I mean nothing happening right now matters, considering there is still a portal window.
I think recruiting interest has dried up as well. Just tell me who is on the roster September 1
Eh... Is this really a big thing? Do
players slated to be starters typically leave after spring ball in the new NIL / transfer portal era?
I mean, anyone who is penciled in as a starter at their position after spring ball
knows that they're penciled in as the starter. So they don't have an incentive to leave to go somewhere higher-tier for more NIL and...
maybe be the starter. They also know if they bolt after spring ball, they're going to have a MUCH shorter time frame to learn a new playbook, coaching staff, system, and develop chemistry with teammates. Meaning even if someone throws a bigger NIL bag at them, they're at risk of it blowing up and them not being the starter in their new home.
I don't know if this is borne out by experience (I haven't tracked closely), but I would guess a lot of summer transfer portal is guys who are fighting for second string positions on the depth chart leaving and hoping they might find more PT elsewhere.
Maybe I'm being naive, but it seems to me that a player who leaves one of our teams after spring ball is usually going to be someone who we probably won't miss, and they're going to a lower-tier program where they might actually start. And that we're only bringing someone new to our team in the portal if we're not happy with who we've got after spring ball and we're taking a leap on a guy from a higher-tier program to fill a position we learned in spring ball needs help.
I could see the significant drop in recruiting interest due to the portal, but it seems like it would only be an incremental drop in spring ball interest.