Week Zero consisted of two significant games… Well. It consisted of two games. And- we nailed them both and came within one field goal of bullseye on the Arizona/Hawaii matchup. If you had placed your wagers based on our advice, you would have taken some seed money home to support your interests the rest of the season!!!
Week one is upon us, now, and what’s behind us matters little. Here we go:
Game of Interest- the ‘LOCK’:
Northwestern Wildcats play the Stanford Cardinal at 4pmEST, 31 August 2019 at Stanford Stadium.
At the time of this writing the spread favors Stanford by 6.5pts and the over/under is 47.5points scored.
66% are selecting the ‘under’.
The smart money says Northwestern will WIN outright, and the game will go OVER.
Deficiency in the sportsbooks: Underestimating NW, and fanbase of Stanford pushing the line .
Northwestern is in a position, when playing outside of conference, to surprise. Stanford, on the other hand, has allowed past performance to indicate future performance, when that is a folly.
Though NW is crossing some serious real estate including time zones, this little team should be able to hold it together through all four quarters and hold those Cardinal’s just under their expected production.
Cfb51-LINE prediction: 35 Northwestern; 31 Stanford.
What this means: It is a piece to the puzzle that set’s the season in motion to tumble the PAC and spike the B1G. Stanford isn’t going to sniff peak Offense until later in the season, while NW is expected to come out firing. A little seed money can be had, here.
Steady Plays:
UCLA comes to town. The game at time of print favors Cincy by 3, with an o/u of 68.5pts.
Cincy will win, will cover, and the o/u will be comfortably under.
UCLA may have a second attempt with Chip Kelly, but, again, that is a long way to travel and time zones make all the difference in this game, especially early.
Take Cincy and the points so long as they don’t break 12, and the under so long as it doesn’t collapse to less than 60.
aTm invites the Texas State Bobcats for dinner. TAMU is favored by 34.5, Texas STATE is predicted to cover, and the o/u is predicted at 74.5points.
Texas A&M will win, will cover, and the o/u is about right as of print time.
The question with this game is Jimbo Fisher. He has no interest in laying off and he must make a statement to the home crowd. This isn’t a good place for the Bobcats to open.
Fisher has a nasty habit of running scores, and this will be a statement game for his 2019 season. 75 points is a lot to score, so I’m guessing the statement made will be instead the throttle on Texas State- who may even be shutout in this game.
The “Wobblers”
Bama is favored by 33points with an o/u of 60.5 at time of print. They are picked to win, and cover. The line is decent.
Bama will win, they WILL NOT cover the 33.5 posted right now, and the over will be 62, almost in stone.
It’s certainly no shot at Bama. It’s that the cagey Coach Cutcliffe has had a long time to prepare, and he’s finding Bama with their least experience in the secondary in a long time. Duke will score at least 17 perhaps 21, though Bama will never be less control of the game. They’ll lay off around 35 to 41.
The Hokies travel to BC and with a 2.5point favor.
VT will win, will cover, and will put some distance between themselves and BC.
Fuentes is entering his evaluation period and he’s pretty dang good at scoring if history is an indicator. This will be the last season of famed DC Bud Foster, and those Hokies will be leaning hard on the Eagles. VT will hang at least 31 while BC will be fortunate to go twice for 14. The spread ain’t enough and this is a good pick for VT covering and rolling. Surely this one will move quickly as we draw near.
Other interests:
- Ole Miss may have trouble with Memphis
- Wiscy is favored by 11pts over USF, which is too much. Take USF.
- Purdue is favored by 11pts over Nevada, which is too much, too. Take Nevada.
- OkSt is favored by 14 over OregonSt which is forgetting the pirate. Take Oregon State.
- Tennessee is favored by 26 over Georgia State, and that ain’t happening. Take GaSt.
- Idaho travels to PSU, and PSU carries an outrageous 39.5 favor. Take Idaho. PSU is only good for 30 over.
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