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Topic: Top 25

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847badgerfan

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Re: Top 25
« Reply #70 on: November 10, 2019, 08:37:28 PM »
1. University of Ohio State
2. University of Looz Aza Baton Reauxe
3. Bammer
4. University of East Dakota, Twin Cities
5. State Penn
6. George A
7. Clempsup
8. Wesconson
9. University of Awe Barn
10. University of Dirt Burglars

U RAH RAH! WIS CON SIN!

RestingB!tchFace

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Re: Top 25
« Reply #71 on: November 10, 2019, 10:22:27 PM »
Lol.  Please feel free to post yours.
1. LSU
2. Ohio St
3. Minnesota
4. Clemson
5. Baylor
6. Georgia
7. Oregon
8. Alabama
9. Penn State

Etc..../who cares.

Top end should be about teams that have proved it on the field.  You're clearly still valuing helmet teams.  I.E.....Minnesota can't be good.....#15 seems right.

RestingB!tchFace

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Re: Top 25
« Reply #72 on: November 10, 2019, 10:36:45 PM »
It's funny....now people aren't talking about Minnesota's lack of quality wins.  Because the win over #4 Penn State is a better win than almost any team can talk about.  Now a bunch of dummies are talking about other teams "good" losses?  Like Minnesota has lost to enough good teams?  Should they be like Alabama?  Best win over a 6-4 team and a loss to a good team?

Let's keep pimping Oregon, Utah, and Oklahoma.  They got preseason hype so they are better despite their play on the field.  Oh....and despite the fact that they've played pretty weak schedules and that the PAC-12 sucks out loud.  And the Big-12 is not that good either.

Kris60

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Re: Top 25
« Reply #73 on: November 10, 2019, 10:44:18 PM »
1. LSU
2. Ohio St
3. Minnesota
4. Clemson
5. Baylor
6. Georgia
7. Oregon
8. Alabama
9. Penn State

Etc..../who cares.

Top end should be about teams that have proved it on the field.  You're clearly still valuing helmet teams.  I.E.....Minnesota can't be good.....#15 seems right.

You missed my real top 25 where I ranked teams based mostly on resume.  The top 10 of that one was:

1. LSU
2. Ohio St
3. Minnesota
4. Baylor
5. UGA
6. Oregon
7. Clemson
8. Penn St
9. Utah
10. Bama

The one that you criticized was the one where I was saying if I just went on what I think without being worried actual results then this is how I would rank them.  I’m definitely more of a resume ranker than a “here’s what I think” ranker.

I’d encourage you to do a full top 25.  People do the top 10 and then quit because it gets hard.  They usually do what you do and just say something like:

11-25 “Who cares” or “Whatever” or “Doesn’t matter.”  It’s kind of a cop out.  Yeah, it’s hard.  That’s kind of the point.

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: Top 25
« Reply #74 on: November 11, 2019, 12:29:13 AM »
We don't need to pretend Minnesota is some sort of juggernaut, either.  They started the year with 4 one-score victories vs FCS South Dakota St, Fresno St (in 2 OT), GA Southern, and Purdue.
That's why they were 17th.  There was a reason.  And no, one win vs a highly-ranked team doesn't undo all of that, nor should it.  Passing your first real obstacle is a big plus, but it was just one obstacle.



The good thing about all of this is that Minnesota will get to earn their way in.  Games remaining vs Iowa, Wisconsin, and potentially Ohio St will provide the evidence of how good the Gophers actually are.



“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: Top 25
« Reply #75 on: November 11, 2019, 12:31:34 AM »


I’d encourage you to do a full top 25.  People do the top 10 and then quit because it gets hard.  They usually do what you do and just say something like:

11-25 “Who cares” or “Whatever” or “Doesn’t matter.”  It’s kind of a cop out.  Yeah, it’s hard.  That’s kind of the point.

You're right, but....once you get down in the rankings, it really doesn't matter.  Both things are true.


I ranked the top 16 because I saw a natural gap there.  And because it's easier to manipulate a 4x4 in your head than a 5x5.
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: Top 25
« Reply #76 on: November 11, 2019, 12:32:30 AM »
Badge, you must really be going by eye test, because LSU and OSU's resumes are verrrrrry different.
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

Cincydawg

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Re: Top 25
« Reply #77 on: November 11, 2019, 05:30:59 AM »
I think it worth noting when a team blows out everyone on their schedule even if the opponents range from so-so to bad.

847badgerfan

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Re: Top 25
« Reply #78 on: November 11, 2019, 07:34:15 AM »
I think it worth noting when a team blows out everyone on their schedule even if the opponents range from so-so to bad.
Yep.
U RAH RAH! WIS CON SIN!

Cincydawg

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Re: Top 25
« Reply #79 on: November 11, 2019, 07:41:20 AM »
I'm fairly sure Minnesota and Baylor would be significant underdogs to any other team ranked in the top ten today, neutral site.

That is at least one way to rank teams, who would be favored against anyone below them.

Cincydawg

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Re: Top 25
« Reply #80 on: November 11, 2019, 08:06:12 AM »
Minnesota is a great story, I think, but doubts about their proficiency are merited IMHO.  I'm pulling for them all the way, but I believe they will get beat this weekend.  Still a great story and season.  I hope I'm wrong.

Cincydawg

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Re: Top 25
« Reply #81 on: November 11, 2019, 08:09:12 AM »
1. LSU
2. Ohio St
3. Minnesota
4. Clemson
5. Baylor
6. Georgia
7. Oregon
8. Alabama
9. Penn State

Etc..../who cares.

Top end should be about teams that have proved it on the field.  You're clearly still valuing helmet teams.  I.E.....Minnesota can't be good.....#15 seems right.

This seems like lining up teams by number of losses and then adjusting internally a bit.  Why is LSU ranked higher than Baylor?  What is your reasoning?

That same reasoning could also be used to rank undefeated teams below one loss teams.  Alabama lost in a close game at home against your #1 team while Georgia at home (2 OTs) to a pretty mediocre team and yet you have Bama below UGA.  I realize UGA has a couple nice wins.  Penn State lost close on the road to your #3 team and you have them down at 9.  Why is that?

Kris60

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Re: Top 25
« Reply #82 on: November 11, 2019, 08:32:33 AM »
You're right, but....once you get down in the rankings, it really doesn't matter.  Both things are true.


I ranked the top 16 because I saw a natural gap there.  And because it's easier to manipulate a 4x4 in your head than a 5x5.
I don’t think that’s true though. One of the things the CFP looks at is ranked wins. If you aren’t doing a complete top 25 then you aren’t really replicating what the committee is doing.  Now, maybe you aren’t trying to do that anyway but I am.  One of the reasons I have Baylor  higher than Clemson is I have Baylor with two top 25 wins and Clemson with none. And one of the reasons I have teams like K St and Ok St in the top 25 and not Texas A&M is because I’m taking time to look at their resumes too and not just cutting it off at the top 10.

I think it matters.

bayareabadger

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Re: Top 25
« Reply #83 on: November 11, 2019, 08:49:33 AM »
I don’t think that’s true though. One of the things the CFP looks at is ranked wins. If you aren’t doing a complete top 25 then you aren’t really replicating what the committee is doing.  Now, maybe you aren’t trying to do that anyway but I am.  One of the reasons I have Baylor  higher than Clemson is I have Baylor with two top 25 wins and Clemson with none. And one of the reasons I have teams like K St and Ok St in the top 25 and not Texas A&M is because I’m taking time to look at their resumes too and not just cutting it off at the top 10.

I think it matters.
I wish they would use some kind of numerical metric for ranked wins.

Like, why should I rely on the same blend of resume and a test to determine opponents quality when I could just use numbers that are predictive and forward-looking and would probably indicate the quality of opponent? Those predictive numbers recognize strength, which is what we’re really looking for in the first place.

The main downside is we are particularly bad in using rankings rather than whatever strength comes behind those rankings. The number 25 and 30 teams might be basically the same in terms of quality, but we tend to treat them very differently.

 

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