The B12 (XII) Forum, home of the 'Front Porch, y'all' at College Football Fan Site, CFB51!!!

My gut tells me Georgia wins this one, close through much of the game but opening it up to 10-14 by the end.

But Alabama could certainly win.

Depends on which UGA shows up.  If UGA plays their best--doesn't commit drive-killing penalties, doesn't drop a lot of balls, doesn't fumble, and just basically executes close to the level they're capable of--I think they win and not even close.  They could put an emphatic nail in the Alabama Dynasty coffin. 

If UGA plays less than they're capable of, the Alabama roster is still stacked with more blue-chips than any other team and have proven themselves to be capable of pulling rabbits out of hats.  

soooooooooo what happens if Alabama beats Georgia

Well then Texas  will have beaten the SEC champ head-to-head by double digits on their own field.  Alabama eliminates Georgia and Texas goes over Alabama due to head-to-head.  Makes perfect sense right?

soooooooooo what happens if Alabama beats Georgia

Depends.

Washington, Georgia, Michigan, and FSU are all in (probably, FSU is not a guarantee) if they win.  If they all win except UGA, then Washington, Michigan, FSU, and Texas are in (imo).  

If UGA loses and Washington loses, it will be Michigan, FSU, Oregon and Texas and the SEC will be left out completely (imo).  But there's also a chance the committee will bump Bama in over Oregon, or bump UGA in over Texas also, or just any number of things.  The committee is going to be loathe to leave the SEC out, but it will also be clear and obvious that it's the right call.  So who knows what they'll do.  

If UGA loses and FSU loses, it's Washington, Michigan, Texas and Alabama (imo).  

There's several other combinations of multiple teams losing that all have their own outcomes of varying degrees of likelihood.  There's also 1-loss Ohio State lurking, and who knows what the committee might decide to do with them as a 1-loss option if we don't have 4 undefeateds.  

Just too many variables to tell.  

Bama is in

And so the team that beat Bama would be in as well.  Makes perfect sense to me.

Two road games to close out the season.  Yuck.