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Topic: Most under and over ranked team in the preseason poll?

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TyphonInc

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Re: Most under and over ranked team in the preseason poll?
« Reply #28 on: August 18, 2017, 08:32:00 PM »
Wow, where are those 5 losses going to come from? Vegas has 2 (FSU and @Louisville) on the schedule. Lane Stadium versus the Hokies won't be easy but they should be favored... They miss Miami the only other ACC projected to get more than 7 wins. And the Bowl Game? I mean things have to go pretty wrong to lose 3 games they are favored to win to get to 8-5.


I was guessing a more like 10-3 15th ranking.
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LittlePig

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Re: Most under and over ranked team in the preseason poll?
« Reply #29 on: August 18, 2017, 11:26:01 PM »
Quote from: Cincydawg on August 17, 2017, 08:42:27 AM
SUMMARY

TEAM                        OVER RANKED                  UNDER RANKED

CD                             Washington                         NCSU
Fearless                        Texas                                Tenn
LittlePig                        Florida                            Michigan
DevilFrog                     Clemson                           Stanford


Temp430                      Michigan                            LSU
CatsbyAZ                         FSU                             Miami
Badger                             USC                           Nebraska
RTF                              Clemson                         Florida


Medina                          Michigan                        Wazzu
Beenthere                    Clemson                          Miami
Typhon                        Clemson                           BSU

My picks are shown backwards.  I had Michigan over-rated and Florida under-rated

My picks are5 shown backwards.  I had Michigan over-rated and Florida under-rated
« Last Edit: August 18, 2017, 11:29:21 PM by LittlePig »
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rolltidefan

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Re: Most under and over ranked team in the preseason poll?
« Reply #30 on: August 19, 2017, 08:10:51 AM »
Quote from: TyphonInc on August 18, 2017, 08:32:00 PM
Wow, where are those 5 losses going to come from? Vegas has 2 (FSU and @Louisville) on the schedule. Lane Stadium versus the Hokies won't be easy but they should be favored... They miss Miami the only other ACC projected to get more than 7 wins. And the Bowl Game? I mean things have to go pretty wrong to lose 3 games they are favored to win to get to 8-5.


I was guessing a more like 10-3 15th ranking.

Don't think it was a projection just an example of how he's going to quantify "overranked".
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Cincydawg

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Re: Most under and over ranked team in the preseason poll?
« Reply #31 on: August 19, 2017, 08:34:17 AM »
Quote from: LittlePig on August 18, 2017, 11:26:01 PM
My picks are shown backwards.  I had Michigan over-rated and Florida under-rated

My picks are5 shown backwards.  I had Michigan over-rated and Florida under-rated
Quote from: TyphonInc on August 18, 2017, 08:32:00 PM
Wow, where are those 5 losses going to come from? Vegas has 2 (FSU and @Louisville) on the schedule. Lane Stadium versus the Hokies won't be easy but they should be favored... They miss Miami the only other ACC projected to get more than 7 wins. And the Bowl Game? I mean things have to go pretty wrong to lose 3 games they are favored to win to get to 8-5.


I was guessing a more like 10-3 15th ranking.

I agree with you.  I don't think they will catch 5 losses either.  It's an example.

A 10-3 record will end up around 10-13th in the rankings in most years.

That isn't that much of a drop for Clemson.

Of course you could argue that dropping from 8th to 13th is more significant than dropping from 18th to 23rd.

I also agree that getting one vote is not different from getting two votes or three in the RVU category.

The "winner" in this contest would be anyone who picked Alabama who then somehow went 7-6 at least on that side of the ball.  If you pick say Vanderbilt and they go 15-0 you would win that also, if it happened.

Clemson is unlikely to drop very far from the preseason ranking I think.  They could hit 9-4 and be ranked 15-18 I think.  8-5 is not very plausible barring the usual rash of injuries.
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Cincydawg

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Re: Most under and over ranked team in the preseason poll?
« Reply #32 on: August 19, 2017, 08:57:15 AM »
http://georgia.247sports.com/ContentGallery/Predicting-college-footballs-most-disappointing-team-in-2017-106303873/2


USC
Penn State
USC again
LSU
USC again
Auburn and ...


USC again.


So, the "experts" largely pick USC to be a flop. 
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bamajoe

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Re: Most under and over ranked team in the preseason poll?
« Reply #33 on: August 22, 2017, 07:23:30 PM »
For over ranked I will go with Penn State. They may have a good offense, but to be ranked 6th it might help to have a strong defense. I don't see it.

For under ranked I am going with Georgia. They have too much coming back on both sides of the ball to be 15th. Swap them with Penn State and you have them about right.
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Cincydawg

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Re: Most under and over ranked team in the preseason poll?
« Reply #34 on: August 23, 2017, 08:25:23 AM »
I'm updating (and correcting) the original summary as votes come in.


Voting will be open until the games start obviously.


Should be kinda fun.
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ELA

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Re: Most under and over ranked team in the preseason poll?
« Reply #35 on: August 28, 2017, 11:06:57 AM »
Overrated: LSU
Underrated: Colorado
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Cincydawg

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Re: Most under and over ranked team in the preseason poll?
« Reply #36 on: August 29, 2017, 11:34:58 AM »
Speaking of rankings:

https://www.cbssports.com/collegefootball/rankings

They all are the same with very little variation.  Why bother with multiple polls if they are the same?

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Cincydawg

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Re: Most under and over ranked team in the preseason poll?
« Reply #37 on: September 12, 2017, 03:20:23 PM »
Quote from: Cincydawg on August 17, 2017, 08:42:27 AM
SUMMARY


TEAM                        OVER RANKED                  UNDER RANKED


CD                             Washington                         NCSU
Fearless                        Texas                                Tenn
LittlePig                        Michigan                          Florida                      
DevilFrog                     Clemson                           Stanford


Temp430                      Michigan                            LSU
CatsbyAZ                         FSU                             Miami
Badger                             USC                           Nebraska
RTF                              Clemson                         Florida


Medina                          Michigan                        Wazzu
Beenthere                    Clemson                          Miami
Typhon                        Clemson                           BSU
Ala2268                       Michigan                        UCLA


Bamajoe                        PSU                               UGA
ELA                               LSU                              Colorado

How many of us are already in trouble?
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Cincydawg

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Re: Most under and over ranked team in the preseason poll?
« Reply #38 on: September 12, 2017, 03:21:19 PM »
Texas was a good call for over ranked.
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Cincydawg

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Re: Most under and over ranked team in the preseason poll?
« Reply #39 on: September 12, 2017, 03:50:20 PM »
I'm a bit surprised no one picked Auburn as over ranked.  I think I considered them and landed on UDubb.

Auburn is probably still pretty good with their defense.
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FearlessF

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Re: Most under and over ranked team in the preseason poll?
« Reply #40 on: September 12, 2017, 04:21:20 PM »
Quote from: Cincydawg on September 12, 2017, 03:21:19 PM
Texas was a good call for over ranked.
thanks
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"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

Cincydawg

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Re: Most under and over ranked team in the preseason poll?
« Reply #41 on: September 20, 2017, 12:51:18 PM »
Quote from: Cincydawg on August 17, 2017, 08:42:27 AM
SUMMARY


TEAM                        OVER RANKED                  UNDER RANKED


CD                             Washington                         NCSU
Fearless                        Texas                                Tenn
LittlePig                        Michigan                          Florida                      
DevilFrog                     Clemson                           Stanford


Temp430                      Michigan                            LSU
CatsbyAZ                         FSU                             Miami
Badger                             USC                           Nebraska
RTF                              Clemson                         Florida


Medina                          Michigan                        Wazzu
Beenthere                    Clemson                          Miami
Typhon                        Clemson                           BSU
Ala2268                       Michigan                        UCLA


Bamajoe                        PSU                               UGA
ELA                               LSU                              Colorado

Clemson is looking pretty sound.  LSU has dropped.Tenn and Florida don't look great at all.
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