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Topic: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas

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longhorn320

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8666 on: September 11, 2020, 08:18:59 PM »
Quote from: Cincydawg on September 11, 2020, 06:35:18 PM
Correlation:

Africa is subject to malaria.

Hydroxychloroquine is a malarial treatmeant/preventative.  (I'm not sure how many Subsaharan Africans have access to it.)

Africa as a continent has fewer cases/deaths than expected.

That is a correlation.  It may NOT be causally related.
maybe not but still interesting
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longhorn320

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8667 on: September 11, 2020, 08:21:25 PM »
Quote from: OrangeAfroMan on September 11, 2020, 08:01:31 PM
I do have a serious question, though.....what's the over/under on teacher deaths before we scrap in-person schooling? 


Hopefully it's less than tens of thousands.  Sure, we're only at 6 or whatever....but remember when we had 15 Covid cases and they were going to soon go away?
Gee I dont know OAM

by the way how do you feel?

any cough or fever?
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FearlessF

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8668 on: September 11, 2020, 09:37:32 PM »
Quote from: OrangeAfroMan on September 11, 2020, 08:01:31 PM
I do have a serious question, though.....what's the over/under on teacher deaths before we scrap in-person schooling? 


Hopefully it's less than tens of thousands.  Sure, we're only at 6 or whatever....but remember when we had 15 Covid cases and they were going to soon go away?
I'm guessing teacher deaths will be over 100.  School districts set the parameters.  I suppose the state or fed could set in and abuse power and do the "right" thing and scrap in-person schooling

what's the over/under on teacher deaths reported as covid that were from other factors?
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FearlessF

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8669 on: September 11, 2020, 09:51:52 PM »
Quote from: bwarbiany on September 10, 2020, 11:13:39 PM
I keep harping on the question of whether it's affecting those who are obese or those who are out of shape...

...because I'm obese, despite carrying only a 38" waist (they say the goal is <40" for health).

I'm not "out" of shape. I can walk/hike miles and miles w/o a problem. But even if I get into better shape, I'll never be "normal" weight, although I might fall out of the obese category.

So I'm also wondering about that particular comorbidity.
All those years of workouts also worked to his advantage.

"Even as strong as I am, I was right there on the edge," he says.

Right there on the edge. You know the one.

"I'm very, very lucky to come out of it," he says.

Lightner didn't have underlying health conditions. Yes, he's a big dude — 6-foot-2 and 300 pounds. But he's always been physically fit.

He admits that before his illness, he didn't take COVID-19 seriously enough. He knows plenty of people who think it's all a government scam. He hopes those people notice his story and maybe put their guards up.

"I hope this will change some minds, even if it's out of respect for other people," he says.

At about noon Thursday, Lightner was getting ready for an afternoon workout. Mind you, his workouts nowadays aren't nearly as intense as his hardcore sessions before his illness. Keep in mind, he's a former collegiate lineman who during the months preceding Nebraska's 1987 season was regarded as the program's strongest-ever player, having recorded a 441-pound bench press and squatting 756 pounds.

https://journalstar.com/sports/huskers/sipple/steven-m-sipple-former-husker-didnt-take-covid-19-very-seriously-until-it-nearly-killed/article_e0b7d2e4-b50e-50bb-b021-8fadef4afbe3.amp.html
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longhorn320

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8670 on: September 11, 2020, 09:59:46 PM »
Quote from: FearlessF on September 11, 2020, 09:37:32 PM
I'm guessing teacher deaths will be over 100.  School districts set the parameters.  I suppose the state or fed could set in and abuse power and do the "right" thing and scrap in-person schooling

what's the over/under on teacher deaths reported as covid that were from other factors?
I dont think it will be near that many

lets hope not
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FearlessF

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8671 on: September 11, 2020, 10:00:45 PM »
less than 50 actually from COVID
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longhorn320

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8672 on: September 11, 2020, 10:07:23 PM »
Quote from: FearlessF on September 11, 2020, 10:00:45 PM
less than 50 actually from COVID
well let me qualify

less then 50 resulting from catching it at school

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OrangeAfroMan

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8673 on: September 11, 2020, 10:21:18 PM »
Quote from: FearlessF on September 11, 2020, 09:37:32 PM
I'm guessing teacher deaths will be over 100.  School districts set the parameters.  I suppose the state or fed could set in and abuse power and do the "right" thing and scrap in-person schooling

what's the over/under on teacher deaths reported as covid that were from other factors?
Thanks for going the political/asshat route.  Seriously?
Okay........fuckkk.........how can I word this so that you focus on the actual issue?????    HOW MANY TEACHER DEATHS ABOVE AVERAGE WILL IT TAKE FOR A MAJORITY OF OUR COUNTRY TO HALT IN-PERSON SCHOOLING?
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OrangeAfroMan

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8674 on: September 11, 2020, 10:22:27 PM »
Quote from: longhorn320 on September 11, 2020, 08:21:25 PM
Gee I dont know OAM

by the way how do you feel?

any cough or fever?
i want everyone to remember this one the next time you suggest I be more civil.
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MrNubbz

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8675 on: September 11, 2020, 10:38:45 PM »
In 2 of your last 3 posts you used the reference to the "F" word - so what kind of civil "F"ing teacher are you?
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longhorn320

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8676 on: September 11, 2020, 10:59:21 PM »
Quote from: OrangeAfroMan on September 11, 2020, 10:21:18 PM
Thanks for going the political/asshat route.  Seriously?
Okay........fuckkk.........how can I word this so that you focus on the actual issue?????    HOW MANY TEACHER DEATHS ABOVE AVERAGE WILL IT TAKE FOR A MAJORITY OF OUR COUNTRY TO HALT IN-PERSON SCHOOLING?
above average?

just how many teacher deaths would be considered average OAM?

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OrangeAfroMan

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8677 on: September 12, 2020, 01:26:27 AM »
Quote from: MrNubbz on September 11, 2020, 10:38:45 PM
In 2 of your last 3 posts you used the reference to the "F" word - so what kind of civil "F"ing teacher are you?

Ohhhh nooo, I used one of the naughty words correctly, to convey an idea!  That somehow makes me uncivil!  


Can you guys age out already?  
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OrangeAfroMan

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8678 on: September 12, 2020, 01:27:08 AM »
Quote from: longhorn320 on September 11, 2020, 10:59:21 PM
above average?

just how many teacher deaths would be considered average OAM?


How should I know, ask Fearless.  He's the one muddying up the waters instead of addressing the actual point.
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Cincydawg

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8679 on: September 12, 2020, 04:43:19 AM »
I presume teachers in the US typically range in age from 24 to 65.

Adults 65 and older account for 16% of the US population but 80% of COVID-19 deaths in the US, somewhat higher than their share of deaths from all causes (75%) over the same period.

Rounding up, we have 200,000 COVID related deaths to date, so 20%, or 40,000, are of teaching age (presuming no deaths under 24, which is not true, but I'm rounding.  That is of a total population under 65 of 275 million people, total.

There are 3.2 million public school teachers in the US, or 1.16% of the population under 65.  So, we'd expect under 500 to die of COVID overall without any additional exposure due to school activities.

So, if 500 die without school, we might expect the figure to "double??" with school?  Is school more prone to exposures than "normal life"?  I think "it depends" obviously.

No doubt we will hear stories of this or that teacher dying of COVID, we already have, but the figures overall likely will be relatively small because of the statistics.  We'd really need to know how many ELEVATED deaths are in that group, which could be rough to calculate because the numbers overall are small.
« Last Edit: September 12, 2020, 09:29:39 AM by Cincydawg »
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