Perhaps the BEST B1G Forum anywhere, here at College Football Fan Site, CFB51!!!

BTW right now there's a huge problem with case numbers because some states have been including positive antibody tests in the same reporting as positive confirmed [i.e. active] tests.

This has a corollary in that it has allowed to "rapidly increase our testing capacity" which seems to skew towards a lower percentage of positive tests, as the antibody tests are targeted at asymptomatic people whereas the PCR tests are targeted at people who legitimately think they have COVID.

As my wife's friend's 2 year old is known to say... "Issa mess."

thats exactly why I think hospitalizations and deaths are the best indication of how well a state is doing

testing is controlled by the state but hospitalizations and deaths arent

we are old... so yes, I do.

The generations coming into the workplace are probably more comfortable talking on skype or zoom than they are in person.  I don't think companies will go completely virtual, but there will be more flexibility and for some roles, it won't matter.   

People my age and older are still upper management, and will be for the next decade.  I don't see some major shift coming in the next few years, pandemic or no.

Florida's reporting has been given high marks by Dr. Birx. I think they are doing it pretty well here.

https://floridapolitics.com/archives/328990-dr-deborah-birx-highlights-florida-department-of-health-covid-19-website

thats exactly why I think hospitalizations and deaths are the best indication of how well a state is doing

testing is controlled by the state but hospitalizations and deaths arent

Agreed 100%. 

CDC Says Possibly 'Less Than Half' Of Positive Antibody Tests Are Correct

https://www.forbesmiddleeast.com/industry/healthcare/cdc-says-possibly-less-than-half-of-positive-antibody-tests-are-correct

CDC Says Possibly 'Less Than Half' Of Positive Antibody Tests Are Correct

https://www.forbesmiddleeast.com/industry/healthcare/cdc-says-possibly-less-than-half-of-positive-antibody-tests-are-correct

That's a clickbait headline...

They're talking about a statistical problem that we've talked about here (the Santa Clara study). The reliability power of a test depends heavily on how prevalent the disease is. If it's not very prevalent, the problem of false positive rate is MUCH worse.

When prevalence is very low in a population, you can't really trust the studies very well. I.e. if you have a test that has a 0.5% false positive rate (0.3-0.8% with 95% confidence interval), and you measure a population and only have 1.5% positive results, it's possible that more than half of your positive results are false positives. In that case anyone who got a positive result may only be 47-80% able to trust whether they've got the disease (accounting for the confidence interval) or is only 66% likely that their test is correct (assuming 0.5%).

If your test has a 0.5% false positive rate and you test a population and you get a 50% positive rate, then you know only <2% of those who test positive are likely to be false positives. So if you are one of those people who test positive, you know there's a greater than 98% chance your test is accurate. 

What the CDC actually said is that due to the combination of the low prevalence and the false positive rate, someone who tests positive can't easily assume they actually DID have it and they're now immune, so they shouldn't feel invulnerable and not take reasonable precautions against infection.

Yeah, but the layman will think that means the test itself is crap. 

Especially because most laymen won't read the story, they'll just read the headline.