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Topic: Pretty fun weekend

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bamajoe

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Re: Pretty fun weekend
« Reply #28 on: September 30, 2022, 02:51:24 PM »
Georgia should turn in their man card. It is unfair to play South Carolina,  Vanderbilt,  Missouri,  and Georgia Tech while Bama gets only one of them. The only games they could possibly lose are Tennessee and Kentucky and either one of them could collapse.

Cincydawg

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Re: Pretty fun weekend
« Reply #29 on: September 30, 2022, 03:36:01 PM »
I think they could lose at MSU and with Florida, but I agree, they'll be favored in each likely 10+.  

just1hog

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Re: Pretty fun weekend
« Reply #30 on: October 01, 2022, 07:43:27 AM »
AlaDAMNbama... The hogs ain't giving you no gifts like we did TAMU. Get ready, today is gonna be a reckoning! :sign0151:

Gigem

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Re: Pretty fun weekend
« Reply #31 on: October 02, 2022, 01:19:08 AM »
Damn. I simply can’t believe how bad our offense played today. Couple that with the TO’s, and you have a recipe for getting blown out. Hard to believe we were in this game late into the 3rd quarter. 

And I’m so effin tired of the low snaps. Literally half the snaps are low. 

just1hog

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Re: Pretty fun weekend
« Reply #32 on: October 02, 2022, 07:37:22 AM »
AlaDAMNbama... The hogs ain't giving you no gifts like we did TAMU. Get ready, today is gonna be a reckoning! :sign0151:
No gifts...but Bama handed out a butt whupping for sure. Gibbs is a beast!

ALA2262

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Re: Pretty fun weekend
« Reply #33 on: October 02, 2022, 04:39:38 PM »
No gifts...but Bama handed out a butt whupping for sure. Gibbs is a beast!
Gibbs is a greyhound. Milroe is the beast. Someone on ESPN U said that when Young went out, Bama put Derrick Henry in at QB. Both Gibbs and Milroe have serious wheels.

And speaking of wheels, with your secondary, be glad that WR Tyler Harrell from Miami was unable to play. Has yet to see the field this year because of a foot injury. Was thought he would be ready this week. Transferred to Bama from Louisville, where in 2021 he averaged 29.1 yards per catch but only had 18 receptions. If I am a coach and I have a player with those kind of stats, I am going to find someway somehow to get the ball in his hands more than 18 times. Louisville coach didn't so he hit the portal.

"Rated as a four-star recruit by ESPN.com ... the No. 53 wideout in ESPN's rankings ... a two-sport athlete who also was a standout in track ... helped Christopher Columbus win a pair of FHSAA Class-4A championships in track."
https://rolltide.com/sports/football/roster/tyler-harrell/8358
« Last Edit: October 02, 2022, 05:16:18 PM by ALA2262 »

Cincydawg

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Re: Pretty fun weekend
« Reply #34 on: October 03, 2022, 06:32:39 AM »
So, upcoming games:

Arky @ MSU - MSU is looking pretty decent, Arky had some tough losses.  MSU 27  Arky 17

<izzou at Florida - Mizzou is kind of beat down I think now, UF 31  Mizzou 13

Tenn at LSU - Interesting, LSU has a pulse, morning start though in BR, I'm guessing of course LSU 34  Tenn 31

Auburn at UGA - What looked like an easy one for the Dawgs now has some import, but they hang on close, UGA 27  Auburn 24

Ole Miss at Vandy - Slow start I suspect but it's Vandy, OM 41  Vandy 14

USCe at UK - UK gets back on track 38-13

A&M at Bama - Bama 47  A&M 19

The most interesting game to me starts at noon, which is odd.

bamajoe

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Re: Pretty fun weekend
« Reply #35 on: October 03, 2022, 08:48:39 AM »
Tennessee beats LSU by two touchdowns. LSU simply doesn't have the ability to keep up with the pace that Tennessee runs. 42 - 28.

Georgia beats Auburn in a blowout. Georgia will not sleep walk three weeks in a row. 42 - 14.

Cincydawg

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Re: Pretty fun weekend
« Reply #36 on: October 03, 2022, 09:01:16 AM »
I hope you're right, I'm tired of seeing the Dawgs unable to move the ball in the first half.

I don't know what LSU has, we're about to find out.  I suspect you are probably right on that outcome.

ALA2262

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Re: Pretty fun weekend
« Reply #37 on: October 03, 2022, 10:15:19 AM »
Good point about the early start in BR. LSU's win percentage in day games in BR is .677 and in night games is .750. Their overall win percentage at home is .733 which, believe it or not, is lower than Bama's .769 win percentage there. Bama's record in BR is 29-8-2.

MikeDeTiger

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Re: Pretty fun weekend
« Reply #38 on: October 03, 2022, 11:18:33 AM »
Good point about the early start in BR. LSU's win percentage in day games in BR is .677 and in night games is .750. Their overall win percentage at home is .733 which, believe it or not, is lower than Bama's .769 win percentage there. Bama's record in BR is 29-8-2.

Good example of the old adage "There are lies, damn lies, and then there are statistics."  

Day games in Tiger Stadium generally have featured teams competent enough to beat LSU on their field, while night games include nearly all of the cream puffs that have little to no chance of winning at LSU.  This skews the day/night win %, when in reality, when the level of competition is adjusted for, there is not a significant difference in LSU's win% based on time of day.  What is significant is if the team is quality enough to beat LSU at LSU.

Unfortunately for us, Tennessee the better team at this point, though I expect LSU to look much better than their showing on the Plains last weekend.  I think we'll give them a decent game, but lose.  

MikeDeTiger

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Re: Pretty fun weekend
« Reply #39 on: October 03, 2022, 11:39:16 AM »
Well, I was wrong about losing at AU (happily), but I almost nailed it.  I wish everybody--fans, media, unaware and uninterested passersby--would get it in their heads that LSU plays like crap on the Plains, and no matter what kind of crap team Auburn has, they do not let LSU come in Jordan Hare and beat them down.  I really don't know what more history people could need to see this is the case.  It's risky in the best of times to pick LSU @ AU, and it's sheer hubris to think they'll kick their teeth in, even when Auburn is really bad.  This is true even when LSU has a good team, which is not exactly the case this year, even though they're improving in fits and starts.  

AU lost, but sort of handed the game away with some really bad calls in a few spots.  I'll credit the BR Tigers with not giving up and stiffening up on defense the second half with some nice adjustments, but AU still could've pulled that off with better coaching.  How in the world you win an SEC road game with 85 yards passing, 3.8 yards per carry, and getting doubled up on yardage is beyond me, other than I guess losing the turnover battle 4-1 will do that to you.  btw, I read that this was the first SEC team in over 5 years to win a conference game while throwing for less than 100 yards.  

I'm not down on the program, or even this particular team.  It looks to me like things are headed in the right direction.  They're going to lose a number of games this year, and looking at the schedule I don't know where the next win will come from other than UAB, though I do think they'll win 1 or 2 more somewhere and make a bowl.  The program, believe it or not, is still in really good shape, unlike the 90's when LSU fielded terrible teams and it would take a lot of heavy lifting to make the team good again.  This should happen much more quickly.  The infrastructure of a good program didn't suffer, even though O left a dumpster fire of a roster.  Even now, there are some really outstanding pieces in freshman who are flashing signs of greatness.  They showed up on the Plains and fought and made plays....it makes me excited for future teams.  

But it won't be this year.  This year we'll lose a bunch of games we'll probably be better than people expect next year based on this year's results.  They do need to find a SEC-caliber center, and if a quality center is available in the portal this year I expect LSU to go after them hard.  QB needs more development as well.  If they're able to do those things, I project LSU to be pretty good again in the 2023/2024 range.  

Cincydawg

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Re: Pretty fun weekend
« Reply #40 on: October 03, 2022, 11:47:45 AM »
I see the Vols are favored, but only by 4, which surprised me slightly (even though I picked an upset).

I would take Auburn and the points.

MikeDeTiger

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Re: Pretty fun weekend
« Reply #41 on: October 03, 2022, 12:29:57 PM »
Lot of chatter about our QB holding the ball too long, being indecisive or not reading a defense well, and being scared of throwing INTs (I believe he threw a bunch last year as ASU's qb).  I think this is warranted and he does have problems he's having to work on there.  I also think his O-line is in his head, even on plays they protect him well.  There are many times when the interior of the line is a sieve and he has no chance, and that probably rattles him.  

But something else....you can't usually see down the field on TV, but when replay shows it, it looks like our receivers aren't getting any separation.  I can't tell if this is the case or not, and if so, how often that's happening.  I'm thinking he may not have anything open and that causes him to hang on to the ball.  

I'm supposed to be going to the Ole Miss game in a few weeks...if I'm able to make that it'll be interesting to see what's really happening out there.  

 

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