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Topic: SI Says 12 Team Playoff Likely w/ 6 At-Large

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FearlessF

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Re: SI Says 12 Team Playoff Likely w/ 6 At-Large
« Reply #434 on: July 13, 2021, 05:51:31 PM »
it's a 4-team playoff with a few more games thrown in
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Brutus Buckeye

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Re: SI Says 12 Team Playoff Likely w/ 6 At-Large
« Reply #435 on: July 13, 2021, 07:58:09 PM »
What will be the last conference to get a team in? 

Mac? Sunbelt? CUSA? 
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OrangeAfroMan

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Re: SI Says 12 Team Playoff Likely w/ 6 At-Large
« Reply #436 on: July 13, 2021, 08:05:53 PM »
Quote from: FearlessF on July 13, 2021, 04:54:39 PM
make all the games including the conference champ games on the higher ranked teams campus

lessens the probability of upsets

just the final game on a neutral site
The rich would really get richer.
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OrangeAfroMan

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Re: SI Says 12 Team Playoff Likely w/ 6 At-Large
« Reply #437 on: July 13, 2021, 08:09:10 PM »
Quote from: FearlessF on July 13, 2021, 04:43:13 PM

how many times in a decade will a team outside the top 4 win this thing?  once, twice, never?

Why assume this?  Haven't 4 seeds won more NCs than 3 seeds and just as many as 1 seeds?  
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OrangeAfroMan

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Re: SI Says 12 Team Playoff Likely w/ 6 At-Large
« Reply #438 on: July 13, 2021, 08:10:35 PM »
Quote from: utee94 on July 13, 2021, 05:00:18 PM
Heck put the final game on the higher-seeded campus as well.  Since everyone seems to hate the idea of "upsets" so much, let's do everything we can to minimize that possibility.

Even better, just don't even play the games.  Since everyone assumes they already know who the "best" team is, let's just use some kind of poll or something, and vote on it, and hand them the trophy!


Thank you for your useful contribution.
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FearlessF

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Re: SI Says 12 Team Playoff Likely w/ 6 At-Large
« Reply #439 on: July 13, 2021, 08:18:16 PM »
Quote from: OrangeAfroMan on July 13, 2021, 08:09:10 PM
Why assume this?  Haven't 4 seeds won more NCs than 3 seeds and just as many as 1 seeds? 
4 seeds didn't have to play a game vs a solid opponent the week before the semis.
5 and 6 seeds would play an extra game and some important players could possibly get injured


;)
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FearlessF

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Re: SI Says 12 Team Playoff Likely w/ 6 At-Large
« Reply #440 on: July 13, 2021, 08:19:50 PM »
Quote from: OrangeAfroMan on July 13, 2021, 08:05:53 PM
The rich would really get richer.
the reason this is happening

the SEC will get richer, as will the B1G, Big 12, ACC, and PAC
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OrangeAfroMan

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Re: SI Says 12 Team Playoff Likely w/ 6 At-Large
« Reply #441 on: July 13, 2021, 08:20:43 PM »
Some great 5th and 6th-ranked teams:
2018 Ohio State 
2017 Wisconsin
2015 Iowa 
2015 Ohio St
Wow, this has really affected the B1G, hasn't it?  
2014 Baylor & TCU
2012 Oregon
2010 Ohio St
2009 Florida
Hell, in 2008, you have 11-1 USC, Penn St, 12-0 Utah, 11-1 Texas Tech ranked outside the top 4 who could win it all, easily.
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OrangeAfroMan

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Re: SI Says 12 Team Playoff Likely w/ 6 At-Large
« Reply #442 on: July 13, 2021, 08:22:22 PM »
With the insane end-of-season mountain to climb, each team is radically unlikely to win it all, no matter what seed they are.
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medinabuckeye1

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Re: SI Says 12 Team Playoff Likely w/ 6 At-Large
« Reply #443 on: July 13, 2021, 08:57:28 PM »
Quote from: Cincydawg on July 13, 2021, 05:32:11 PM
We'd have a playoff champion.  It likely won't be the "best team" most of the time.

I still muse about those recent UGA teams that were ranked 5 end of season and didn't make the playoff, I don't think they were close to being a real playoff team, seriously, they had some really big flaws.  They might edge a "Cincinnati" on a last second FG, but that's about it. 

I don't recall very many #5 or #6 teams I thought would have much chance, there were a few.  So, maybe this is just a four team playoff with some other games thrown in.
Those teams would have annihilated Cincy or any G5 team by 50 with Georgia's starters barely playing after halftime. 
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FearlessF

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Re: SI Says 12 Team Playoff Likely w/ 6 At-Large
« Reply #444 on: July 13, 2021, 09:14:49 PM »
Quote from: OrangeAfroMan on July 13, 2021, 08:22:22 PM
With the insane end-of-season mountain to climb, each team is radically unlikely to win it all, no matter what seed they are.
and with each extra game the odds decrease dramatically 
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bayareabadger

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Re: SI Says 12 Team Playoff Likely w/ 6 At-Large
« Reply #445 on: July 13, 2021, 10:14:41 PM »
Quote from: OrangeAfroMan on July 13, 2021, 08:20:43 PM
Some great 5th and 6th-ranked teams:
2018 Ohio State
2017 Wisconsin
2015 Iowa
2015 Ohio St
Wow, this has really affected the B1G, hasn't it? 
2014 Baylor & TCU
2012 Oregon
2010 Ohio St
2009 Florida
Hell, in 2008, you have 11-1 USC, Penn St, 12-0 Utah, 11-1 Texas Tech ranked outside the top 4 who could win it all, easily.
2008 was an underrated all-time playoff year 
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FearlessF

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Re: SI Says 12 Team Playoff Likely w/ 6 At-Large
« Reply #446 on: July 13, 2021, 10:24:21 PM »
Quote from: OrangeAfroMan on July 13, 2021, 08:20:43 PM
Some great 5th and 6th-ranked teams:
2018 Ohio State
2017 Wisconsin
2015 Iowa
2015 Ohio St
Wow, this has really affected the B1G, hasn't it? 
2014 Baylor & TCU
2012 Oregon
2010 Ohio St
2009 Florida
Hell, in 2008, you have 11-1 USC, Penn St, 12-0 Utah, 11-1 Texas Tech ranked outside the top 4 who could win it all, easily.
perhaps this will benefit the B1G the most?
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Brutus Buckeye

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Re: SI Says 12 Team Playoff Likely w/ 6 At-Large
« Reply #447 on: July 13, 2021, 10:59:22 PM »
Quote from: medinabuckeye1 on July 13, 2021, 08:57:28 PM
Those teams would have annihilated Cincy or any G5 team by 50 with Georgia's starters barely playing after halftime.

He was clearly referencing last year's Peach Bowl, where Georgia defeated Cincinnati on a last second FG. 
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