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Topic: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation

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ELA

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2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« on: July 30, 2025, 02:19:58 PM »
Same as before.  Using the combined SP+/FPI rankings to simulate each game.

Preseason Poll Projection

  • OHIO STATE
  • Texas
  • OREGON
  • Georgia
  • PENN STATE
  • Notre Dame
  • Alabama
  • LSU
  • Clemson
  • Miami
  • MICHIGAN
  • ILLINOIS
  • Texas A&M
  • Tennessee
  • Ole Miss
  • South Carolina
  • Arizona State
  • Missouri
  • SMU
  • Florida
  • Kansas State
  • Oklahoma
  • INDIANA
  • Iowa State
  • Boise State


847badgerfan

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #1 on: July 30, 2025, 02:24:44 PM »
Man, I was really hoping for this. Thanks.
U RAH RAH! WIS CON SIN!

ELA

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #2 on: July 30, 2025, 02:43:15 PM »
WEEK ZERO
  • #21 Kansas State d. #24 Iowa State

  • Kansas d. Fresno State
  • Sam Houston d. Western Kentucky
  • Stanford d. Hawaii
  • UNLV d. Idaho State

ELA

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #3 on: July 30, 2025, 02:45:21 PM »
Also, to make it a little fun, I always slightly adjust if you are +/- 2 in upsets to allow for over and underperforming teams

Cincydawg

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #4 on: July 30, 2025, 02:46:12 PM »
I predict UGA starts 2-0.

FearlessF

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #5 on: July 30, 2025, 03:18:12 PM »
11 from the SEC in the top 25??
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

Cincydawg

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #6 on: July 30, 2025, 03:24:55 PM »
11 from the SEC in the top 25??
Lower than usual.

FearlessF

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #7 on: July 30, 2025, 03:36:10 PM »
somebody believes in the Boomer Sooners
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Mdot21

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #8 on: July 30, 2025, 05:40:56 PM »
man advanced metrics must really like the defense, cause Michigan at #11 is a lot higher than I'd have them.

I THINK that Michigan could rebound in a huge way, but pinning the hopes on a 17 year old true freshman QB who won't turn 18 until the season starts seems like a risky proposition. On one hand the QB play probably can't get any worse than it was last year. Having said that- true frosh QB's are prone to make mistakes- if you start him- you're just going to have to live with the growing pains as he figures it out and that might cost you some games.

Defense should be lights out and very deep- and probably even better in year 2 of Wink Martindale's scheme. RB duo should be top tier with Jordan Marshall & Justice Haynes. OL should improve some- RT Andrew Sprague is a budding superstar future 1st rd tackle imo. They lost Colston Loveland but Marlin Klein is an up and comer who has proven he can play at this level and they have lots of young emerging TE talent and have recruited well at the position. WR is the biggest ? on the entire offense outside of QB imo.

ELA

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #9 on: July 30, 2025, 05:44:54 PM »
WEEK ONE
Thursday, August 28
  • #18 Missouri d. Central Arkansas
  • #25 Boise State d. South Florida

  • Bowling Green d. Lafayette
  • Central Florida d. Jacksonville State
  • Delaware d. Delaware State
  • Duke d. Elon
  • Houston d. Stephen F. Austin
  • MINNESOTA d. Buffalo
  • NC State d. East Carolina
  • NEBRASKA d. Cincinnati
  • Oklahoma State d. UT Martin
  • RUTGERS d. Ohio
  • San Diego State d. Stony Brook
  • UAB d. Alabama State
  • UL Monroe d. St. Francis(PA)
  • WISCONSIN d. Miami(Ohio)
  • Wyoming d. Akron

Friday, August 29
  • #12 ILLINOIS d. Western Illinois

  • Appalachian State d. Charlotte
  • Army d. Tarleton State
  • Baylor d. Auburn
  • Central Michigan d. San Jose State
  • FIU d. Bethune-Cookman
  • Georgia Tech d. Colorado
  • Kansas d. Wagner
  • MICHIGAN STATE d. Western Michigan
  • UNLV d. Sam Houston
  • Wake Forest d. Kennesaw State

Saturday, August 30
ESPN College Gameday, live from Columbus, OH
  • #1 OHIO STATE d. #2 Texas

  • #3 OREGON d. Montana State
  • #4 Georgia d. Marshall
  • #5 PENN STATE d. Nevada
  • #7 Alabama d. Florida State
  • #9 Clemson d. #8 LSU
  • #11 MICHIGAN d. New Mexico
  • #13 Texas A&M d. UTSA
  • #14 Tennessee d. Syracuse
  • #15 Ole Miss d. Georgia State
  • #17 Arizona State d. Northern Arizona
  • #19 SMU d. East Texas A&M
  • #20 Florida d. Long Island
  • #21 Kansas State d. North Dakota
  • #22 Oklahoma d. Illinois State
  • #23 INDIANA d. Old Dominion
  • #24 Iowa State d. South Dakota

  • Air Force d. Bucknell
  • Arizona d. Hawaii
  • Arkansas d. Alabama A&M
  • Arkansas State d. SE Missouri State
  • Boston College d. Fordham
  • BYU d. Portland State
  • Connecticut d. Central Connecticut
  • Florida Atlantic d. MARYLAND
  • Georgia Southern d. Fresno State
  • IOWA d. Albany
  • James Madison d. Weber State
  • Kent State d. Merrimack
  • Kentucky d. Toledo
  • Liberty d. Maine
  • Louisiana d. Rice
  • Louisiana Tech d. SE Louisiana
  • Louisville d. Eastern Kentucky
  • Memphis d. Chattanooga
  • Middle Tennessee d. Austin Peay
  • Mississippi State d. Southern Miss
  • Navy d. VMI
  • NM State d. Bryant
  • North Texas d. Lamar
  • Northern Illinois d. Holy Cross
  • Oregon State d. California
  • Pittsburgh d. Syracuse
  • PURDUE d. Ball State
  • South Alabama d. Morgan State
  • Temple d. Massachusetts
  • Texas State d. Eastern Michigan
  • Texas Tech d. UAPB
  • Troy d. Nicholls
  • Tulane d. NORTHWESTERN
  • Tulsa d. Abilene Christian
  • UCLA d. Utah
  • USC d. Missouri State
  • Utah State d. UTEP
  • Vanderbilt d. Charleston Southern
  • Virginia d. Coastal Carolina
  • WASHINGTON d. Colorado State
  • Washington State d. Idaho
  • West Virginia d. Robert Morris
  • Western Kentucky d. North Alabama

Sunday, August 31
  • #16 South Carolina d. Virginia Tech
  • #6 Notre Dame d. #10 Miami

Monday, September 1
  • North Carolina d. TCU

ELA

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #10 on: July 30, 2025, 05:51:45 PM »



ELA

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #11 on: July 30, 2025, 06:04:44 PM »
SEPTEMBER 2 POLL

  • OHIO STATE (1-0) 1
  • OREGON (1-0) 3
  • Georgia (1-0) 4
  • Notre Dame (1-0) 6
  • Texas (0-1) 2
  • PENN STATE (1-0) 5
  • Alabama (1-0) 7
  • Clemson (1-0) 9
  • MICHIGAN (1-0) 11
  • ILLINOIS (1-0) 12
  • Texas A&M (1-0) 13
  • Tennessee (1-0) 14
  • LSU (0-1) 8
  • Ole Miss (1-0) 15
  • Miami (0-1) 10
  • South Carolina (1-0) 16
  • Arizona State (1-0) 17
  • Missouri (1-0) 18
  • SMU (1-0) 19
  • Florida (1-0) 20
  • Kansas State (2-0) 21
  • Oklahoma (1-0) 22
  • INDIANA (1-0) 23
  • Boise State (1-0) 25
  • Arkansas (1-0) -



 

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