Yeah, the northern half of that map hasn't changed in the past 20 years.
CA, TX, and FL are already the top recruiting states. GA, NC, VA, and LA are or have already bypassed every northern state besides maybe OH. And the gap grows every day.
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Top 5 Cities in terms of actual growth of number of people the past 10 years:
+234K Phoenix
+225K Houston
+221K San Antonio
+186K LA
+177K Austin..........NYC is 7th, and the only B1G city is Columbus at 13th.
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Top 5 Cities in terms of actual loss of number of people the past 10 years:
-43K Detroit
-27K Baltimore
-19K St. Louis
-16K Cleveland
-15K Toledo...........there are southern cities on the list, but 1/3 as many as northern cities.
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The population argument is akin to northerners on the Titanic assuring everyone that it's fine, everything's fine.
You simply just need to look at the list of national champions the past 30 years to see it's not about strict population - it's about weather, youth, growth, and culture.
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Bama Bama Bama? Go back pre-Bama. Florida, LSU, Florida, Texas, USC, LSU, OSU, Miami, OU, FSU, Tennessee!, Neb/UM, Florida, Neb, Neb, FSU, Bama, Miami/UW, GT/CU, Miami, ND......I consider that '88 NC by ND as a place-marker.
What's the tally?
Rust Belt: 6
Sun Belt: 16
Other: 2 (UW, CU)
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Since then?
Rust Belt: 1
Sun Belt: 11
Other: 0
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Going back to '88?
Rust Belt: 7
Sun Belt: 27
Other: 2
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AND THE GAP IS GROWING.