Perhaps the BEST B1G Forum anywhere, here at College Football Fan Site, CFB51!!!

Y’all got different genes around those parts?  Haha.

I’m only posting data on death rates. Back of the napkin math:  under 65 and you get sick is about a 0.1% death rate.  Over 65 is about a 5-10% death rate. In NYC

FIFY

Maybe there is a little hitch here.  5% of NYC's deaths are to those under 65 with no co-morbidities.  That would seem to mean that some of the 95% are under 65 but have co-morbidities.

I’m not 100% sure of the numbers, that’s why I went with the 5-10% fatality range.  Low end of the range is really taking a rosy look at the numbers.  

data is linked above if yinz want to rerun the numbers. 

BBTS:

I looked at the link, which--in the case of NYC--isn't much more than you copied and pasted.

I think I can conclude this:

4.5% of the NYC COVID-19 deaths have been people who were under 65 and had no underlying medical issues.

89% of all age-group members who have died have had underlying medical issues, but we don't know the rate of underlying issues among either those 65 and older or those younger than 65.

Therefore, we can't really say that 95% of the NYC COVID-19 death toll is coming from those 65 and older.

BBTS:

I looked at the link, which--in the case of NYC--isn't much more than you copied and pasted.

I think I can conclude this:

4.5% of the NYC COVID-19 deaths have been people who were under 65 and had no underlying medical issues.

89% of all age-group members who have died have had underlying medical issues, but we don't know the rate of underlying issues among either those 65 and older or those younger than 65.

Therefore, we can't really say that 95% of the NYC COVID-19 death toll is coming from those 65 and older.

Now that I look at it, I believe you are correct sir.  It was nice to actually see some data, but that link already figured out most of the relevant data.  

So we can conclude that if you have underlying health problems, or over the age of 65, your odds of dying are MUCH higher, as this accounts approx 95% of all COVID deaths.  So, perhaps not 1 in 50 New Yorkers over age 65 dead.  In fact, we have to take that back, because we don't know how many deaths had other issues, like you said.

Thanks!

Everybody's a statistician thanks to this thing.  Ugh.

Having data is a better place to start than having nothing but an opinion.

Yeah man, that's just your opinion....

GA had a better reported new cases at 660, but it was Sunday.  Deaths reported were very low at 5.  Deaths of course reflect someone who contracted the virus as much as a month ago.  We know the elderly are unusually vulnerable.  If this is spreading, for example, among poultry workers, they would be younger (and largely Hispanic if that matters), so number of reported cases could be rising while hospitalized cases continues to fall.  That's a notion consistent with the data.

There also could be more testing in the poultry region of GA (NE).

A lot of folks "throw out data" (and facts) because it doesn't match their preconceived.