If the Tenn/Ole Miss version of Georgia shows up, they're going to win, maybe even big.
If UGA farts around and has good plays called back for stupid holding penalties and things like that, they might not win.
This is not a great Alabama team, but their roster is still undeniably more stacked with blue-chip prospects than any other team, including UGA, and there are occasionally flashes of them putting it together. They're certainly talented enough to capitalize if UGA doesn't bring their A game.
I think if UGA's corners hold up, they're going to win. If not, Alabama might score enough to pull it off.
On the other side, UGA just needs to execute. If they have a bad day, Alabama can hold them to enough to let the offense hit a reasonable number. If UGA fires on all cylinders, I don't think there's anything Bama can do to stop them. Beck is seeing the field too well and distributing the ball to too many weapons.
OTOH, Kirby Smart has more NCs than wins against Saban in Atlanta.
This is for the narrative. An Alabama win will signal that Saban and Bama still own the conference and the national landscape overall in a long-term sense. A UGA win is going to signal that they've definitively replaced Bama as the Empire, and we're all paying our taxes to Athens now.