I'm discounting the value of basically any COVID case/death numbers until we get through a couple more days. The Thanksgiving holiday both with people traveling (some of whom were tested in order to travel) and people coming back from travel is going to throw off the numbers, and I'm honestly not sure whether they'll come in higher or lower than "trend".
I'm expecting this week to be up, in general, but either way I'm not putting any stock in any numbers until we get to next week.