Perhaps the BEST B1G Forum anywhere, here at College Football Fan Site, CFB51!!!

I'm sure folks here notice how everything gets politicized.  We had a possible treatment for COVID politicized.  Wearing a mask.  Trying to distance.  Not acting like an idiot.  It almost seems that "we" have to be either A or B, nothing in between, and certainly now C or Z.

With me or agin me.

The Tripartite Commission.  The Gang of Four.  The usurpation of the iniquities.

yep they have risen all the way up to 3 or 4 hundred new cases a day

which considering they are in phase 3 is very good

their death rate is almost as low as Texas which is also very good

Death rates lag infection rates by more than 30 days, unfortunately.  Keep this in mind.

If OK was flat, that would be one thing.  It's the exponential growth that concerns me.  100 cases per day two weeks ago, 200 cases per day 1 week ago, 400 per day this week.  Next week I'm expecting OK to hit 600 per day.

https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/nation/2020/06/27/virus-surge-rural-covid/112025552/?utm_source=detroitnews-COVID-19%20Update&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=baseline_greeting&utm_term=list_article_thumb


Interesting to see other countries dealing with this....

Death rates lag infection rates by more than 30 days, unfortunately.  Keep this in mind.

If OK was flat, that would be one thing.  It's the exponential growth that concerns me.  100 cases per day two weeks ago, 200 cases per day 1 week ago, 400 per day this week.  Next week I'm expecting OK to hit 600 per day.

You're wasting your time, he doesn't understand the delay effect.  I tried already.  Dead stick.

Death rates lag infection rates by more than 30 days, unfortunately.  Keep this in mind.

If OK was flat, that would be one thing.  It's the exponential growth that concerns me.  100 cases per day two weeks ago, 200 cases per day 1 week ago, 400 per day this week.  Next week I'm expecting OK to hit 600 per day.

experience has indicated the average number of days until death is closer to 20 days


https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/03/12/coronavirus-kills-average-185-days/


if this is true then all the states having a spike in cases should start seeing an increase in deaths about now


Texas started around 5/26/20 but so far the death count has not followed the trend

experience has indicated the average number of days until death is closer to 20 days


https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/03/12/coronavirus-kills-average-185-days/


if this is true then all the states having a spike in cases should start seeing an increase in deaths about now


Texas started around 5/26/20 but so far the death count has not followed the trend

Don't forget there are also delays in reporting deaths.  Typically a patient dies, then the coroner takes over, then they make a report, then that report gets sent to the state, then the state updates their numbers.

Don't forget there are also delays in reporting deaths.  Typically a patient dies, then the coroner takes over, then they make a report, then that report gets sent to the state, then the state updates their numbers.

If you look at the 7-day moving average, daily new cases (the first time) peaked Apr 10. Daily deaths effectively peaked on Apr 17 (although it remained high and the moving average went very slightly higher Apr 21).

There was a second blip in the 7-day moving average right around Apr 26. Correspondingly there was a spike in daily deaths during the May 5-7 week which paused the weekly declines in the daily death rate. 

Based on those, statistically we've started to see the effect of spikes in cases around 8-10 days after big spikes in cases. So far we're not seeing that in the states that have started to spike, and nationally all we've seen is the slope of the decline in the daily death moving average decrease and flatten.