Meyer was, Saban wasn't.
Meyer took a 2-9 Bowling Green team to 8-3 his first year.
Then he took 5-6 Utah to 10-2, then 12-0. The Utes had finished a season ranked ONCE EVER before Meyer. They were an anonymous WAC program*. He took them to the top 5.
He's exactly who I wanted and we got him.
Saban was different because he didn't immediately improve MSU. It took him 4-5 years to get them to peak in the top 10. Idk what MSU was thinking, hiring a guy who was HC at Toledo for 1 season, but there, he took the 5-6 Rockets to 9-2 right away.
*Yes, they were in the MWC in 2003-4, but you wouldn't have been able to correct me back then.
So I slightly disagree with this. Meyer was a very good coaching candidate, but he had two areas where he was a bit of a gamble.
1. At that point, no team close to that level had deployed that sort of offense. Yes, Oklahoma had done some early Air Raid stuff and FSU's basketball on grass had existed, but the Meyer spread option was considered still maybe a mid-major gimmick.
It had a bit of that "this might not work against the big boys" vibe. We know now that was silly and usually is, but it was out there.
2. He'd never actually had a semi-full recruiting cycle with a kid and coached that kid as a sophomore. He'd never coached a kid he signed as a junior. Yes, he'd turned around jobs, and Jim Harbaugh and Brady Hoke were .750 coaches in Year 1 and 2. We didn't really know what a long-term Meyer program even looked like. Shoot, Darrell Hazell's turnaround at Kent was WORLDS more impressive than the boost Urban gave BG (and debatably Utah), and he was so bad.
So there were some worries, but beyond those stints, the coaching world knew Urban's soft skills were off the charts. And it worked out. Saban was amazing because he created a structural change for LSU as a program, and his MSU tenure couldn't have predicted that.
(As for the anonymous WAC/MWC program thing, all but 2-3 are anonymous when you distain mid-major football, which as been your approach. Urbs, replaced a coach that got Utah a top-10 finish in the AP poll. He inherited a mid-major with a rare level of stability and solid success and a future NFL QB and put it into overdrive, which is a valuable skill, but he didn’t just discover some outpost. His BG tenure was interesting and slightly overrated in a way, but that’s another story I can share if you’d like.)