Sunday at Purdue.  Upset alert!!!

[mcwterps1]

so that's how Izzo ended the Husker's home win streak

Huskers played that Monday on the road and then only had Tuesday and Wednesday to rest before the Spartans came to the Bank on Thursday!

Spartans played Sunday afternoon, not Monday

so Izzo's next 2 games after tonight, they only have 2 days rest.  They play thursday at Iowa and then Sunday at Purdue.  Upset alert!!!

I wouldn't be surprised.  Iowa lit it up.
However, you forgot the most crucial part.  The experience.  Maryland is the 5th youngest team in  Div I.  This same team, next year with the same scenario, I'd still pick this years MSU, because of the rest, or lack of with a young team.

[mcwterps1]

Winston gets away with a lot of carries.

[ELA]

so that's how Izzo ended the Husker's home win streak

Huskers played that Monday on the road and then only had Tuesday and Wednesday to rest before the Spartans came to the Bank on Thursday!

Spartans played Sunday afternoon, not Monday

so Izzo's next 2 games after tonight, they only have 2 days rest.  They play thursday at Iowa and then Sunday at Purdue.  Upset alert!!!

OSU had a full bye week before hosting MSU.  MSU played two games in between Purdues last game and when Purdue played MSU.  

[mcwterps1]

I miss Gary.  He'd lose to weak teams, but he'd coach his heart out vs tougher teams.

Mark is more calculated.  I expect him to just coast and get out of here with a healthy squad, giving casual Joe Blow MSU fan an inflated ego defeating these pups after 2 days full rest.

They haven't been back to CP since Wednesday, I believe.

MSU is definitely worth their rank though.

We get home, hopefully get 2 at home, and I wouldn't be surprised to drop the next 2 at Wiscy and Neb.

[mcwterps1]

I mean, that's all legs there.  Missed FT's, falling on the floor, lack of speed back on defense.

Oh well.  This is the only game between the 2.  Shame.

[mcwterps1]

More than 2 minutes left, no Cowan or Fernando.  Calculated move Turge.  Weak, but I get it.

[ELA]

Rutgers suddenly hot?

[medinabuckeye1]

Rutgers suddenly hot?

I don't think so.  They recently lost at home to Northwestern.  If you look at it, they have two big upset home wins.  One was over Nebraska and the other over Ohio State.  In both cases their victims were coming off of hard-fought home losses to your Spartans then traveling to New Jersey to play the Scarlet Knights on short rest.  It happens.  

[TyphonInc]

75% of Ohio State fans now voting that the team misses the NCAA tourney. ESPN has them squarely on the bubble. That Rutgers loss will keep them out of the Big dance.

[medinabuckeye1]

There were a bunch of upsets this weekend:

• Rutgers over Nebraska
• Wisconsin over Michigan
• Northwestern over Rutgers

Reminder, the tiers currently are:

• Michigan State, Michigan
• BLANK
• Purdue, Maryland, Nebraska
• Wisconsin, Indiana, Iowa
• Ohio State
• Minnesota, Northwestern, Penn State
• Illinois, Rutgers

The upsets so far have been:
 

Date	Won	@/v	Lost
30-Nov	UW	@	IA
5-Dec	MN	v	UNL
3-Jan	MN	@	UW
9-Jan	RU	v	tOSU
11-Jan	PU	@	UW
14-Jan	UNL	@	IU
18-Jan	NU	@	RU
19-Jan	UW	v	M
21-Jan	RU	v	UNL

All teams are within +/-1 except Minnesota which is +2.  

Updated projected final standings/BTT seeds:

• 19-1/28-3 Michigan State
• 18-2/29-2 Michigan
• 14-6/21-10 Purdue
• 13-7/22-9 Maryland
• 12-8/22-9 Nebraska (wins tiebreaker with IU and UW based on H2H2H
• 12-8/21-10 Indiana (second in H2H2H with UNL and UW)
• 12-8/20-11 Wisconsin
• 11-9/22-9 Iowa
• 8-12/18-13 Ohio State
• 6-14/15-16 Northwestern
• 5-15/15-16 Minnesota
• 4-16/8-23 Illinois (wins H2H tiebreaker over RU, no game in Picastaway)
• 4-16/11-19 Rutgers
• 2-18/9-22 Penn State

Thus, the match-ups at the BTT in Chicago would be:
Wednesday, March 13:

• #11 Minnesota vs #14 Penn State, 9pm, BTN
• #12 Illinois vs #13 Rutgers, 6:30pm, BTN

Thursday, March 14 (Pi Day):

• #5 Nebraska vs MN/PSU, 3pm, BTN
• #6 Indiana vs IL/RU, 9:30pm, BTN
• #7 Wisconsin vs #10 Northwestern, 7pm, BTN
• #8 Iowa vs #9 Ohio State, 12:30pm, BTN

Friday, March 15:

• #1 Michigan State vs IA/tOSU, 12:30pm, BTN
• #2 Michigan vs UW/NU, 7pm, BTN
• #3 Purdue vs IU/IL/RU, 9:30pm, BTN
• #4 Maryland vs UNL/MN/PSU, 3pm, BTN

Saturday, March 16:

• MSU/IA/tOSU vs UMD/UNL/MN/PSU, 1pm, CBS
• M/UW/NU vs PU/IU/IL/RU, 3:30pm, CBS

Sunday, March 17:

• MSU/IA/tOSU/UMD/UNL/MN/PSU vs M/UW/NU/PU/IU/IL/RU, 3:30pm, CBS

[847badgerfan]

It will be interesting to see how M responds tonight at home against Minnie. 

[medinabuckeye1]

75% of Ohio State fans now voting that the team misses the NCAA tourney. ESPN has them squarely on the bubble. That Rutgers loss will keep them out of the Big dance.

They are currently 2-4/12-5 with 14 left to play.  Here is a rough ranking of remaining games from most likely to win (#1) to most likely to lose (#14):

• vs Rutgers
• vs Illinois
• vs Northwestern
• vs Penn State
• at Northwestern
• vs Iowa
• vs Wisconsin
• vs Purdue 
• at Indiana 
• at Nebraska 
• at Purdue 
• at Maryland 
• at Michigan
• at Michigan State

As I see it, the Buckeyes need to go at least 7-7 to even be a serious bubble team heading into the BTT.  Even then, at 9-11/19-12 I think they'd have a substantial amount of work to do in Chicago.  

Part of the problem, as I see it, for the Buckeyes is that the last six games I have listed are all in the "almost no chance" category.  Those are six road games against tournament teams.  To really feel good about their chances the Buckeyes need to win all seven home games and win in Evanston.  Then they'd finish 10-10/29-11 and probably be in good shape.  

If the Buckeyes lose tomorrow night at home to Purdue then they'll need to be perfect in games they should win AND pick up a very unlikely road win against a tournament team.  I just can't see it happening without beating Purdue tomorrow.