Arch played like hot garbage last year, at OSU. In part, probably because he was hurt, imo. OSU won 14-7.
I can't say what kind of roster turnover each team has had (who can, in this day and age?). But UT's QB stands to make the standard 2nd-year leap forward, probably won't be hurt, and the game will be at home.
OSU is probably too good to not make it a battle, but if Texas wins 28-17, I won't be surprised.