header pic

Perhaps the BEST B1G Forum anywhere, here at College Football Fan Site, CFB51!!!

The 'Old' CFN/Scout Crowd- Enjoy Civil discussion, game analytics, in depth player and coaching 'takes' and discussing topics surrounding the game. You can even have your own free board, all you have to do is ask!!!

Anyone is welcomed and encouraged to join our FREE site and to take part in our community- a community with you- the user, the fan, -and the person- will be protected from intrusive actions and with a clean place to interact.


« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 1242 1243 [1244] 1245 1246 ... 1378   Go Down
Author

Topic: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas

 (Read 770860 times)

betarhoalphadelta

  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 12221
  • Liked:
Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #17402 on: February 16, 2022, 10:35:17 AM »
Quote from: Cincydawg on February 16, 2022, 05:24:21 AM
So, Omicron is abating, great, but how soon will another variant hit?  O-micron is small, O-mega is large.
IMHO this is the end of the pandemic. Between vaccine coverage, massive Omicron case numbers (went from 50M to 80M confirmed cases in this wave), significant asymptomatic or untested case numbers, we're done. 

Where this thing kept going after the vaccines was due to Delta mutating to be significantly easier to spread than the original and Alpha variants, and then Omicron came on and overwhelmed all vaccine-derived or natural immunity because it was significantly easier to spread than Delta. I've seen estimates that the original and Alpha had R0 around 2-3, Delta was 5-7, and Omicron 10 or higher. 

Omicron became super-transmissible by the same process which made it mild--residing in the upper airways rather than deep in the lungs. I don't see how another variant would suddenly become MORE transmissible than that. 

This thing fades from here. That's my prediction, and as you all know, I've been right about everything so far :72:
Logged

Cincydawg

  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 71625
  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Liked:
Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #17403 on: February 16, 2022, 10:55:05 AM »
Weekly U.S. Influenza Surveillance Report | CDC

Flu season has been low, once again.
Logged

Cincydawg

  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 71625
  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Liked:
Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #17404 on: February 16, 2022, 10:56:53 AM »
Logged

847badgerfan

  • Administrator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 25280
  • Liked:
Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #17405 on: February 16, 2022, 11:07:03 AM »
Quote from: betarhoalphadelta on February 16, 2022, 10:35:17 AM
IMHO this is the end of the pandemic. Between vaccine coverage, massive Omicron case numbers (went from 50M to 80M confirmed cases in this wave), significant asymptomatic or untested case numbers, we're done.

Where this thing kept going after the vaccines was due to Delta mutating to be significantly easier to spread than the original and Alpha variants, and then Omicron came on and overwhelmed all vaccine-derived or natural immunity because it was significantly easier to spread than Delta. I've seen estimates that the original and Alpha had R0 around 2-3, Delta was 5-7, and Omicron 10 or higher.

Omicron became super-transmissible by the same process which made it mild--residing in the upper airways rather than deep in the lungs. I don't see how another variant would suddenly become MORE transmissible than that.

This thing fades from here. That's my prediction, and as you all know, I've been right about everything so far :72:
Not really.
Logged
U RAH RAH! WIS CON SIN!

utee94

  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 17718
  • Liked:
Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #17406 on: February 16, 2022, 11:53:33 AM »
You gonna let that defiance just stand, Bwar???

:)
Logged

847badgerfan

  • Administrator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 25280
  • Liked:
Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #17407 on: February 16, 2022, 12:27:27 PM »
Quote from: utee94 on February 16, 2022, 11:53:33 AM
You gonna let that defiance just stand, Bwar???

:)

Don't make me start digging back to spring of 2020.

You too!!


Everyone has had it.

TWICE!!

<<mockery of me>>


Idgits.
Logged
U RAH RAH! WIS CON SIN!

betarhoalphadelta

  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 12221
  • Liked:
Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #17408 on: February 16, 2022, 12:30:00 PM »
Quote from: 847badgerfan on February 16, 2022, 11:07:03 AM
Not really.
Quote from: utee94 on February 16, 2022, 11:53:33 AM
You gonna let that defiance just stand, Bwar???

:)

Well, clearly that assertion that I'm always right was meant to be tongue in cheek...

I'd venture if someone combed through all 1244 pages of this thread, however, my "rightness of prediction" number would be quite high.

What's funny about it is that so many of my predictions have been the wet blanket on all the Pollyanna assertions from so many in this thread, and the wet blanket position has been pretty damn accurate. Now that I'm turning Pollyanna, people are complaining? :smiley_confused1:
Logged

utee94

  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 17718
  • Liked:
Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #17409 on: February 16, 2022, 12:36:21 PM »
I'm not sure you've been that much of a wet blanket.

We've had at least one COVID Warrior on this thread the entire time-- a true COVIDIAN as the internet might now name the affliction.  THAT is the wet blanket viewpoint.

Between the two extremes-- the COVIDIOTS and the COVIDIANS-- is where at least a few of us have made our residence over the past couple of years.

Logged

longhorn320

  • Legend
  • ****
  • Posts: 9341
  • Liked:
Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #17410 on: February 16, 2022, 01:15:49 PM »
The latest US Stats




Logged
They won't let me give blood anymore. The burnt orange color scares the hell out of the doctors.

betarhoalphadelta

  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 12221
  • Liked:
Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #17411 on: February 16, 2022, 01:26:54 PM »
Quote from: longhorn320 on February 16, 2022, 01:15:49 PM
The latest US Stats





Yep.

Interestingly my prediction of peak daily deaths (measured by 7-day MA) during Omicron would be in the 2600-2800 range. For a while, it was looking like it would come in below that. However, we've discussed that sometimes the data can lag in Worldometers and have to be backfilled based on date of death as later reports come in, those numbers have risen...

Current peak of the 7-day MA is now sitting at 2643... So... I was right, as usual. 
Logged

longhorn320

  • Legend
  • ****
  • Posts: 9341
  • Liked:
Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #17412 on: February 16, 2022, 01:53:10 PM »
there should be no mask mandates for anyone everywhere in the US

but some school boards just cant give up the power
Logged
They won't let me give blood anymore. The burnt orange color scares the hell out of the doctors.

utee94

  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 17718
  • Liked:
Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #17413 on: February 16, 2022, 02:05:26 PM »
We're done with mask mandates in schools in my part of town, they ended sometime before Christmas.

My 14yo daughter voluntarily still wears one all day at school, except in band class.

My 12yo son abandoned the mask after he caught COVID anyway.
Logged

Honestbuckeye

  • Team Captain
  • *******
  • Posts: 5807
  • Liked:
Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #17414 on: February 16, 2022, 02:49:54 PM »
Quote from: utee94 on February 16, 2022, 12:36:21 PM
I'm not sure you've been that much of a wet blanket.

We've had at least one COVID Warrior on this thread the entire time-- a true COVIDIAN as the internet might now name the affliction.  THAT is the wet blanket viewpoint.

Between the two extremes-- the COVIDIOTS and the COVIDIANS-- is where at least a few of us have made our residence over the past couple of years.


I heard if Branch Covidians or something like that.   Another Texas thing. 🥴
Logged
Get your facts first, then you can distort them as you please.
-Mark Twain

utee94

  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 17718
  • Liked:
Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #17415 on: February 16, 2022, 06:50:19 PM »
Texans are weird and dangerous people.  Folks should definitely not move here.

Thank You For Your Support
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 1242 1243 [1244] 1245 1246 ... 1378   Go Up
« previous next »
 
Support the Site!
Purchase of every item listed here DIRECTLY supports the site.
Hidden Safe

Liberty Model RFID Safe Clock
Liberty RFID Safe Wall Clock