header pic

The SEC Forum at College Football Fan Site, CFB51!!!

The 'Old' CFN/Scout Crowd- Enjoy Civil discussion, game analytics, in depth player and coaching 'takes' and discussing topics surrounding the game. You can even have your own free board, all you have to do is ask!!!

Anyone is welcomed and encouraged to join our FREE site and to take part in our community- a community with you- the user, the fan, -and the person- will be protected from intrusive actions and with a clean place to interact.


« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2   Go Down
Author

Topic: Vegas Over/Unders

 (Read 4233 times)

OrangeAfroMan

  • Stats Porn
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 18847
  • Liked:
Vegas Over/Unders
« on: September 24, 2020, 10:33:12 AM »
Step right up, make your picks!  If you think it's a push, then say so.  There's no penalty for prudence here.

8 Alabama
7 Texas A&M
6.5 Auburn
6.5 LSU
4 Ole Miss
4 Miss St
1.5 Arkansas
-------
7.5 Florida
7.5 Georgia
5.5 Tennessee
5 Kentucky
3.5 Carolina
2.5 Missouri
1 Vanderbilt

What say you?
Logged
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

Cincydawg

  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 71547
  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Liked:
Re: Vegas Over/Unders
« Reply #1 on: September 24, 2020, 01:11:19 PM »
They look about right to me, maybe the Vols at 5.5 is a bit optimistic.  I'd take that under.

Logged

OrangeAfroMan

  • Stats Porn
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 18847
  • Liked:
Re: Vegas Over/Unders
« Reply #2 on: September 24, 2020, 08:13:33 PM »
I'd take the over on Mizzou and Kentucky.  I'd take the over for UGA, too.  

I think in a vacuum, LSU is falling off a cliff this year, BUT their schedule is SO favorable.  They don't play 2 above-average teams in consecutive weeks the whole season.  Not once.

A&M and Kentucky get the misfortune of playing Alabama and Florida in consecutive weeks.  
Logged
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

Cincydawg

  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 71547
  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Liked:
Re: Vegas Over/Unders
« Reply #3 on: September 25, 2020, 08:44:08 AM »
A lot depends on schedule, as you note, and of course somebody will turn out to be much better/worse than expected.  But no team can fatten up on Georgia State this year.

Georgia is somewhere between being rather good and excellent, and it hinges on their offense (duh) and QB.  That's simply an unknowable.
Logged

bamajoe

  • Red Shirt
  • ***
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 352
  • Liked:
Re: Vegas Over/Unders
« Reply #4 on: September 25, 2020, 10:21:17 AM »
I looked at Tennessee and they have five games that they should be favored in. They should be able to beat Missouri, South Carolina, Vanderbilt, Kentucky, and Arkansas. They can probably pick up one more from Auburn, Alabama, Georgia, Florida and Texas A&M. I think they will beat Florida or A&M. So six wins is attainable.
Logged

bamajoe

  • Red Shirt
  • ***
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 352
  • Liked:
Re: Vegas Over/Unders
« Reply #5 on: September 25, 2020, 10:33:24 AM »
LSU has six lay ups including starting the year with three cream puffs for building momentum . They should easily beat Missouri, Ole Miss, Miss State, Arkansas, and Vanderbilt. They should be able to pick up at least one more victory from Florida, Auburn, Alabama and A&M. Seven wins is reasonable.
Logged

ALA2262

  • Player
  • ****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 602
  • Liked:
Re: Vegas Over/Unders
« Reply #6 on: September 25, 2020, 01:14:54 PM »
O 8 Alabama
U 7 Texas A&M
U 6.5 Auburn
O 6.5 LSU
U 4 Ole Miss
U 4 Miss St
U 1.5 Arkansas
-------
O 7.5 Florida
O 7.5 Georgia
U 5.5 Tennessee
O 5 Kentucky
U 3.5 Carolina
U 2.5 Missouri
U 1 Vanderbilt
Logged

OrangeAfroMan

  • Stats Porn
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 18847
  • Liked:
Re: Vegas Over/Unders
« Reply #7 on: September 26, 2020, 12:33:23 AM »
Quote from: bamajoe on September 25, 2020, 10:21:17 AM
I looked at Tennessee and they have five games that they should be favored in. They should be able to beat Missouri, South Carolina, Vanderbilt, Kentucky, and Arkansas. They can probably pick up one more from Auburn, Alabama, Georgia, Florida and Texas A&M. I think they will beat Florida or A&M. So six wins is attainable.
Florida vs Tennessee the last 2 years (Mullen vs Pruitt)
47-21
34-3

Logged
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

Cincydawg

  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 71547
  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Liked:
Re: Vegas Over/Unders
« Reply #8 on: September 26, 2020, 08:50:51 AM »
"We" all tend to count wins that should happen, but they sometimes don't.  I had South Carolina down in the W column last year obviously.  Duh.

This is especially true if a team is in the "slightly better than average" group, as an average or below average team can upset them, and it becomes probable when you have 4-5-6 of those games.

I view Alabama as the team least likely to be upset by a "South Carolina" because of recent history.
Logged

OrangeAfroMan

  • Stats Porn
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 18847
  • Liked:
Re: Vegas Over/Unders
« Reply #9 on: September 26, 2020, 02:35:40 PM »
Florida's defense has been crap today, BUT I'm not overly concerned.  We're playing EVERYBODY - the coaches are seeing who's a live-game contributor and who isn't.


I think we'll see this around the conference - instead of a "depth game" being up 40 points vs Directional U, it'll be up 17 points vs a conference foe.  
Logged
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

OrangeAfroMan

  • Stats Porn
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 18847
  • Liked:
Re: Vegas Over/Unders
« Reply #10 on: September 26, 2020, 07:57:13 PM »
Who else had LSU falling off a cliff this year?
Logged
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

Cincydawg

  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 71547
  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Liked:
Re: Vegas Over/Unders
« Reply #11 on: September 27, 2020, 08:52:40 AM »
Quote from: OrangeAfroMan on September 26, 2020, 07:57:13 PM
Who else had LSU falling off a cliff this year?
Not I, I figured they be pretty decent, not great, maybe 73- or 8-2.  Not any more.

Who has Miss State being this threatening?
Logged

OrangeAfroMan

  • Stats Porn
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 18847
  • Liked:
Re: Vegas Over/Unders
« Reply #12 on: September 27, 2020, 05:41:34 PM »
They're only threatening if LSU doesn't stink.  

LSU has basically had a 'top 2/3 of the program' overhaul.  Coordinators gone.  Seniors gone.  A bunch of juniors gone.  AND opt-outs by all-americans.  AND Stingley getting sick the day of.

I don't think any program would have won that game yesterday.  
Logged
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

SLM85VOL

  • Red Shirt
  • ***
  • Posts: 185
  • Agent Orange is my color!
  • Liked:
Re: Vegas Over/Unders
« Reply #13 on: September 28, 2020, 06:43:47 PM »
Quote from: OrangeAfroMan on September 26, 2020, 12:33:23 AM
Florida vs Tennessee the last 2 years (Mullen vs Pruitt)
47-21
34-3
Is it Mullen vs Pruitt or the two teams they inherited?
Logged
"Everyone thinks I'm the best damn coach in the country.  But he taught me everything I know.  I never beat him, but I learned a lot from playing him."  Bear Bryant on the General
Pages: [1] 2   Go Up
« previous next »
 
Support the Site!
Purchase of every item listed here DIRECTLY supports the site.
Hidden Safe

Dock Signs-WeatherPROOF