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Topic: The 2021 CFB Season

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FearlessF

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Re: The 2021 CFB Season
« Reply #238 on: June 03, 2021, 10:44:35 AM »
Breece Hall's backup was NFL material according to some that should know.
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FearlessF

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Re: The 2021 CFB Season
« Reply #239 on: June 06, 2021, 08:42:30 PM »
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Cincydawg

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Re: The 2021 CFB Season
« Reply #240 on: June 14, 2021, 12:27:28 PM »
Blue-Chip Ratio 2021: The 16 teams who can win a national title (247sports.com)



I think we can safely rule out a few of those prospects.
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FearlessF

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Re: The 2021 CFB Season
« Reply #241 on: June 14, 2021, 12:40:00 PM »
largest conference gap is not surprising.

Clemson 67% - Miami 55%

Ohio St. - Michigan is about the same.
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Cincydawg

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Re: The 2021 CFB Season
« Reply #242 on: June 14, 2021, 12:59:59 PM »
Signed is not the same as "have on the roster" of course.
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FearlessF

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Re: The 2021 CFB Season
« Reply #243 on: June 24, 2021, 08:53:26 PM »
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ELA

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Re: The 2021 CFB Season
« Reply #244 on: June 24, 2021, 09:08:36 PM »
Quote from: FearlessF on June 24, 2021, 08:53:26 PM
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That November is tough, but I like how Nebraska's schedule sets up before that.  I could certainly see 8-1 through October
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FearlessF

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Re: The 2021 CFB Season
« Reply #245 on: June 24, 2021, 09:23:03 PM »
agreed, I can envision 8 wins and a bowl

I'd consider that a success

not saying I'm confident it will happen, but..............

I think Martinez moves up a couple tiers.

See below....
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FearlessF

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Re: The 2021 CFB Season
« Reply #246 on: June 24, 2021, 09:25:48 PM »
let's take a look at CBSSports’ tier-rankings of quarterbacks entering the 2021 season:

TIER I
Sam Howell, North Carolina
Spencer Rattler, Oklahoma
Dillon Gabriel, UCF
Grayson McCall, Coastal Carolina
JT Daniels, Georgia


TIER II
D'Eriq King, Miami
Desmond Ridder, Cincinnati
Jayden Daniels, Arizona State
Matt Corral, Ole Miss
Malik Willis, Liberty
Brock Purdy, Iowa State
Kedon Slovis, USC
Spencer Sanders, Oklahoma State
Dustin Crum, Kent State
Carson Strong, Nevada


TIER III
Michael Penix Jr., Indiana
Tanner Morgan, Minnesota
Charlie Brewer, Utah
Anthony Brown, Oregon
Phil Jurkovec, Boston College
Drew Plitt, Ball State
Malik Cunningham, Louisville
Dorian Thompson-Robinson, UCLA
Jack Coan, Notre Dame
Max Duggan, TCU
Levi Lewis, Louisiana
Jarret Doege, West Virginia
Hank Bachmeier, Boise State
Jake Haener, Fresno State
Layne Hatcher, Arkansas State


TIER IV
D.J. Uiagalelei, Clemson
Bryce Young, Alabama
McKenzie Milton, Florida State
Emory Jones, Florida
Kaleb Eleby, Western Michigan
Tyler Shough, Texas Tech
Brennan Armstrong, Virginia
Graham Mertz, Wisconsin
Connor Bazelak, Missouri
Taulia Tagovailoa, Maryland
Bailey Zappe, Western Kentucky


TIER V
Bo Nix, Auburn
Grant Wells, Marshall
Sean Clifford, Penn State
Adrian Martinez, Nebraska
Jake Bentley, South Alabama
Ryan Hilinski, Northwestern
N'Kosi Perry FAU
Chase Brice, Appalachian State
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medinabuckeye1

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Re: The 2021 CFB Season
« Reply #247 on: June 24, 2021, 10:25:52 PM »
Quote from: Cincydawg on June 14, 2021, 12:27:28 PM
Blue-Chip Ratio 2021: The 16 teams who can win a national title (247sports.com)


I think we can safely rule out a few of those prospects.
I wouldn't positively rule out any of those.  Obviously the teams near the bottom are a LOT less likely but, IMHO even USC/Miami/ND have enough baseline talent that they *COULD* have a "magical" year in which everything comes together just right and they win an NC.  

The thing that REALLY stuck out to me was the gaps.  As I see it:
Tier 1:
  • 84% Bama
  • 80% Georgia
  • 79% tOSU
The rosters for these three are four-fifths blue chips.  They should be pretty much expected to either make the playoff or at least be right in the mix.  

Tier 2:
  • 67% Clemson
  • 66% LSU
  • 66% Oklahoma
  • 66% Texas
  • 66% Florida
These five aren't quite at the level of Bama/UGA/tOSU but they aren't very far behind.  Any of them could hit the right combination of things coming together and beat out the top-3.  

Tier 3:
  • 61% aTm
  • 58% Michigan
  • 56% Auburn
  • 56% Oregon
  • 56% Penn State
  • 55% Notre Dame
  • 55% Miami
  • 53% USC

These eight are a little further back.  It would take a very unlikely combination of events for them to be ready to beat Bama/UGA/tOSU but they aren't so far back that it is truly impossible.  It *COULD* happen for any of them.  
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OrangeAfroMan

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Re: The 2021 CFB Season
« Reply #248 on: June 25, 2021, 12:47:42 AM »
Quote from: Cincydawg on June 14, 2021, 12:27:28 PM
Blue-Chip Ratio 2021: The 16 teams who can win a national title (247sports.com)



I think we can safely rule out a few of those prospects.
Been saying this for years.  I just didn't have a pretty graphic.
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Cincydawg

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Re: The 2021 CFB Season
« Reply #249 on: June 25, 2021, 07:55:34 AM »
I see four factors in all of this:

1.  recruiting
2.  game day coaching
3.  schedule
4.  chance.

Usually, an NC team will have had 2-3 games that easily could have slid off the cracker.
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betarhoalphadelta

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Re: The 2021 CFB Season
« Reply #250 on: June 25, 2021, 08:30:14 AM »
Quote from: FearlessF on June 24, 2021, 08:53:26 PM
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I'd make a joke about Indiana's schedule being this hard because they don't get to play Indiana...

...but then I see where Purdue is on the list...
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Cincydawg

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Re: The 2021 CFB Season
« Reply #251 on: June 25, 2021, 09:42:46 AM »
Hardest schedules of course hinge on accurate rankings of teams, which we have only partially.

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