As good as Texas was in the mid-2000’s it took a really special player to get them over the top. As good as OU has been in the last 20 years they have only won it once. Close a few times.
Clemson and LSU have not been traditional football powers over the last 50 years. Despite that they have had more individual success than either the two blue bloods of Texas and OU. Or Michigan, Nebraska, UTenn, pretty much everybody else except maybe Alabama. And Ohio St.
LSU is probably right at the cusp of blue blood status, assuming the top ten aren’t set in stone. I think the chances of a #10-20 type program winning the whole thing is just as good as about 7 out of the top 10.
I often wonder if the old guard of Nebraska, Norte Dame, UTenn, and a few others maybe it’s just over for them. If the special set of circumstances that allowed them to thrive will also deny them to evolve.
I couldn’t tell you exactly what those circumstances are, but it appears that being in a populated southern state is one of the new ones, which maybe does it for Nebraska and ND. It seems that winning big in the past may not be enough for these programs. Now it’s more about resources, location, media, alumni.