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Topic: Predictions for your team in 2026

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Cincydawg

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Re: Predictions for your team in 2026
« Reply #42 on: August 19, 2026, 06:38:19 PM »
A Texas win say 28-17 sounds very plausible, but does it mean OSU is not "elite"?  Maybe not.  Does it mean Texas is elite?  Maybe.  We learn something from every game if we're lucky, but "we" also tend to ..... react overly.
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MikeDeTiger

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Re: Predictions for your team in 2026
« Reply #43 on: Today at 09:04:20 AM »
Remember when LSU @ Clemson to start last year was a Top Ten showdown?  lolz
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MikeDeTiger

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Re: Predictions for your team in 2026
« Reply #44 on: Today at 01:02:18 PM »
Quote from: Cincydawg on August 19, 2026, 06:38:19 PM
A Texas win say 28-17 sounds very plausible, but does it mean OSU is not "elite"?  Maybe not.  Does it mean Texas is elite?  Maybe.  We learn something from every game if we're lucky, but "we" also tend to ..... react overly.

It wouldn't mean much of anything.  It's a single data point unconnected to any other data points when it occurs.

It wouldn't change my opinion of OSU in the least, or Texas either.  If the score was reversed, same thing.  I'd be inclined to start assigning the Buckeyes some "we backed it up" points for winning on the road.  

Now, if either team wins 56-0, that probably moves my needle, even if it is just a single data point.  In Bayesian analysis, data carries varying weight, and I'd probably weight that heavier.  

A 28-17 affair?  Meh.  I'd think of them almost exactly how I already thought of them until a few year tough games went by.  
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