The convoy is still there. It's still huge. It's not moving much.
Optimistic hopes are that they're experiencing difficulties due to road conditions/harassment from Ukrainian forces/logistical issues.
But it could just be that they're pausing and regrouping for their inevitable siege.
Defense officials and Western experts of war are puzzled by the stalling of Russia's 40 mile convoy. "Food and Fuel" shortages, as reported, don't add up because this is a RESUPPLY convoy that was fully readied in Belarus about 100 miles north of Kyiv. By its very purpose it shouldn't be out of fuel, especially after its short trip from Belarus.
My brother, an Army Vet with infantry experience in Afghanistan, believes it's a problem of disorganization among their officers ranks. I, on the other hand, wonder if the convoy is sitting there waiting until Russia can attain Air Superiority over Kyiv, which is another point of confusion among the experts.
We're witnessing the Russians learn the hard way how difficult a multi-faceted invasion is - air, seas, land - but air superiority should've been the easiest of the three for Russia. Instead, to the confusion of many, Russia's efforts for the sky are lacking.
As for the ground and seas, with most of the attention on the larger cities of Kyiv to the north and Kharkiv in the East, Russian Forces are finding their footing in the south and taking control of a number of the medium size regional cities nearer to the Black Sea. Mariupol is surrounded and under control of Russian Forces and the Sea of Azov is now cut off. About half a dozen smaller cities in the south and east are under an ultimatum to surrender or face leveling by artillary fire.
In the city of Kherson (pop. 250k-300k) Russian Forces have closed it off and infantry units are patrolling the empty streets. After a disorienting first wave of attack Russian Forces now seem adapted to a more determined and careful approach, checking and arresting citizens they find on the streets and taking over government buildings. Russian Forces are also looting markets for food and several apartment towers have been struck by heavy artillary.
https://twitter.com/TCG_CrisisRisks/status/1498883386089226249
