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Topic: OT - Weird History

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MikeDeTiger

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Re: OT - Weird History
« Reply #2702 on: December 15, 2023, 11:29:55 AM »
If we didn't "own" the PI they probably would have left us alone.

So you're saying Japan's fleet was flagged for pass interference and after the 15 yard penalty they couldn't convert, so they punted and waited for our offense?  

Cincydawg

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Re: OT - Weird History
« Reply #2703 on: December 15, 2023, 12:14:44 PM »
I guess, I've had a notion for a while that the PI caused Japan to attack us.

medinabuckeye1

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Re: OT - Weird History
« Reply #2704 on: December 15, 2023, 12:24:22 PM »
I guess, I've had a notion for a while that the PI caused Japan to attack us.
It was two things:
  • The Phillipines sat astride the shipping routes that the Japanese were going to have to use to get the raw materials (mostly oil) from the Dutch East Indies to Japan.
  • With Britain obviously preoccupied the USN was the only force even plausibility capable of challenging IJN supremecy in the Pacific.


Cincydawg

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Re: OT - Weird History
« Reply #2705 on: December 15, 2023, 12:26:01 PM »
Imagine Japan doesn't attack us and we're not on the PI.  They go ahead and take over Borneo and Indonesia, nobody really would do more than yell at them.  They secure their oil supplies, and go on as usual.  What else did they need?

medinabuckeye1

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Re: OT - Weird History
« Reply #2706 on: December 15, 2023, 01:41:21 PM »
Imagine Japan doesn't attack us and we're not on the PI.  They go ahead and take over Borneo and Indonesia, nobody really would do more than yell at them.  They secure their oil supplies, and go on as usual.  What else did they need?
This is an interesting counterfactual.

Since Indonesia was a Dutch possession then known as the Dutch East Indies (DEI) the Dutch would have declared war on them which is more than yelling but maybe not much more since the Netherlands was occupied by Germany at the time and thus in no position to mount a response. 

The more interesting question concerns the hosts of the Dutch Government in Exile. They were based in London. 

In your hypothetical you didn't specify whether or not the Japanese took Malaya and Singapore but I don't think that it matters. I think that the British would have entered into war with Japan at the side of their Dutch Allies either way.

Roosevelt had more-or-less assured Churchill that the US would join that struggle but convincing Congress and the American people to support a war to defend European Imperialism would have been a tough sell. 

Cincydawg

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Re: OT - Weird History
« Reply #2707 on: December 15, 2023, 01:48:36 PM »
Yup.  The British in 1941 had their hands full, the Russians were very hard pressed as well.  The Brits might have declared war with Japan, but I don't think that would have materially impacted Japanese actions.  I'm presuming their strategic goals were to secure oil supplies in SE Asia and have a free hand in China.  The Brits could do nothing to inhibit any of that.  THey'd put Singapore and Hong King at risk, and we know they lost both.

The US reponse I think would be nothing more than harsh language.

In that scenario, no US direct involvement in WW 2, Lend Lease probably, but not much US aid to Russia.  Japan would have secured what it needed.  Maybe Germany ends up either winning, or reaching a negotiated peace with Stalin.

If so, our actions following the Spanish American war started the whole thing off.

FearlessF

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Re: OT - Weird History
« Reply #2708 on: December 15, 2023, 03:03:38 PM »
I blame Churchill
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

MrNubbz

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Re: OT - Weird History
« Reply #2709 on: December 15, 2023, 05:17:13 PM »
@MrNubbz :

Cincy and I have repeatedly pointed out your errors and you have completely and utterly failed to address our points.  Now you've gone on a long rant about basically everything Churchill ever did wrong which is completely and utterly irrelevant to the question at hand. 
You remind me of Churchill - "Don't interrupt me while I'm interrupting". Obstinatness is not an arguement and quit name dropping CD like the Maitlands screaming Beetlejuice-Beetlejuice-Beetlejuice from the Handbook of the recently Deceased to cover your carnival barking. I cobbled all that I presented from Historians not named Medina Buckeye - vetted and peer reviewed. David Bennet, Andrew Roberts,Martin Gilbert,Rick Atkinson,Evan Mawdsley,Medina Buckeye,Max Hastings,Antony Beevor,Niall Barr,John Keegan,David Horner,I'm getting tired.The 7th Cavalry had better odds entering the Valley of the Little Bighorn than the Repulse and Prince of Wales had off of Malaya in the South China Sea but onward your hero ordered them

https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/john-curtin-the-leader-who-turned-australia-to-the-united-states-20171122-gzqc46


Curtin knew this was a momentous event, bringing America, "the arsenal of democracy", into the war at the darkest hour for the allies. But no one, Curtin included, understood that the Japanese bombing of Pearl Harbour – a "day of infamy," according to US President Franklin Roosevelt – also signaled the transformation of Australia including the way we, as Australians, viewed ourselves. Over the next four months, *Japan ruthlessly destroyed the myth that Britannia ruled the waves, and the US supplanted Britain as the major power among the allies in the region* An earlier Coalition wartime administration dithered and a sort of fatalistic defeatism permeated government and military circles about what Australia could do if Japan invaded. But Curtin was more clear-eyed, presciently warning as far back as 1936 that "the dependence of Australia upon the competence, let alone the readiness, of British statesmen to send forces to our aid is too dangerous a hazard upon which to found Australia's defence policy"

. Post Pearl Harbour, Japan literally blew the assumptions, verities and emotional comforts – indeed, for many, the national raison d'etre – of Australians sky high in a matter of weeks, with its rapid, devastating downward thrust into south-east Asia. This resulted in the loss of the major British naval base in Singapore – long seen as the bulwark against any invasion of Australia – the loss of other British colonies such as Malaya, collapse of the oil-rich Dutch East Indies – now Indonesia – and the Portuguese colony of East Timor, and the loss of Australian-administered Rabaul in New Guinea. Meanwhile, British defences were collapsing in Burma. At the same time, he memorably wrote in the Melbourne Herald: *"Without any inhibitions of any kind, I make it quite clear that Australia looks to America, free of any pangs as to our traditional links or kinship with Britain." (so all of that went wrong and you are right,Mmkay)

The IJN had11 Fleet Carriers, 10 Battleships, 40 Cruisers, 112 Destroyers and 63 Submarines. At the same time Period, Royal Navy have were 4 Fleet Carrier and 3 Escort Carrier, 15 Battleship and Battlecruiser, 66 Cruiser, 184 Destroyers, 60 Submarines Due to, undisputed Superiority of Aircraft in Naval engagement in WW2 - The IJN Bigger carrier fleet and Air power - combined with high morale and experience from war in China. It make them easily the Strongest Naval Power on the Planet for that period

Statistics covering the attacks on P.O.W. are:

Torpedo attacks 50

Hits 11

Bomber attacks 16
Hits  2

All of that and Winston was spot on :043: He thought going over the Alps was preferable to attacking the Atlantic Wall. Knowingly sent two more Ships when the the IJN had a 20:4 advantage just in Destroyers and Japanese submarine and aerial reconnaissance recording their every move.Not listening to the Admiralty and agreeing with the Foreign Secretary Eden. Knowlingly - there's that word again that the US Pacific Fleet was keel hauled at Pearl - sure send the lads anyway what the hell. Promising FDR GERMANY 1ST then moves operations vs them 3000 miles away into a freakin' desert as you ignore/twist everything I present.
« Last Edit: December 15, 2023, 05:28:00 PM by MrNubbz »
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Cincydawg

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Re: OT - Weird History
« Reply #2710 on: December 15, 2023, 05:23:30 PM »
The IJN was not involved in sinking either ship. 

MrNubbz

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Re: OT - Weird History
« Reply #2711 on: December 15, 2023, 05:30:49 PM »
I meant F how is that? They worked in combination very well and they were present also. Again look at those results and you want to knit pick They couldn't figure the same fate awaited a much smaller force? It was on a British Docu that i saw Winston ignoring military advisors - do you question he did that? And their subs were certainly tracking every move again so they were involved not in the direct attack, which book would you like to pick up from any of them.Churchill had good qualities but he shyt the bed there
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medinabuckeye1

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Re: OT - Weird History
« Reply #2712 on: December 15, 2023, 05:53:41 PM »
The 7th Cavalry had better odds entering the Valley of the Little Bighorn than the Repulse and Prince of Wales had off of Malaya in the South China Sea but onward your hero ordered them.
OMG stop, you are embarrassing yourself.

I'm no Churchill famboy. There are plenty of legitimate criticisms of him and you've even managed to stumble across some of them.

That he ordered Repulse and POW out from Singapore to contest the Malaya landings is NOT a legitimate criticism of Churchill because he never gave such an order. This has been demonstrated to you repeatedly by @Cincydawg and I and yet you have repeated this false assertion here.
The IJN had11 Fleet Carriers
Inform Yamamoto and Nagumo immediately, they'll be thrilled to learn that they have 11 fleet carriers as of December, 1941 (or ever for that matter).

Previously you said 18.

Now you are down to 11.

Keep going, you'll get it right eventually.

Please see: http://www.combinedfleet.com/economic.htm

Here are the actual figures for fleet carriers:

Zuikako and Shokaku were commissioned late in 1941. They joined the IJN's four existing fleet carriers to give Japan a total of six:
  • Kaga
  • Akagi
  • Sorry
  • Hiryu
  • Shokaku
  • Zuikaku
NOTE: Spellings are doubtful, I didn't look them up.

This was the most fleet carriers that the IJN ever possessed at one time. Not 18 as you stated previously. Not 11 as you stated above. Six. That is it.

FearlessF

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Re: OT - Weird History
« Reply #2713 on: December 15, 2023, 11:07:15 PM »
On this date, December 10, 1979, Stuntman Eddie Kidd accomplished a "death-defying" motorcycle leap. During the spectacle he crossed an 80 ft gap over a 50 ft sheer drop above a viaduct at Maldon, Essex, on a 400 cc motorcycle.

The stunt was for film 'Riding High' about the life of a motorcycle stuntman. "They asked me to do the jump at the end of the film because they were worried," said Kidd. "It had been raining a few days before and they insisted that I have a mud guard on the front of my bike.

But while in flight the wind caught the mud guard and over balanced the bike, so the landing was not easy." In the film, audiences were amazed at how the bike was nearly vertical when landing. "I was also told to wear a visor on my helmet, which blew backwards as I was landing, but I 'nailed' it" Eddie told BBC Essex.

Kidd, who was only 20 at the time, completed the stunt before a stunned group of spectators, fans and press. Only wearing motorcycle leathers and a crash helmet, he landed on the jump and despite the pressure came away with only a minor leg injury.


"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

MrNubbz

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Re: OT - Weird History
« Reply #2714 on: December 16, 2023, 06:21:30 AM »
OMG stop, you are embarrassing yourself.
Why you do it it with distressing frequency  Thicko those men got killed and you backed the play of the arrogant ass who sent them.It's you bluto making the personal attacks.Again,obstinateness is not an arguemnet. Historians not named Medina Buckeye,have your handler look up that info left for your edification.Pearl gets wiped out KOWINGLY the P.O.W, and Repulse dispatched anyway and you split hairs for pointing out the arrogant jerk responsible,makes sense


https://youtu.be/z2c7d5RfkAA
« Last Edit: December 16, 2023, 06:35:03 AM by MrNubbz »
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Cincydawg

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Re: OT - Weird History
« Reply #2715 on: December 16, 2023, 06:44:20 AM »
I meant F how is that? They worked in combination very well and they were present also. Again look at those results and you want to knit pick They couldn't figure the same fate awaited a much smaller force? It was on a British Docu that i saw Winston ignoring military advisors - do you question he did that? And their subs were certainly tracking every move again so they were involved not in the direct attack, which book would you like to pick up from any of them.Churchill had good qualities but he shyt the bed there
The IJN and their Army famously hated each other and would barely collaborate even when it clearly was necessary.  The ships were sunk by land based bombers using torpedoes (mostly).   The British Admiral is primarily responsible for several errors and misjudgments he made.  

One can fault Churchill for sending them, it is very arguable that they were needed more in European waters at the time.  I think he hoped to convince Japan not to attack.

Of all the mistakes Churchill made, I'd argue this isn't one of the major ones, nor is the sinking his fault, in my view.


 

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