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Topic: The Death of College Football - Realignment, NIL, Portal, Etc.

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OrangeAfroMan

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Re: The Death of College Football - Realignment, NIL, Portal, Etc.
« Reply #1372 on: April 27, 2024, 10:14:54 PM »
Assuming ultimate greed by the B1G and SEC, which programs do they swallow up solely due to their adding value?
ND
UNC?
FSU?
Pitt?
Is it closer to 5-6 schools or 15-20? 
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ELA

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Re: The Death of College Football - Realignment, NIL, Portal, Etc.
« Reply #1373 on: April 27, 2024, 11:14:59 PM »
Pitt doesnt move the needle. 

I thonk the number is low, if not non existent.  I think thats why FSU and Clemson are trying to rush things.  If they dont get in soon, they may find the door closed
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OrangeAfroMan

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Re: The Death of College Football - Realignment, NIL, Portal, Etc.
« Reply #1374 on: April 27, 2024, 11:43:33 PM »
Even if they are stuck until 2036, you don't believe they'd be welcomed in by the B1G and/or SEC in 2037? 
I can't see them being left out.  The rural south has a lot of eyeballs pointed at college football.
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ELA

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Re: The Death of College Football - Realignment, NIL, Portal, Etc.
« Reply #1375 on: April 28, 2024, 12:11:46 AM »
Enough to be worth splitting the pie an additional way? 

And now?  Maybe.  If they spend the next decade playing in a second tier league where 13-0 is treated the same as if an MWC team did it?  A lot of those folks without FSU diplomas may start drifting away, like mid major fan bases struggle with. 
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betarhoalphadelta

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Re: The Death of College Football - Realignment, NIL, Portal, Etc.
« Reply #1376 on: April 28, 2024, 01:24:58 AM »
Quote from: OrangeAfroMan on April 27, 2024, 11:43:33 PM
Even if they are stuck until 2036, you don't believe they'd be welcomed in by the B1G and/or SEC in 2037? 
I can't see them being left out.  The rural south has a lot of eyeballs pointed at college football.
12 years is a long time. Especially in a completely unconstrained arms race where the rich win, get more fans, continue to outspend the non rich, win more, get more fans, continue to outspend, etc etc. Positive feedback loop. While FSU/Clem spend a decade falling into obscurity because they're in the "wrong league". 

I'm not saying that will happen. I'm just saying that's how it will look if it does. 
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Cincydawg

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Re: The Death of College Football - Realignment, NIL, Portal, Etc.
« Reply #1377 on: April 28, 2024, 06:12:52 AM »
Overall I’d say UNC and UVA are the real prizes. 
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FearlessF

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Re: The Death of College Football - Realignment, NIL, Portal, Etc.
« Reply #1378 on: April 28, 2024, 07:31:35 AM »
Quote from: OrangeAfroMan on April 27, 2024, 10:14:54 PM
Assuming ultimate greed by the B1G and SEC, which programs do they swallow up solely due to their adding value?
ND
UNC?
FSU?
Pitt?
Is it closer to 5-6 schools or 15-20? 
closer to 5
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847badgerfan

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Re: The Death of College Football - Realignment, NIL, Portal, Etc.
« Reply #1379 on: April 28, 2024, 08:35:39 AM »
The prizes in my mind are ND, FSU, Miami, GT, UNC and UVA.

Get into Florida and Georgia for recruiting and exposure, and UNC and UVA also add fertile recruiting grounds plus academic prestige.

All but FSU are AAU.
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Cincydawg

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Re: The Death of College Football - Realignment, NIL, Portal, Etc.
« Reply #1380 on: April 28, 2024, 08:46:01 AM »
Tech in my mind is a very weak program. 
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847badgerfan

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Re: The Death of College Football - Realignment, NIL, Portal, Etc.
« Reply #1381 on: April 28, 2024, 09:19:39 AM »
Location, location, location.
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Brutus Buckeye

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Re: The Death of College Football - Realignment, NIL, Portal, Etc.
« Reply #1382 on: April 28, 2024, 10:05:41 AM »
Quote from: betarhoalphadelta on April 28, 2024, 01:24:58 AM
12 years is a long time. Especially in a completely unconstrained arms race where the rich win, get more fans, continue to outspend the non rich, win more, get more fans, continue to outspend, etc etc. Positive feedback loop. While FSU/Clem spend a decade falling into obscurity because they're in the "wrong league".

I'm not saying that will happen. I'm just saying that's how it will look if it does.
Purdue is already in much better shape financially than Florida State is, but Florida St had a much better season. 
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betarhoalphadelta

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Re: The Death of College Football - Realignment, NIL, Portal, Etc.
« Reply #1383 on: April 28, 2024, 10:12:47 AM »
Quote from: Brutus Buckeye on April 28, 2024, 10:05:41 AM
Purdue is already in much better shape financially than Florida State is, but Florida St had a much better season.
Again, not saying it's going to happen. But if it starts to become common knowledge that all the "real" football is played in the B1G and SEC, that will start to be reflected in recruiting / transfer activity. 

Not saying Purdue / Vandy / etc will benefit, but teams like Arkansas / Iowa / USCe / MichSt might. 
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847badgerfan

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Re: The Death of College Football - Realignment, NIL, Portal, Etc.
« Reply #1384 on: April 28, 2024, 10:22:38 AM »
The real question in my mind is what the networks (ABC/NBC/CBS/Fox) will have to say in 2030.

They could come in and dictate what teams get to stay with the big boys, and what teams don't.

I wouldn't discount this idea at all. It could happen. Conferences could dissolve.
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OrangeAfroMan

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Re: The Death of College Football - Realignment, NIL, Portal, Etc.
« Reply #1385 on: April 28, 2024, 11:12:59 AM »
Quote from: Brutus Buckeye on April 28, 2024, 10:05:41 AM
Purdue is already in much better shape financially than Florida State is, but Florida St had a much better season.
And a much better forever.
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“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier
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