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Back of the napkin math -- could be looking at 1-2 million dead before herd immunity is reached naturally.

But the emperor has assured us all it will simply go away.  Yes, he doubled down on that idea.  It defies.....everything.

I believe that the most vulnerable have already been taken by this thing. I can only hope my belief comes to be truth.

I highly doubt that. 

How many nursing homes and assisted living facilities exist in this country? What percentage of them haven't seen a single infection? I'd say it's >50%, and probably much higher than that. 

How many people in the, say, 40-60 age range are living with severe comorbidities--diabetes, heart problems, obesity [remember this is America]--and how many of them haven't been touched by COVID? 

There's still a veritable green field of vulnerable folks out there. 

Back of the napkin math -- could be looking at 1-2 million dead before herd immunity is reached naturally.

Lol. I highly doubt that. I think your numbers are off by a lot.

Imagine packing in tens of thousands of fans into a stadium.  A single football weekend could cause a spike similar to the protests.

You don't have to imagine it. It already happened.

If college football happens at all this fall, it won't be with fans in attendance.

Lol. I highly doubt that. I think your numbers are off by a lot.

Okay, so right now we have 2.28M official confirmed cases and 121K deaths. That's a case fatality rate of 5.3%. 

There haven't been any great antibody studies that I'm aware of. The best at the time was the NY study. Although it was highly criticized for likely not being representative, it suggested a roughly 10x difference in NY between confirmed cases and actual cases. Although some think that's too high, we'll just take that as gospel.

If that's the case, we have about 22.8M cases, including all asymptomatic and mild cases. That of course brings the actual fatality rate down to about 0.53%, or about 5 times the flu. 22.8M cases is about 7% of the population.

If we assume a rough number of 70% infection rate needed to reach herd immunity (values I've seen are in the 60-80% range but 70% makes the math trivially easy) then you assume we have to have 10x the current infection rate to get there. If the fatality rate holds at 0.53%, you end up with 1.21M deaths from Coronavirus.

Obviously these are all back of the envelope calcuations. We don't know if the true infection rate is 10x that of confirmed cases. We don't know if the true herd immunity rate is 70% or 50% or 90%. This is a new virus we've never seen before.

But that's how you easily extrapolate to 1-2M deaths, and I don't think ANY of those logical leaps is a bridge too far. 

That’s real carnage. Apple Stores employ about 116 people on average per store. Times that by 11. That’s almost 1,300 people out of a decent paying job with a great company to work for. All of this has a chain reaction. Those 1,300 people are going to struggle to be able to pay their rent, bills, credit cards, car payments- have less disposable income to spend at other businesses. It’s a vicious cycle.

adding 1,300 folks to the nationwide unemployment figure is even going to move the needle?