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Topic: SEC Champion 2025

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Cincydawg

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Re: SEC Champion 2025
« Reply #14 on: August 26, 2025, 08:56:21 AM »
I watched a bit of a few "prediction shows" on Youtube.  None of them "know" either of course.  They all make guesses because they have to ($$$), and nobody in December will check their accuracy (nor mine).  Vegas odds are "always right", in a sense.  I suspect they make money on every conference champ odds they list, it's a near mathematical certainty with the vig.

Basically, the most probable winner is Texas, with UGA and Bama pretty close behind, and LSU close behind them, then a drop off.

Last year of course UGA and Texas played in the CG and it went into OT, so neither team dominated.  UGA was playing with a backup QB much of the game, but he did pretty well.  Games like that usually come down to some unpredictables.

utee94

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Re: SEC Champion 2025
« Reply #15 on: August 26, 2025, 09:37:05 AM »
Close game for sure.  It's entirely possible that the backup QB provided an advantage.  For some reason the Texas defense was absolutely befuddled by the change in the position and never really recovered.  That was an extremely disappointing performance by Texas DC Pete Kwiatkowski.

Anyway, I won't believe that the current Texas coaching staff is going to beat Georgia, until I see it.  They've performed quite poorly in this game so far.


jgvol

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Re: SEC Champion 2025
« Reply #16 on: August 26, 2025, 09:58:19 AM »
Close game for sure.  It's entirely possible that the backup QB provided an advantage.  For some reason the Texas defense was absolutely befuddled by the change in the position and never really recovered.  That was an extremely disappointing performance by Texas DC Pete Kwiatkowski.

Anyway, I won't believe that the current Texas coaching staff is going to beat Georgia, until I see it.  They've performed quite poorly in this game so far.





Gigem

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Re: SEC Champion 2025
« Reply #17 on: August 26, 2025, 10:30:10 AM »
Close game for sure.  It's entirely possible that the backup QB provided an advantage.  For some reason the Texas defense was absolutely befuddled by the change in the position and never really recovered.  That was an extremely disappointing performance by Texas DC Pete Kwiatkowski.

Anyway, I won't believe that the current Texas coaching staff is going to beat Georgia, until I see it.  They've performed quite poorly in this game so far.
It’s weird that even though I knew Texas and Georgia played twice I totally forgot about the 2nd game going to OT. 

utee94

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Re: SEC Champion 2025
« Reply #18 on: October 28, 2025, 04:47:27 PM »
All y'all suckas that voted for Texas.  I voted for Georgia, of course.



nwms

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Re: SEC Champion 2025
« Reply #19 on: October 30, 2025, 01:22:53 PM »
ala & ga have more difficult sched's which made it easy to vote tx to win the league. i like probably lsu to get there & lose to them due to their comparably favorable sched.
holy **** this was bad.

Gigem

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Re: SEC Champion 2025
« Reply #20 on: October 30, 2025, 08:59:55 PM »
All y'all suckas that voted for Texas.  I voted for Georgia, of course.


Texas is still very much in the running with 1 loss, same as Georgia. 

utee94

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Re: SEC Champion 2025
« Reply #21 on: October 31, 2025, 09:04:38 AM »
Horns aren't gonna win in Athens.

Gigem

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Re: SEC Champion 2025
« Reply #22 on: November 10, 2025, 03:00:02 PM »
https://bball.notnothing.net/sec.php?sport=fb

You can manipulate the tie-breakers here if you're curious on how it all works.  
Two teams with zero losses, A&M and Alabama.
Three teams with one loss, Georgia, OM, Texas.

Georgia and Texas each have 1 loss and play each other, this week I think.  One of these drops out of the running, at least unless some crazy stuff happens.  

Texas A&M has USC (1-6) and @Texas (4-1).  
Bama has OU and @ Auburn. 
Georgia has Texas left in conference play, then GT end of November. 
OM has Florida and @Miss St. 
Texas has @UGa, Ark, and A&M.  

Of the remaining contests I think the biggest upset is likely to be Texas and A&M, with Texas winning.  There is a good chance Texas will be favored so it won't even be an upset by traditional terms, both teams are currently in the Top Ten.  

I don't see Georgia losing at home to Texas.  The 2nd most likely is OU beating Bama.  3rd most likely is Miss State beating OM.  

If A&M loses @Texas, it will be Georgia and Bama in the SEC CCG, assuming they win out (likely). 

Now if OU beats Bama, and nothing else changes, it will still be Alabama/Georgia in the title game.  

Change a few more games, for example Texas beats UGa, it would be Alabama/Ole Miss.  This would be a fun one.  

Bottom line, the only way A&M is guaranteed to make it is to win out.  

Gigem

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Re: SEC Champion 2025
« Reply #23 on: November 10, 2025, 07:03:15 PM »
I can't post images from my work computer (stupid security) but I can now.







Gigem

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Re: SEC Champion 2025
« Reply #24 on: November 10, 2025, 07:05:55 PM »
Now start tweakin the scenarios a bit...

Most likely "upset"  Texas beats A&M (I've seen reports they are currently favored).
Nobody else favored loses 





Gigem

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Re: SEC Champion 2025
« Reply #25 on: November 10, 2025, 07:09:20 PM »
OU beats Alabama, Texas Beats A&M (Still Bama Georgia)



Gigem

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Re: SEC Champion 2025
« Reply #26 on: November 10, 2025, 07:10:30 PM »

Gigem

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Re: SEC Champion 2025
« Reply #27 on: November 10, 2025, 07:18:14 PM »
Now I know everybody knows that the last week or two of the season can be pure pandemonium.  Almost anything can happen.  Lots of scenarios put Alabama and Georgia together, even if Bama drops a game.  

Couple of scenarios put Alabama and Ole Miss together.  I kinda have this feeling that OM will lose to Miss State.  

Right now I'm trending 80% that it will be Bama/Georgia, just purely based on the number of scenarios that could play out most likely.  
Next is A&M/Bama.  

Small chance it's Bama/OM, but it's not unforeseeable.

But personally, my favorite scenario:

OU beats Bama (realistic probability).  Then Texas Beats Georgia.  You kinda have to think, 3rd time is the charm, right? 

Last week of the season, Miss State beats OM.
Texas beats A&M
and for the coup de'etat, Auburn beats Alabama.  Folks, I give you the first ever ALL TEXAS SEC Championship game, where A&M redeems itself and wins the SEC:





 

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