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Topic: Lincoln Riley to USC

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Cincydawg

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Re: Lincoln Riley to USC
« Reply #98 on: July 25, 2022, 03:31:23 PM »
I'd guess there are thirty programs with legitimate chances to win an NC in a decade.  Maybe twenty.  Maybe 7 end up doing it.

A very good team can hit a fantastic QB and win it.
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utee94

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Re: Lincoln Riley to USC
« Reply #99 on: July 26, 2022, 09:11:16 AM »
Definitely fewer than 30.  20 is probably also an exaggeration.

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FearlessF

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Re: Lincoln Riley to USC
« Reply #100 on: July 26, 2022, 09:27:26 AM »
with Bama's run the past decade it hasn't been close to 20

the 4-team playoff doesn't help an underdog to snatch the cheese
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Cincydawg

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Re: Lincoln Riley to USC
« Reply #101 on: July 26, 2022, 09:34:28 AM »
Yeah, I'm talking about going forward, not the past.  I probably could name 20 programs with a ~>5% chance of winning an NC in a decade.

I'd include USC and Texas and anyone who seems to be able to recruit well.
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FearlessF

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Re: Lincoln Riley to USC
« Reply #102 on: July 26, 2022, 09:46:59 AM »
I might narrow it to the top 12 recruiting programs in the next decade

It would help if it was spread out a bit more from the top 4 or 5

Bama, Georgia, A&M, Ohio St. seem to gobble up the majority of top recruits

A&M the newcomer, replacing Clemson
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Cincydawg

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Re: Lincoln Riley to USC
« Reply #103 on: July 26, 2022, 09:50:08 AM »
Florida LSU Bama UGA  Tenn  Texas OU  A&M

Clemson FSU Miami

Ohio State Michigan  USC  UCLA?  PSU  Iowa?  ND

Oregon  Utah?  UDubb?

Yeah, somewhere 12-20 if we account for some team out of the blue.


« Last Edit: July 26, 2022, 10:00:17 AM by Cincydawg »
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utee94

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Re: Lincoln Riley to USC
« Reply #104 on: July 26, 2022, 09:53:54 AM »
I don't feel the need to account for "some team out of the blue" because it really just doesn't happen.
  
Over the next decade, I'd say:

Alabama, Georgia, LSU, Florida, Auburn, Ohio State, Michigan, Penn State, Oklahoma, USC... and I'll throw in Texas just for grins.

So 10-12 sound about right to me.

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FearlessF

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Re: Lincoln Riley to USC
« Reply #105 on: July 26, 2022, 10:00:35 AM »
Quote from: Cincydawg on July 26, 2022, 09:50:08 AM
Florida LSU Bama UGA  Tenn  Texas OU

Clemson FSU Miami

Ohio State Michigan  USC  UCLA?  PSU  Iowa?  ND

Oregon  Utah?  UDubb?

Tenn, ND big stretch - out of the blue
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Cincydawg

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Re: Lincoln Riley to USC
« Reply #106 on: July 26, 2022, 10:00:50 AM »
I forgot A&M and added them, and almost had forgotten Notre Dame, who could do it.

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CWSooner

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Re: Lincoln Riley to USC
« Reply #107 on: July 26, 2022, 10:28:15 AM »
Quote from: FearlessF on July 26, 2022, 10:00:35 AM
Tenn, ND big stretch - out of the blue
I wouldn't scratch Oregon.  The FDucks made it to the championship game after the 2014 season.
OTOH, their opportunities will be fewer if the Pac-12 declines to a non-power conference.
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utee94

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Re: Lincoln Riley to USC
« Reply #108 on: July 26, 2022, 10:34:29 AM »
I don't discount Oregon's ability to make it into the CFP, especially after it expands.

I just don't think they'll win the NC.
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FearlessF

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Re: Lincoln Riley to USC
« Reply #109 on: July 26, 2022, 11:20:23 AM »
2014 was almost a decade ago

they haven't been recruiting at that level
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longhorn320

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Re: Lincoln Riley to USC
« Reply #110 on: July 26, 2022, 11:26:43 AM »
I wouldnt include Texas until they do something to earn it
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FearlessF

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Re: Lincoln Riley to USC
« Reply #111 on: July 26, 2022, 11:27:59 AM »
they recruit well, but that's always been the case
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