header pic

Perhaps the BEST B1G Forum anywhere, here at College Football Fan Site, CFB51!!!

The 'Old' CFN/Scout Crowd- Enjoy Civil discussion, game analytics, in depth player and coaching 'takes' and discussing topics surrounding the game. You can even have your own free board, all you have to do is ask!!!

Anyone is welcomed and encouraged to join our FREE site and to take part in our community- a community with you- the user, the fan, -and the person- will be protected from intrusive actions and with a clean place to interact.


Author

Topic: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas

 (Read 770994 times)

longhorn320

  • Legend
  • ****
  • Posts: 9341
  • Liked:
Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8442 on: September 03, 2020, 09:10:50 PM »
Our school district had 8 days of ~50% attendance interspersed with 2 days of distance-learning.  Then this week has been fully distance-learning.  Tuesday we open up fully (minus the kids who have taken the online option).

I expect to see a spike in 15-20 days, at which point we will go back to distance-learning, which we didn't really test before making the decision to open up fully.
keep us posted CW Im very interested in this
They won't let me give blood anymore. The burnt orange color scares the hell out of the doctors.

Cincydawg

  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 71626
  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Liked:
Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8443 on: September 04, 2020, 09:31:02 AM »
GA reported a one day spike, the first time in weeks that the one day has spiked over the 7 day to any appreciable extent.


betarhoalphadelta

  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 12222
  • Liked:
Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8444 on: September 04, 2020, 09:36:31 AM »
I don't want to post this in the game weekend stream thread and pollute that with corona, but did anyone catch the S.AL @ USM game last night? Watching the coaching staffs was like a perfect example of "wearing a mask... in theory..."

Mask on. Mask off. Mask under the nose. Mask as a neckwarmer. Then remember you're supposed to be wearing it and putting it back. Mask off in the huddle with all the players (hmm, no social distancing), mask right back on when you're distanced from others on the sideline. Masks off (or under the nose) when going and giving a hug to the opposing coaching staff after the game. 

As I said, I hope that not a single player was contagious with COVID last night, because if a single one was--you've got a superspreader incident. 

Cincydawg

  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 71626
  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Liked:
Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8445 on: September 04, 2020, 10:14:27 AM »
In Europe, most countries are seeing a resurgence, in France it's worse than the original infection rates.  Sweden of course is plodding along stable at low levels.  Denmark is seeing growth.  Spain is pretty bad.  Germany is seeing some increase, but not as much as her neighbors.

utee94

  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 17718
  • Liked:
Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8446 on: September 04, 2020, 10:45:37 AM »
I don't want to post this in the game weekend stream thread and pollute that with corona, but did anyone catch the S.AL @ USM game last night? Watching the coaching staffs was like a perfect example of "wearing a mask... in theory..."

Mask on. Mask off. Mask under the nose. Mask as a neckwarmer. Then remember you're supposed to be wearing it and putting it back. Mask off in the huddle with all the players (hmm, no social distancing), mask right back on when you're distanced from others on the sideline. Masks off (or under the nose) when going and giving a hug to the opposing coaching staff after the game.

As I said, I hope that not a single player was contagious with COVID last night, because if a single one was--you've got a superspreader incident.

These players have been working out together for several months at this point.  They've been with the coaches for over a month.  Most teams have had some infections, weathered them, and gotten their players back after their quarantine period.

As I keep saying, if there's going to be spread among players, it's going to come from behaviors outside the locker room, practice field, and playing field.  

That's not to say that just one player couldn't break the bubble, make a booty call a week ago, get infected, and spread it on the field to a bunch of other players and coaches that are being super-careful.  That's certainly possible, in theory.  But in practice, I don't believe at all that it would be just ONE player, it would be many, from both teams.  I do expect to see infections on teams ramp up as more and more students arrive onto the campuses.  But I don't believe on-field interaction is anywhere close to the largest threat vector faced by any player.

utee94

  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 17718
  • Liked:
Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8447 on: September 04, 2020, 10:49:16 AM »
In Europe, most countries are seeing a resurgence, in France it's worse than the original infection rates.  Sweden of course is plodding along stable at low levels.  Denmark is seeing growth.  Spain is pretty bad.  Germany is seeing some increase, but not as much as her neighbors.
Total area under the curve.  All the lockdowns have done, is push the peak out to the right.  It's still going to happen.

Leaders need to start making plans for how to live with this virus among us-- forever.

OrangeAfroMan

  • Stats Porn
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 18892
  • Liked:
Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8448 on: September 04, 2020, 10:59:53 AM »


Leaders need to start making plans for how to live with this virus among us-- forever.

This is how stupid we are.  It could be gone in a month if we had an actual shutdown.  But no, we throw up our hands and figure out ways to deal with it forever.

*not you, Utee, us, the collective.  
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

Cincydawg

  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 71626
  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Liked:
Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8449 on: September 04, 2020, 11:02:36 AM »
I can't see how one month of "total lockdown" means it's gone forever.  Even Hawaii is having a resurgence, small, but still coming back, same with NZ.

Sweden on the other hand ....

utee94

  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 17718
  • Liked:
Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8450 on: September 04, 2020, 11:13:36 AM »
Many European countries enforced very strict lockdowns.  Their numbers had diminished to almost zero.  And yet now, they're seeing a resurgence.

The total area under the curve isn't changing.  Not for them, not for us, not for anyone.

Only an effective vaccine, or reaching herd immunity (if that's even possible), will stop the spread.

I don't believe we'll ever have an effective vaccine, and the lockdowns are, in reality, effectively delaying the global population from reaching herd immunity, making all of this last longer rather than diminishing its impact.



Cincydawg

  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 71626
  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Liked:
Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8451 on: September 04, 2020, 11:17:58 AM »
If "we" can keep the health care system from being overwhelmed it would be good, relatively.

The wife and I had elective surgery last month.  That has reopened here at least.

France may need to shut down again, at least a lot of it.

utee94

  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 17718
  • Liked:
Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8452 on: September 04, 2020, 11:20:47 AM »
If "we" can keep the health care system from being overwhelmed it would be good, relatively.

The wife and I had elective surgery last month.  That has reopened here at least.

France may need to shut down again, at least a lot of it.

Yeah, there have definitely been benefits to the shutdowns.  They've kept the hospitals from being overwhelmed (in most cases), they've allowed time for docs and scientists to develop better treatment options for severe cases, and they've given the development of a potential vaccine a little breathing room.

But overall, they're just delaying the inevitable, and causing plenty of damage in the meantime.

Cincydawg

  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 71626
  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Liked:
Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8453 on: September 04, 2020, 11:22:51 AM »
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/09/04/key-coronavirus-forecast-predicts-over-410000-total-us-deaths-by-jan-1.html

Not good news, if this happens, at all.

IHME released three projections based on different assumptions: a worst-case scenario, a best-case scenario and a most likely scenario. The most likely scenario estimates that Covid-19 will kill 410,450 people in the U.S. by Jan. 1. The worst-case scenario, which assumes that restrictions and mask directives will ease, projects up to 620,028 people in the U.S. will die by then and the best-case scenario, which assumes universal masking, predicts that 288,380 people in the U.S. will die from Covid-19 in 2020.

Temp430

  • All Star
  • ******
  • Posts: 2513
  • Liked:
Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8454 on: September 04, 2020, 11:23:31 AM »
My one son at Wisconsin had his only in-person class canceled this week.  Not sure if its for the whole term or not.  My other son at Baylor has a couple in person classes but they're talking about moving them to all on-line.  Both kids were tested before they let them on campus. Both schools are sending them home at Thanksgiving for the duration of the term and finals. UNC is sending their students home again now. People are trying to get back to normal.
A decade of Victory over Penn State.

All in since 1969

betarhoalphadelta

  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 12222
  • Liked:
Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8455 on: September 04, 2020, 11:51:05 AM »
Only an effective vaccine, or reaching herd immunity (if that's even possible), will stop the spread.

I don't believe we'll ever have an effective vaccine, and the lockdowns are, in reality, effectively delaying the global population from reaching herd immunity, making all of this last longer rather than diminishing its impact.
Oh, we're going to have a vaccine released on Nov 1. 

Conveniently early enough that someone can take the credit and get the political bump from it, but late enough that when we learn it's neither effective nor safe we won't know it until after Nov 3. 

 

Support the Site!
Purchase of every item listed here DIRECTLY supports the site.