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Topic: Probable Playoff Teams

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FearlessF

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Re: Probable Playoff Teams
« Reply #56 on: November 24, 2019, 07:43:27 PM »
fine

each team played 1 top 10 team, unless they both played the #6 team it's not identical

team "A" played #6
team "B" played #7

team "A" gets in
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FearlessF

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Re: Probable Playoff Teams
« Reply #57 on: November 24, 2019, 07:44:30 PM »
Which of the top ten teams has played the toughest schedule to date?  Or by end of regular season?  LSU?

Clems  ... oh wait.


this is when strength of conference helps

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Brutus Buckeye

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Re: Probable Playoff Teams
« Reply #58 on: November 24, 2019, 07:54:34 PM »
I think we're going to see this come Tuesday night:
1. LSU (should be The OSU, but it won't be)
2. Ohio State
3. Clemson
4. Georgia
5. Bama
6. Utah
7. Oklahoma
.

Who gets in if all seven of these teams lose this week?
1919, 20, 21, 28, 29, 31, 34, 35, 36, 37, 42, 44
WWH: 1952, 54, 55, 57, 58, 60, 61, 62, 63, 65, 67, 68, 70, 72, 74, 75
1979, 81, 82, 84, 87, 94, 98
2001, 02, 04, 05, 06, 07, 08, 09, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: Probable Playoff Teams
« Reply #59 on: November 24, 2019, 08:03:51 PM »
If everyone loses, then the order of the list doesn't change.....
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OrangeAfroMan

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Re: Probable Playoff Teams
« Reply #60 on: November 24, 2019, 08:04:25 PM »
fine

each team played 1 top 10 team, unless they both played the #6 team it's not identical

team "A" played #6
team "B" played #7

team "A" gets in
So you don't take into account score at all?  :s_laugh:
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

CWSooner

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Re: Probable Playoff Teams
« Reply #61 on: November 24, 2019, 08:11:27 PM »
Who gets in if all seven of these teams lose this week?
The top 3 might stay right there.

Below that, the teams that just got their second loss fall into the mix of 1-loss and 2-loss teams.
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FearlessF

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Re: Probable Playoff Teams
« Reply #62 on: November 24, 2019, 08:31:20 PM »
So you don't take into account score at all?  :s_laugh:
not at all


that is a different measure

this is ONLY strength of schedule
just a reward for the team in the tie breaker that played the toughest schedule
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: Probable Playoff Teams
« Reply #63 on: November 24, 2019, 11:03:25 PM »
USC is down, Miami, Nebraska, and Texas are down, Tennessee and FSU are down.......and yet we still have helmets at the top.  LSU, OSU, OU, Clemson, Bama, etc are chugging along well.

Minnesota tried to crash the party, Baylor's doing well, and Utah is ranked highly.  


I guess I'm wondering if that initial list of name programs being down is usually high?  That's 6 of the top 15 programs that aren't happy with their results the past 5+ years.  
I remember OU, Texas, and USC being down in the mid-90s....but not six simultaneously.  
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

bayareabadger

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Re: Probable Playoff Teams
« Reply #64 on: November 25, 2019, 07:48:56 AM »
USC is down, Miami, Nebraska, and Texas are down, Tennessee and FSU are down.......and yet we still have helmets at the top.  LSU, OSU, OU, Clemson, Bama, etc are chugging along well.

Minnesota tried to crash the party, Baylor's doing well, and Utah is ranked highly. 


I guess I'm wondering if that initial list of name programs being down is usually high?  That's 6 of the top 15 programs that aren't happy with their results the past 5+ years. 
I remember OU, Texas, and USC being down in the mid-90s....but not six simultaneously. 
I wonder how much of this blends into the sort of flexible nature of helmet and the decade. Clemson started the decade well, but went better than 7-5 only twice from 1992-1999, with a coach who quit to go to Rice. Bama had half a great decade and fell hard at the end with five seasons of 7-5 or worse between 1997-2001. LSU had three winning seasons in the 1990s.

I think some of it is being in the middle of things, team's misery is more apparent, and I think there's just some changing of the guard. Nebraska never dreamed identity meant what it did. I'm unconvinced Miami was a long-term thing either. Was Clemson a helmet then, and if so, do we just have a few more helmets? Enough to tweak the math?

Cincydawg

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Re: Probable Playoff Teams
« Reply #65 on: November 25, 2019, 07:51:45 AM »
I think a third of the top 15 helmet teams are having rough years most of the time (7-5 or worse).


MrNubbz

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Re: Probable Playoff Teams
« Reply #66 on: November 25, 2019, 07:54:48 AM »
Who gets in if all seven of these teams lose this week?
That would be too bizarre I'd almost love to see it - if tOSU could still get in.If memory serves me correctly 2002 was a season where teams stayed at the top for about 2 maybe 3 weeks then get knocked off
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rolltidefan

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Re: Probable Playoff Teams
« Reply #67 on: November 25, 2019, 11:17:30 AM »
I wonder how much of this blends into the sort of flexible nature of helmet and the decade. Clemson started the decade well, but went better than 7-5 only twice from 1992-1999, with a coach who quit to go to Rice. Bama had half a great decade and fell hard at the end with five seasons of 7-5 or worse between 1997-2001. LSU had three winning seasons in the 1990s.

I think some of it is being in the middle of things, team's misery is more apparent, and I think there's just some changing of the guard. Nebraska never dreamed identity meant what it did. I'm unconvinced Miami was a long-term thing either. Was Clemson a helmet then, and if so, do we just have a few more helmets? Enough to tweak the math?
hey now, bama 1999 wasn't 7-5 or worse. 10-3 sec champs, with an epic bowl game vs tom brady and mich. bama lost on a missed xp (man, i hate sp teams sometimes).

847badgerfan

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Re: Probable Playoff Teams
« Reply #68 on: November 25, 2019, 11:28:13 AM »
FSU, Miami, LSU and Clemson are not helmet schools.

That status belongs to OSU, UM, PSU, UNL, UTx, OU, Bama, UTn and USC.

Two of those are fading, and fading fast.


Edit to add ND, but screw ND anyway (I was going through the conferences in my head).
« Last Edit: November 25, 2019, 11:41:25 AM by 847badgerfan »
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Brutus Buckeye

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Re: Probable Playoff Teams
« Reply #69 on: November 25, 2019, 11:33:16 AM »
Notre Dame is a helmet school.
1919, 20, 21, 28, 29, 31, 34, 35, 36, 37, 42, 44
WWH: 1952, 54, 55, 57, 58, 60, 61, 62, 63, 65, 67, 68, 70, 72, 74, 75
1979, 81, 82, 84, 87, 94, 98
2001, 02, 04, 05, 06, 07, 08, 09, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19

 

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