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Topic: Weather, Climate, Environment, and Energy

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Cincydawg

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Re: Weather, Climate, Environment, and Energy
« Reply #7392 on: April 18, 2023, 03:38:15 PM »
Nitrogen is present at 78%, about, and in every day life really has no impact on us at all.  It is very important to a number of things longer term of course, but not to the extent anyone would notice were it magically to disappear one day, for that day, being replaced by say argon.  This is why some underwater breathing mixtures have argon in place of nitrogen with no ill effect.

Oxygen of course is essential short term. Argon at nearly 1% is third most prevalent and basically irrelevant to much of anything.

betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Weather, Climate, Environment, and Energy
« Reply #7393 on: April 18, 2023, 04:01:11 PM »
Yeah, small amounts of stuff can't actually do anything, right? 


Quote
The cyanide cocktail

A man offers you a cocktail with a little bit of cyanide at a party. You reject that indignantly, but the man assures you it is completely safe: after all, the amount of cyanide in your body  after this drink would be only 0.001 percent! This could hardly be harmful! Those scientists who claim that 3 mg cyanide per kg of body weight (ie 0.0003 percent) are fatal are obviously not to be trusted. Are you falling for that argument?



longhorn320

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Re: Weather, Climate, Environment, and Energy
« Reply #7394 on: April 18, 2023, 04:32:12 PM »
Yeah, small amounts of stuff can't actually do anything, right?




oh great we are comparing the global warming movement to taking cyanide
They won't let me give blood anymore. The burnt orange color scares the hell out of the doctors.

betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Weather, Climate, Environment, and Energy
« Reply #7395 on: April 18, 2023, 05:01:07 PM »
Just arguing against the "well only 410 ppm CO2 / 1.8 ppm methane can't cause a problem because it's small numbers" mentality. 

It's a small percentage in a VERY big system. http://grisanik.com/blog/how-much-carbon-is-in-the-atmosphere/

I haven't checked the math, but that suggests that there are 3,208 gigatons of CO2 in the Earth's atmosphere. 

410 ppm of a lot is, well, a lot. 

longhorn320

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Re: Weather, Climate, Environment, and Energy
« Reply #7396 on: April 18, 2023, 05:12:33 PM »
Just arguing against the "well only 410 ppm CO2 / 1.8 ppm methane can't cause a problem because it's small numbers" mentality.

It's a small percentage in a VERY big system. http://grisanik.com/blog/how-much-carbon-is-in-the-atmosphere/

I haven't checked the math, but that suggests that there are 3,208 gigatons of CO2 in the Earth's atmosphere.

410 ppm of a lot is, well, a lot.
not when you consider the vast expanse of atmosphere its located in
They won't let me give blood anymore. The burnt orange color scares the hell out of the doctors.

utee94

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Re: Weather, Climate, Environment, and Energy
« Reply #7397 on: April 18, 2023, 05:23:17 PM »
not when you consider the vast expanse of atmosphere its located in
It's not dispersed in some vast expanse.  Its presence is growing denser, not more dispersed.  PPM is a relative measure, not an absolute one. And it's up something like 30% over the timespan we're discussing.

It's really strange that you're arguing against measurable phenomena, here.
« Last Edit: April 18, 2023, 05:31:24 PM by utee94 »

longhorn320

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Re: Weather, Climate, Environment, and Energy
« Reply #7398 on: April 18, 2023, 05:45:08 PM »
It's not dispersed in some vast expanse.  Its presence is growing denser, not more dispersed.  PPM is a relative measure, not an absolute one. And it's up something like 30% over the timespan we're discussing.

It's really strange that you're arguing against measurable phenomena, here.
my only point is that its .04% to total volume and the man made portion of co2 is 4% of that number
you can describe it however you wish but that is a very small number
« Last Edit: April 18, 2023, 06:05:49 PM by longhorn320 »
They won't let me give blood anymore. The burnt orange color scares the hell out of the doctors.

betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Weather, Climate, Environment, and Energy
« Reply #7399 on: April 18, 2023, 05:55:42 PM »
not when you consider the vast expanse of atmosphere its located in
And again, I'm guessing you didn't bother to read this despite posting it multiple times: https://history.aip.org/climate/co2.htm

It details how a lot of those measurements that were improved during the 1950s pointed out that CO2 absorbs sunlight at different wavelengths compared to things like water vapor. So adding more CO2 to the atmosphere means you're going to absorb more sunlight rather than reflect it, leading to higher temperatures. The concentration is low, but it's significantly higher than where the historical mean has been. So, more warming. 

And I'm guessing you didn't bother to read this from CD: https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/carbon-dioxide-now-more-than-50-higher-than-pre-industrial-levels


Quote
CO2  levels are now comparable to the Pliocene Climatic Optimum, between 4.1 and 4.5 million years ago, when they were close to, or above 400 ppm. During that time, sea levels were between 5 and 25 meters higher than todayoffsite link, high enough to drown many of the world’s largest modern cities. Temperatures then averaged 7 degrees Fahrenheit higher than in pre-industrial times, and studies indicateoffsite link that large forests occupied today’s Arctic tundra.
Hence a previous known time in history when we had CO2 levels this high, we had much higher sea levels and 7 degrees F higher temps than now. An empirical piece of evidence that higher CO2 = higher temps. 

And you still haven't responded to my link-by-link takedown of your supposed sources saying that man-made CO2 was only 4% of the atmosphere:

Again, you're talking about annual emissions, not actual percentage of man-made CO2 in the atmosphere.

Your first link is a letter to the editor, by a person of unknown background and credibility. He claims it's 3.2% of CO2 in the atmosphere, citing some DOE 2000 report I can't find via google. However, given the closeness of the number to the estimates of man-made annual emissions, I see no reason to believe that it's not an error that he has made that is identical to the one you have made.

Your second link is to Quora, which is a question-and-answer site not terribly unlike a message board. The first answer by Windell Driskell (retired USAF and not climate scientist) repeats that about 97% is produced by nature. The use of the word "produced" would be consistent with an understanding of annual emissions. He does not claim it's 97% of the atmospheric CO2 level. A second answer by George Dowson (byline says he's a researcher in CCUS, aka carbon capture, utilization, and storage) reiterates the claim I've made that it's about 5% of annual emissons but a major driver of atmospheric CO2 rise. A third response by Cristian Bellafonte (entrepreneur) reiterates the idea that 3.2% is produced or by-produced by man, which again points to annual emissions. He never claims that it is 3.2% or 4% of the current atmosphere. A fourth response by Edward Measure (retired physicist) doesn't use any percentage claim, but says burning fossil fuels, and manufacture of cement and steel is a smaller contribution than natural sources. However he claims that because this additional CO2 is unbalanced, it drives the increase in atmospheric CO2. Beyond that there are some older answers, which range from "less than 10%" to around 33% of atmospheric CO2 is man made. Either way, I'd suggest that Quora is a poor source for, well, anything.

Your third link is again a question and answer site. However, the only posted answer to the question clearly explains that the idea of 3% of emissions (referring to annual emissions) being man-made, it leads to a much higher total atmospheric concentration because the carbon cycle cannot sink the extra emissions.

So your links don't actually prove anything. They're not from reputable sources, and two of the three don't even claim what you say they're claiming.

Have you read any of the links I've provided? If not, I highly recommend these:

https://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2018/01/the-global-co2-rise-the-facts-exxon-and-the-favorite-denial-tricks/
https://history.aip.org/climate/co2.htm



Are you still holding to that belief that man-made CO2 is only 4% of the atmosphere? Or are you going to take your L and move on?

betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Weather, Climate, Environment, and Energy
« Reply #7400 on: April 18, 2023, 05:56:53 PM »
my only point is that its a fourth of one percent to total volume and the man made portion of co2 is 4% of that number
you can describe it however you wish but that is a very small number
Ahh. I see you are. 

longhorn320

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Re: Weather, Climate, Environment, and Energy
« Reply #7401 on: April 18, 2023, 05:59:41 PM »


Are you still holding to that belief that man-made CO2 is only 4% of the atmosphere? Or are you going to take your L and move on?
actually its not 4% but .04% and the man made portion is 4% of that number


https://news.climate.columbia.edu/2019/07/30/co2-drives-global-warming/#:~:text=CO2%20makes%20up%20only%20about,to%20escape%20without%20being%20absorbed.
They won't let me give blood anymore. The burnt orange color scares the hell out of the doctors.

betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Weather, Climate, Environment, and Energy
« Reply #7402 on: April 18, 2023, 06:06:05 PM »
actually its not 4% but .04% and the man made portion is 4% of that number


https://news.climate.columbia.edu/2019/07/30/co2-drives-global-warming/#:~:text=CO2%20makes%20up%20only%20about,to%20escape%20without%20being%20absorbed.
Misstatement on my part. I meant to say 4% of the CO2 in the atmosphere. I apologize for that.

But did you even read the entire text of the link you just sent? It's a link that says this in the ultimate paragraph:


Quote
Both water vapor and CO2 are responsible for global warming, and once we increase the CO2 in the atmosphere, the oceans warm up, which inevitably triggers an increase in water vapor. But while we have no way to control water vapor, we can control CO2. And because we are increasing the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere by continuing to burn fossil fuels, even in relatively small amounts compared to the entire mass of the atmosphere, we are disturbing the entire heat balance of the planet.
You're quoting a source that says even though CO2 is a small part of the entire mass of the atmosphere, we are disturbing the entire heat balance of the planet. 



longhorn320

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Re: Weather, Climate, Environment, and Energy
« Reply #7403 on: April 18, 2023, 06:14:47 PM »
I stand by the fact that these numbers are really small and raise question marks for me

Total atmosphere is 1,000,000 units

then total co2 would be 400 units

and the man made portion of co2 would be 16 units

if im wrong in my math please feel free to tell me

but 16 out of 1,000,000 aint much

man made methane is about 10 ppm so

the two biggest man made items that cause global warming are only  26 ppm combined

come on guys its really hard to believe this poses a big threat to man
« Last Edit: April 18, 2023, 06:25:38 PM by longhorn320 »
They won't let me give blood anymore. The burnt orange color scares the hell out of the doctors.

betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Weather, Climate, Environment, and Energy
« Reply #7404 on: April 18, 2023, 06:23:28 PM »
I stand by the fact that these numbers are really small and raise question marks for me

Total atmosphere is 1,000,000 units

then total co2 would be 400 units

and the man made portion of co2 would be 16 units

if im wrong in my math please feel free to tell me

but 16 out of 1,000,000 aint much
Really? Are you deliberately trolling me at this point? Or are you not reading anything I've posted for the last two days?

4% is NOT the amount of man-made CO2 in the air. 4% (or 3.2%, or 5%, depends when you look and the assumptions made) is the portion of annual emissions due to man. 

Read, again, what I said about your three links claiming that man-made portion is 4% of overall CO2 in the atmosphere:

Again, you're talking about annual emissions, not actual percentage of man-made CO2 in the atmosphere.

Your first link is a letter to the editor, by a person of unknown background and credibility. He claims it's 3.2% of CO2 in the atmosphere, citing some DOE 2000 report I can't find via google. However, given the closeness of the number to the estimates of man-made annual emissions, I see no reason to believe that it's not an error that he has made that is identical to the one you have made.

Your second link is to Quora, which is a question-and-answer site not terribly unlike a message board. The first answer by Windell Driskell (retired USAF and not climate scientist) repeats that about 97% is produced by nature. The use of the word "produced" would be consistent with an understanding of annual emissions. He does not claim it's 97% of the atmospheric CO2 level. A second answer by George Dowson (byline says he's a researcher in CCUS, aka carbon capture, utilization, and storage) reiterates the claim I've made that it's about 5% of annual emissons but a major driver of atmospheric CO2 rise. A third response by Cristian Bellafonte (entrepreneur) reiterates the idea that 3.2% is produced or by-produced by man, which again points to annual emissions. He never claims that it is 3.2% or 4% of the current atmosphere. A fourth response by Edward Measure (retired physicist) doesn't use any percentage claim, but says burning fossil fuels, and manufacture of cement and steel is a smaller contribution than natural sources. However he claims that because this additional CO2 is unbalanced, it drives the increase in atmospheric CO2. Beyond that there are some older answers, which range from "less than 10%" to around 33% of atmospheric CO2 is man made. Either way, I'd suggest that Quora is a poor source for, well, anything.

Your third link is again a question and answer site. However, the only posted answer to the question clearly explains that the idea of 3% of emissions (referring to annual emissions) being man-made, it leads to a much higher total atmospheric concentration because the carbon cycle cannot sink the extra emissions.

So your links don't actually prove anything. They're not from reputable sources, and two of the three don't even claim what you say they're claiming.

Have you read any of the links I've provided? If not, I highly recommend these:

https://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2018/01/the-global-co2-rise-the-facts-exxon-and-the-favorite-denial-tricks/
https://history.aip.org/climate/co2.htm




Of course, I say that you should read that "again", but I don't trust that you read it the first two times.


betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Weather, Climate, Environment, and Energy
« Reply #7405 on: April 18, 2023, 06:26:05 PM »
I'd highlight one thing here... If you're on one side of an argument about facts and science... And on the other side are me, @utee94 , and @Cincydawg -- maybe you should really think about what you're arguing. 

 

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