header pic

Perhaps the BEST B1G Forum anywhere, here at College Football Fan Site, CFB51!!!

The 'Old' CFN/Scout Crowd- Enjoy Civil discussion, game analytics, in depth player and coaching 'takes' and discussing topics surrounding the game. You can even have your own free board, all you have to do is ask!!!

Anyone is welcomed and encouraged to join our FREE site and to take part in our community- a community with you- the user, the fan, -and the person- will be protected from intrusive actions and with a clean place to interact.


Author

Topic: Top 25

 (Read 32057 times)

medinabuckeye1

  • Legend
  • ****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 8906
  • Liked:
Re: Top 25
« Reply #336 on: November 13, 2019, 02:48:42 PM »
Have I EVER said that their first three games were impressive? 
You may not have said that they were impressive but just a few posts back you were trying to argue that those first three were decent opponents.  Vis-a-vis #20 or #15 they might be reasonably decent but vis-a-vis a top-10 team, they aren't. 
And comparing wins by point spreads....especially when it gets to multiple touchdowns is a silly activity.  I mean....Fleck doesn't on-sides kick against a far inferior opponents that they are already beating by two touchdowns in the first quarter.
To an extent I agree.  I'd be willing to give Minnesota a pass on "only" beating Maryland by 42 compared to Ohio State and Penn State beating them by 59.  However, I disagree with the exact wording that you used.  You said it was silly especially when it gets to multiple touchdowns.  There is a major difference between beating a team by 14 and beating a team by 59.  A game decided by 14 was generally a pretty competitive game.  A game decided by 59 was generally a beatdown. 

I agree to the extent that comparing sizes of beatdowns generally doesn't provide much useful information.  When comparing beatdowns I generally think that looking at time rather than points is better.  Ie, at what point was the game effectively over and Minnesota gets credit for completely controlling the Maryland game.  They led 28-0 before halftime and after that it never got closer than 25 points, that is a beatdown. 
And when Minnesota puts in their second string....it's not a bunch of four and five star backups.
Ah, that is a part of the point.  In this game how good your backups are frequently matters.  Injuries happen.  Targeting ejections happen.  Suspensions happen.  Injuries accrue over the course of the season so they tend to be a bigger issue at year end than at the beginning of the year.  The fact that Minnesota doesn't have a bunch of four and five star backups isn't an argument in favor of a high ranking for them. 
Comparing win spreads against the bottom of the league is a fools errand.  Box score analysts like you make laugh.  For a second....you almost tricked me into thinking that you actually WATCHED all those games!
Neither I nor anyone else has watched every CFB game played this year.  Thus, at some point we can't just use "eye test", we have to go by stats from what we missed.  I don't need to watch films of Minnesota's first four games to know that those are not anywhere close to top-10 level performances.  
  • Top-10 teams don't need a late fourth quarter TD and two point conversion to beat FCS teams by a TD (SoDak St).  
  • Top-10 teams don't need a late TD to get to OT against middling MWC teams (Fresno).  
  • Top-10 teams don't need a TD in the last seconds to beat middling Sun Belt teams (GaSo).  
  • Top-10 teams don't wait until the third quarter to put away bad B1G opponents then let them back in the game by allowing them two fourth quarter TD's (Purdue). 

Any one of those things could happen to any top-10 team.  Nobody plays their best game every time out.  Once in a while Georgia loses to USCe (this year) or Ohio State loses to Purdue (last year) but when you have four games that are clearly WAY below what is expected out of a top-10 team then you probably aren't a top-10 team.  Maybe Minnesota has improved so much that they are now and they'll get a chance to prove that with upcoming games against #20 Iowa, #14 Wisconsin, and (potentially) a highly ranked B1GCG opponent but they haven't done enough to erase those four VERY weak performances.  One one-score home win over a highly ranked opponent isn't enough in part because like I just said, "nobody plays their best game every time out."  That applies to Minnesota but it also applies to their opponents.  Maybe Minnesota is a legitimate top-10 team and they just had four really bad games to start the season.  Alternatively, maybe they aren't and Penn State just had a really bad game their last time out.  I don't know yet and you don't know yet either. 
« Last Edit: November 13, 2019, 03:24:50 PM by medinabuckeye1 »

MrNubbz

  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 17160
  • Liked:
Re: Top 25
« Reply #337 on: November 13, 2019, 02:52:40 PM »
Now you see my point??? :)
Still waiting on that Live Oak Pils :party0036: title=party0036
Suburbia:Where they tear out the trees & then name streets after them.

Benthere2

  • Player
  • ****
  • Posts: 754
  • Liked:
Re: Top 25
« Reply #338 on: November 13, 2019, 03:56:33 PM »
boy the nice thing is people are talking about Gopher football
the bad thing is its funny how some people cant believe what they are seeing 


  • Top-10 teams don't need a late fourth quarter TD and two point conversion to beat FCS teams by a TD (SoDak St).  
  • Top-10 teams don't need a late TD to get to OT against middling MWC teams (Fresno).  
  • Top-10 teams don't need a TD in the last seconds to beat middling Sun Belt teams (GaSo).  
  • Top-10 teams don't wait until the third quarter to put away bad B1G opponents then let them back in the game by allowing them two fourth quarter TD's (Purdue). 


Apparently the College football Championship committee thinks that a top 10 team does these things you just described

and who knows if the Gophers go on to win games 
you can add a Big Ten West champion does too

crawl before you walk, walk before you run.  progression is the key 

if the first 9 games were turned around and played in reverse I would bet the farm the Gophers would demolish teams like Fresno and SDSU but also got drilled by PSU and maybe a couple of other teams. but they are not played that way and what matters is how they play against Iowa

it is fun to have a team that is relevant.  holding 3 of 5 trophies is an awesome feeling   






FearlessF

  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 37556
  • Liked:
Re: Top 25
« Reply #339 on: November 13, 2019, 04:12:03 PM »
Ed Zachery!
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

Cincydawg

  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 71584
  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Liked:
Re: Top 25
« Reply #340 on: November 13, 2019, 04:39:08 PM »
Luke Fickell!,,!

FearlessF

  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 37556
  • Liked:
Re: Top 25
« Reply #341 on: November 13, 2019, 04:46:52 PM »
Still waiting on that Live Oak Pils :party0036: title=party0036
gotta get boots on the ground in Texas
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

RestingB!tchFace

  • Guest
Re: Top 25
« Reply #342 on: November 13, 2019, 05:04:33 PM »
You may not have said that they were impressive but just a few posts back you were trying to argue that those first three were decent opponents.  Vis-a-vis #20 or #15 they might be reasonably decent but vis-a-vis a top-10 team, they aren't.  To an extent I agree.  I'd be willing to give Minnesota a pass on "only" beating Maryland by 42 compared to Ohio State and Penn State beating them by 59.  However, I disagree with the exact wording that you used.  You said it was silly especially when it gets to multiple touchdowns.  There is a major difference between beating a team by 14 and beating a team by 59.  A game decided by 14 was generally a pretty competitive game.  A game decided by 59 was generally a beatdown. 

I agree to the extent that comparing sizes of beatdowns generally doesn't provide much useful information.  When comparing beatdowns I generally think that looking at time rather than points is better.  Ie, at what point was the game effectively over and Minnesota gets credit for completely controlling the Maryland game.  They led 28-0 before halftime and after that it never got closer than 25 points, that is a beatdown.  Ah, that is a part of the point.  In this game how good your backups are frequently matters.  Injuries happen.  Targeting ejections happen.  Suspensions happen.  Injuries accrue over the course of the season so they tend to be a bigger issue at year end than at the beginning of the year.  The fact that Minnesota doesn't have a bunch of four and five star backups isn't an argument in favor of a high ranking for them.  Neither I nor anyone else has watched every CFB game played this year.  Thus, at some point we can't just use "eye test", we have to go by stats from what we missed.  I don't need to watch films of Minnesota's first four games to know that those are not anywhere close to top-10 level performances. 
  • Top-10 teams don't need a late fourth quarter TD and two point conversion to beat FCS teams by a TD (SoDak St). 
  • Top-10 teams don't need a late TD to get to OT against middling MWC teams (Fresno). 
  • Top-10 teams don't need a TD in the last seconds to beat middling Sun Belt teams (GaSo). 
  • Top-10 teams don't wait until the third quarter to put away bad B1G opponents then let them back in the game by allowing them two fourth quarter TD's (Purdue). 

Any one of those things could happen to any top-10 team.  Nobody plays their best game every time out.  Once in a while Georgia loses to USCe (this year) or Ohio State loses to Purdue (last year) but when you have four games that are clearly WAY below what is expected out of a top-10 team then you probably aren't a top-10 team.  Maybe Minnesota has improved so much that they are now and they'll get a chance to prove that with upcoming games against #20 Iowa, #14 Wisconsin, and (potentially) a highly ranked B1GCG opponent but they haven't done enough to erase those four VERY weak performances.  One one-score home win over a highly ranked opponent isn't enough in part because like I just said, "nobody plays their best game every time out."  That applies to Minnesota but it also applies to their opponents.  Maybe Minnesota is a legitimate top-10 team and they just had four really bad games to start the season.  Alternatively, maybe they aren't and Penn State just had a really bad game their last time out.  I don't know yet and you don't know yet either.

I don't think the opponents are as bad as you make them out to be...but I in no way said that they were good or said that they were impressive wins.  Every Gopher fan was extremely worried after those three games.  And again...when trying to knock Minnesota down a notch....you are forced to go back to the first few games of the season.  Can't seem to bring yourself to admit that teams can come out the gate slow.  Hell....Northwestern started last season 1-3 with losses including Duke and Akron.  They won the West.

The four games prior to PSU....168-41 scoring margin.  And then the win over the #4 team.  I love the excuses from before the PSU game.  The Gophers haven't played anyone.  Now it's...well it was just one game and Penn State was off.  Maybe it was another box score game for you?  Certainly funny then....that you're able to excuse away the loss by PSU to the not so good Gophers or the even worse loss by Wisconsin to Illinois.

And you can stop speculating whether Minnesota is a top ten team.  They are.  At least for this week.  A 9-0 record and a win over the #4 team in the nation that you probably didn't think was possible shows that they deserve it.

MrNubbz

  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 17160
  • Liked:
Re: Top 25
« Reply #343 on: November 13, 2019, 05:07:49 PM »
gotta get boots on the ground in Texas
Send it thru the Pony Express,course it'd be shaken up pretty good
Suburbia:Where they tear out the trees & then name streets after them.

utee94

  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 17702
  • Liked:
Re: Top 25
« Reply #344 on: November 13, 2019, 05:45:10 PM »
gotta get boots on the ground in Texas
Send it thru the Pony Express,course it'd be shaken up pretty good
You're gonna have to get down here on your own.  Once you do, I can supply the Live Oak Pilz, or Hefeweizen, or Vienna-style lager, or Oktoberfest, or Weizenbock, or smoked Polish Grodziskie, or....

MrNubbz

  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 17160
  • Liked:
Re: Top 25
« Reply #345 on: November 13, 2019, 05:51:08 PM »
As long as it isn't over that unbearable 80 degree mark,then I'd have to reach for the Tito's on ice
Suburbia:Where they tear out the trees & then name streets after them.

utee94

  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 17702
  • Liked:
Re: Top 25
« Reply #346 on: November 13, 2019, 05:54:34 PM »
It gets below 80 for a solid 8-12 days each year.  You'd love it!

Kidding of course, we've had freezes overnight the past 2 nights and today at my house it never got above about 43.

bayareabadger

  • Legend
  • ****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 7867
  • Liked:
Re: Top 25
« Reply #347 on: November 13, 2019, 06:05:57 PM »
I don't think the opponents are as bad as you make them out to be...but I in no way said that they were good or said that they were impressive wins.  Every Gopher fan was extremely worried after those three games.  And again...when trying to knock Minnesota down a notch....you are forced to go back to the first few games of the season.  Can't seem to bring yourself to admit that teams can come out the gate slow.  Hell....Northwestern started last season 1-3 with losses including Duke and Akron.  They won the West.


Per SP+, they're No. 83 (4.7 points below average), No. 66 (half point below average) and a good FCS.

It strikes me that everyone is basically right. In one light, Minnesota could be a top-5 team. In another, they're not. And there isn't much that makes one side right or wrong. 

(Also, NW last year was not all that good a team and seems a pretty poor comparison to make)

MrNubbz

  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 17160
  • Liked:
Re: Top 25
« Reply #348 on: November 13, 2019, 06:07:38 PM »
It gets below 80 for a solid 8-12 days each year.  You'd love it!

Kidding of course, we've had freezes overnight the past 2 nights and today at my house it never got above about 43.
Got down into the low 20's for the 1st time the last two nights.And of course the furnace quits.Good thing it was only a reset  switch....so far.Failed to light then auto kicks out.Also have a fire place and heat pump and some George Dickel 12.And the Buckeyes warming up to curb stomp M & PSU after the exhibition with a New Jersey High School Squad.Hell maybe the Browns can shake the bogies vs the Squeelers
Suburbia:Where they tear out the trees & then name streets after them.

OrangeAfroMan

  • Stats Porn
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 18874
  • Liked:
Re: Top 25
« Reply #349 on: November 13, 2019, 06:22:39 PM »
You're right he trolls in a different direction - at others
Sorry I don't just go along with old, lazy opinions with zero support.  I'll just respond to your posts with a, "yeah, I guess".  You're obviously not a fan of actual conversation, challenge, or dialogue.  


“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

 

Support the Site!
Purchase of every item listed here DIRECTLY supports the site.